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1、2011WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOKARE WE ENTERING A GOLDEN AGE OF GAS?Special ReportINTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCYThe International Energy Agency (IEA), an autonomous agency, was established in November 1974. Its primary mandate was and is two-fold: to promote energy security amongst its member countries through
2、 collective response to physical disruptions in oil supply, and provide authoritative research and analysis on ways to ensure reliable, affordable and clean energy for its 28 member countries and beyond. The IEA carries out a comprehensive programme of energy co-operation among its member countries,
3、 each of which is obliged to hold oil stocks equivalent to 90 days of its net imports. The Agency s aims include the following objectives: Secure member countries access to reliable and ample supplies of all forms of energy; in particular, through maintaining effective emergency response capabilitie
4、s in case of oil supply disruptions. Promote sustainable energy policies that spur economic growth and environmental protection in a global context particularly in terms of reducing greenhouse-gas emissions that contribute to climate change. Improve transparency of international markets through coll
5、ection and analysis of energy data. Support global collaboration on energy technology to secure future energy supplies and mitigate their environmental impact, including through improved energy efficiency and development and deployment of low-carbon technologies. Find solutions to global energy chal
6、lenges through engagement and dialogue with non-member countries, industry, international organisations and other stakeholders.IEA member countries:AustraliaAustria BelgiumCanada Czech Republic Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Japan Korea (Republic of) Luxembourg Netherlan
7、ds New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United StatesThe European Commission also participates in the work of the IEA.Please note that this publication is subject to specifi c restrictions that limit its use and distribution. The terms and
8、 conditions are available online at www.iea.org/about/copyright.asp OECD/IEA, 2011 International Energy Agency 9 rue de la Fdration75739 Paris Cedex 15, France www.iea.orgAcknowledgements 3 Acknowledgements This report was prepared by the Office of the Chief Economist (OCE) of the International Ener
9、gy Agency. It was designed and directed by Fatih Birol, Chief Economist of the IEA, and the analysis was co-ordinated by John Corben. Principal contributors to this report were Maria Argiri, Marco Baroni, Anne-Sophie Corbeau, Laura Cozzi, Ian Cronshaw, Dan Dorner, Matthew Frank, Timur Gl, Pawe Oleja
10、rnik, Timur Topalgoekceli, Peter Wood, David Wilkinson and Akira Yanagisawa. Other contributors included Prasoon Agarwal, Christian Besson, Amos Bromhead, Raffaella Centurelli, Dafydd Elis, Tim Gould and Kate Kumaria. Sandra Mooney provided essential support. Robert Priddle carried editorial respons
11、ibility. The report benefited from valuable comments and feedback from other experts within the IEA, including Bo Diczfalusy, Didier Houssin, Jonathan Sinton and Laszlo Varro. Jane Barbiere, Muriel Custodio, Rebecca Gaghen, Anne Mayne and Bertrand Sadin were essential in readying the report for prod
12、uction. Thanks also go to Debra Justus for proofreading the text. The work was made possible by the support and co-operation of many government bodies, international organisations and energy companies worldwide, notably: Edison; Energy Studies Institute, Singapore; Eni; Fortum; The Japan Gas Associa
13、tion; The Ministry of Economic Affairs, Agriculture and Innovation, the Netherlands; The Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, Norway; Schlumberger; Shell and Statoil. Many experts from outside the IEA provided input, commented on the underlying analytical work and reviewed the report. Their comments an
14、d suggestions were of great value. They include: Marco Arcelli Enel Georg Baeuml Volkswagen Carmen Becerril Acciona Energia Kamel Bennaceur Schlumberger Alexey Biteryakov GazpromExport Carey Bylin Environmental Protection Agency, United States Guy Caruso Center for Strategic and International Studie
15、s, United States Tilaklal Doshi Energy Studies Institute, Singapore Rafa Frc Permanent Delegation of Poland to the OECD Masazumi Hirono Japan Gas Association James Jensen Jensen Associates Jostein Karlsen Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, Norway Ken Koyama Institute of Energy Economics, Japan Oleg M
16、aximov Troika Dialog, Russian Federation Klaus Mohn Statoil Ernest Moniz Massachusetts Institute of Technology, United States OECD/IEA, 20114 World Energy Outlook 2011 | Special ReportTrevor Morgan Menecon Consulting Roberto Pot Edison Dinko Raytchev EC-DG Energy Howard Rogers Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, United Kingdom Alain Sanglerat GDF Suez Michael Stoppard IHS CERA Wim Thomas Shell Umberto Ve
