» 22 » 4 ù2010 M 12 ¡ Ð Journal of BallisticsVol. 22 No.4Dec. 2010l à ° ù :2010null11null06T e º :{ = § (1962- ), o , q ,p ,ù î Z _ ¹ È ? ^ ö # Ô Ä î r .Q Å î r ? ù î姜春兰,严翰新,王null 超( Ø Ø ý v Ð I S Ð Ð / S E × Ä L i , Ø 100081)K 1 :为了评估某末制导炮弹战斗部对目标的毁伤效能,建立了阵地雷达目标等效模型,确定了破片和冲击波对目标的毁伤判据.利用MontenullCarlo方法建立了制导炮弹的单发毁伤概率模型,计算分析了终点弹道参数对毁伤概率的影响.结果表明:增大制导炮弹的落角能有效提高单发末制导炮弹的毁伤概率,炸高对毁伤概率的影响与落角有关.研究结果可为制导炮弹的工程设计提供参考.1 o M :末制导炮弹; MontenullCarlo法;雷达;毁伤概率;仿真Ï m s Ë | :TJ410.2null null Ó D S M :Anull null Ó c I | :1004null499X(2010)04null0050null04Research on Kill Probability of Terminal Guided Projectile Against Position RadarJIANG Chunnulllan, YAN Hannullxin, WANG Chao(State Key Laboratory of Explosion Science and Technology, BIT, Beijing 100081, China)Abstract: To evaluate the killprobability of terminal guided projectile(TGP), the target equivanulllent modelwasestablished, and the killcriterions ofthefragment andtheshock waveagainst tarnullget were obtained according to the structural characters of position radar. Singlenullshot killprobanullbility of TGP was set up by using MontenullCarlo method. The influences of terminal ballistic panullrameters on kill probability were analyzed. The results show that the kill probability of singlenullshot TGP can improve effectively by increasing falling angle, andthe influence of explosion heightonkillprobability is concerned with falling angle. The study result ishelpful to TGP design.Key words: terminal guided projectile; MontenullCarlo method; radar; kill probability; simulationnull null Å 1 ô Y ñ ù aÚ Ú ,1 ^ ² e aN ì L R ,» V [ ± á ¸ î "S , Å ¥ ! P ¨ ^ µ × v ¥i l [1] .¹ s ? è ¥ T ¨ ,A ¶ 3 Å çÊ Â r ¥ © ç Ê ÿ ? . ç Ê Â r î ¹ ¹ ë Éþ ¥ n 1 " S .ê À q ^ ß ^ ö ? ¥ ö 1 G . ¿©
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