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1、New York Chicago Los Angeles London Paris Milan Munich TokyoSao Paulo Singapore Sydney Johannesburg ShanghaiIntroduction to EVA Management System 咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的ContentsvWhat is EVA?vThe calculation of EVAvThe EVA management system咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的ContentsvWhat is EVA?vThe calculation of EVAvThe EVA manag
2、ement system咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的EVA is Earnings After the Cost of CapitalRevenues- Operating Costs- Depreciation-/+ Adjustments- Taxes= Operating Income After Tax (NOPAT)-Capital x c% Capital Charge= EVA Objective: Objective: Continuous Improvement in EVAContinuous Improvement in EVAP/LB/S咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的The
3、intrinsic value is the determinant of the market value in efficient capital marketIntrinsic Intrinsic Intrinsic valuevaluevalueFinancial Financial Financial measuresmeasuresmeasuresOperating Operating Operating metricsmetricsmetrics MVA, Stock price EVA ROI, Capital turnover, margin Market share, Un
4、it cost, scrap rate, delivery timeCompetitive strategyBusiness modelManagement systemOperating efficiencyMarket Market Market valuevaluevalue咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的US as exampleUS as example50%40%30%20%10%Correlation with stock priceEVA ROE Cash Flow EPS RevenueAs a measure of business intrinsic value, EVA co
5、rrelates with stock price better than other measures咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的EVA measure gives more insights into the businessFrom Enrons 2000 Annual Report (Letter to Shareholders):Enrons performance in 2000 was a success by any measureThe companys net income reached a record in 2000. Enron is laser-focused on
6、 earnings per share, and we expect to continue strong earnings performance.(in mil)Net IncEPSEVA(in mil)咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的ContentsvWhat is EVA?vThe calculation of EVAvThe EVA management system咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的 9From the traditional accounting model to the economic model of the firmAccountingFrameworkEVAFrame
7、workAdjustmentsP&LBalance SheetCash Flow StatementNOPATCapitalEVAvSeparate financing effects from operating performancevExtend matching of costs with revenue to economic basis vSeparate operating from non-operatingvEliminate book keeping entries/reserves that distort cash flow and reduce objectivity
8、So as tovTo better reflect value creationvTo motivate the right value-creating behavior 10Optimizing the EVA MeasurevMaterialityDifference in EVA with or without adjustment Is it material?Set a rule of thumb and use common sensevMotivationAdjustment must motivate managers to do the right thingStart
9、with dysfunctional behaviors in standard operating proceduresvData AvailabilityCost of collecting information must be reasonablevSimplicityEVA is for operating people keep it simpleA fully adjusted EVA is too complicated to use and communicate 11The EVA Calculation Precision VariesBasic EVATailored
10、EVATrue EVADisclosed EVA 12ADJUSTMENTSCash toEconomicNon-operatingItemsNon-recurringEventsAccrual toCashAccounting conservatism treats many investments as current expenses (R&D, significant Marketing/Training - only those specifically relating to a “strategic”purpose) EVA views them as investments i
11、n the future Accounting misstates cash flow(Reserves)EVA seeks to emphasize actual cash eventsAccounting distorts ongoing operating performance(Restructuring and Asset sales)EVA treatment avoids profit peaks and troughsItems not included in the normal course of business, or not usually managed at un
12、it level (Interest Expense from Debt; Other Financing)In the EVA framework, we must turn the accounting model into an economic model 13 Cost of Debt Cost of Capital ? %+Cost of Equity? %? %The cost of capital comprises both debt & equity costsRisk Free RateEquity Risk PremiumDebt Premium (Credit spr
13、ead) 14Cost ofEquity Capital (required return byequity holders)Risk ()Risk-FreeRate RfMarket Risk PremiumMRP(Rm - Rf )Relationship between Risk and ReturnMarket Risk = 1Cost of Equity = Rf + (Beta x MRP)A Beta value is required to determine cost of equity 15In general, a higher business risk implies
14、 higher beta value, hence higher cost of equity 16To calculate Beta, a list of peers need to be identified for ClientvA peer company is not necessarily a competitor, but rather a company engaged in principally similar business subject to the same underlying economic forces. They may be competitors o
15、r companies in similar industries and business environments.vPeer comparisons are used to :Derive Betas for the respective business units and the corporation to facilitate cost of capital (COC) calculations. Non-listed companies, wholly-owned subsidiaries and business units do not have publicly trad
16、ed shares from which to measure the levered Betas. Where possible, a pure-play analysis of publicly traded peer companies is used to estimate the unlevered Beta, or BRI. This is then translated into the levered Beta for that company, using the capital structure and the cost of debt.Benchmark EVA per
17、formance and identify value drivers.ContentsvWhat is EVA?vThe calculation of EVAvThe EVA management system咨询最好的公司-思腾思特的 18StrategyStrategyFormationFormationGoal SettingGoal SettingPlanning &Planning &BudgetingBudgetingExecutionExecutionEvaluationEvaluationMotivationMotivationEVAEVAEVAEVAEVAValue Val
18、ue BasedBasedManagementManagementEVA provides a comprehensive value management framework to translate strategy into action 20Goal setting and benchmarking 21In the EVA framework, Market Value can be broken down into Future Growth Value and Current Operations Value CapitalPV of current EVA in perpetu
19、ityPV of EVA ImprovementMVA = Present Value of Current EVA + Present Value of Expected Improvements to Current EVAFuture Growth Value (FGV)CurrentOperationsValue (COV)MarketValueMarket Value Added(MVA)Capital 22Future growth value represents an expectation of increase in EVAMarketValueCurrent Operat
20、ionsValue(COV)Future Growth Value (FGV)Expected Improvementsin EVAqFuture Growth Value represents the premium on the value of current operations (Capital + EVA/c*).qThe presence of a Future Growth Value, which equals PV of all future EVA improvements, signals the managers that owners/investors expec
21、t increases in EVA.qIncreases in EVA will also drive increases in MVA. As a result Investor Wealth will go up as well. 23Applying “industry average growth expectations” to Clients 1999 EVA, we estimate an FGV of $691mFGV 39%COV 61%1999 Client EVA1999 COV 1,069mFGV ?vIf we know Clients 1999 COV is $1
22、060m (COV = 1999 capital + 1999 EVA / WACC) then we can calculate FGV based on the industry average COV:FGV ratio of 69:31v1999 EVA could be considered an abnormally good year for Client, so applying an average EVA from 97-00 (a lower EVA), the FGV for Client would come out to $319MEstimated FGV(usi
23、ng 1999 EVA)FGV 691mConservativeClients Industry Ratio1999COV 1,069mCAPITAL526mEVA / C544mEstimated FGV(using avg. 97-00 EVA)FGV 319m97-00COV 493m 24Taking Clients FGV of $691m, we convert it into implied annual Expected Improvements in EVA (EI) 2000 COV$(18m)FGV$691m20012003200220042005 . 2010Expec
24、ted Improvement (EI) $26 millionMarket Value$673MAssuming Client were to achieve this EVA growth over a 10 year period, annual EVA improvements would have to be $26 million a year.FGVEI (for 10 Years)Aggressive$691m$26m per yearConservative$319m$12m per year 25To achieve EIs, management should first
25、 understand the current EVA by focusing on return on capitalMargin xTurnover =ROCScenario A 20%x0.75= 15%Scenario B 5%x3.0= 15%NOPATCapitalProfitMarginCapitalTurnoverXReturn Return on Capitalon CapitalNOPATSalesSalesCapitalXorDissecting the rateof return brings to lightthe trade-offs betweenprofit m
26、argin andcapital efficiency.= A company could achieve a 15% return by either: 26A company can use ROC curves to understand and map out its strategy to improve returns 27Client 1999Client 2000Client peers use fundamentally different business strategies to create value in the industry 28Total Operatio
27、n Expense Margin0%20%40%60%80%100%120%BaltransEGLExped.Client 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasCNFFedexUPSAverage% of SalesNOPAT Margin-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%BaltransEGLExped.Client 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasCNFFedexUPSAverage% of SalesVariable Expenses Margin0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%EGLExped.Client
28、 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasFedexUPSAverage% of SalesFixed Expenses Margin0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%EGLExped.Client 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasFedexUPSAverage% of SalesBenchmarking NOPAT margins give Client a sense of how it falls in terms of operating efficiencyNote: Baltrans and CNF removed f
29、rom Variable and Fixed Expense drivers analysis due to insufficient data 29Capital Charge Margin0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%BaltransEGLExped.Client 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasCNFFedexUPSAverage% of SalesNWC Capital Charge Margin0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%BaltransEGLExped.Client 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasCNFFed
30、exUPSAverage% of SalesFixed Assets Charge Margin0%5%10%15%20%25%BaltransEGLExped.Client 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasCNFFedexUPSAverage% of SalesOther Capital Charge Margin-2%0%2%4%6%8%10%12%BaltransEGLExped.Client 1999Client 2000AirborneAtlasCNFFedexUPSAverage% of SalesCapital benchmarking points to
31、 working capital and fixed assets as an opportunity for Client to drive EVA upwards 30Summary of Benchmarking study 1999 Data In Thousands of USD Company / ItemsBaltransEGLExped. Client 1999Client 2000 AirborneAtlasCNFFedexUPSAverageBest in ClassSales100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%V
32、ar. Exp / Sales97%62%69%34%54%34%11%N/A14%8%17%8%Fixed Exp / SalesN/A16%23%45%45%58%59%94%79%78%74%16%Selling / Sales N/A15%1%1%1%2%0%N/A0%0%1%0%- Operation Expenses / Sales97%92%94%80%101%95%71%94%93%85%88%23%- Tax / Sales0%3%1%1%0%2%12%2%5%4%5%0%+ Other Income / Sales2%1%0%0%0%1%15%1%4%-6%3%15%= N
33、OPAT Margin5%5%5%20%-1%4%32%5%7%5%7%NWC Charge / Sales1%1%1%6%6%0%5%0%0%1%1%0%Fixed Assets Charge / Sales1%0%1%2%3%3%21%2%4%5%7%2%Other Assets Charge / Sales0%1%0%-1%3%1%10%2%5%0%4%0%- Capital Charge / Sales3%3%2%8%12%5%36%4%9%6%12%= Net Margin2%2%3%11%-13%-1%-4%1%-2%-1%-5%x Sales172,127595,1731,444
34、,57519,53413,4183,140,226637,0815,592,81016,773,47027,052,000=EVA3,25912,63845,4452,240(1,726)(24,340)(22,405)68,874(361,190)(261,400) 31Looking at best in class Margin and Turnover, we can chart the EVA of Client under different scenarios(B)Achieve Best in Class Turns(D)Achieve Best in Class ROC(A)
35、Achieve Best in Class NOPAT Margin(C)Also Best in Class TurnsHistoryPeer BenchmarkClient ForecastClient 97-99Best In Class 97-99CompanyClient, Inc. 2000-2005NOPAT Margin15.0%25.6%Atlas Air7.5%Capital Turnover 313.6%505.0%Expeditors266.1%Return on Capital45.2%45.2%Client, Inc.23.0% 32Client Best In C
36、lass Analysis(86,325)138,666146,19056,438146,190 (100,000)(50,000)050,000100,000150,000200,000Current EVAAchieve NOPATmargin of 25.6%Achieve Cap. T/O of5xAchieve ROC = 45%EVA USD000sEVA improve by $224,991EVA improve by $142,763Is there Trade off between capital T/O and Nopat Margin?EVA improve by a
37、 further $7,524Using Clients 2000 EVA as an illustration, the largest EVA opportunity is from NOPAT margin improvement (A)(B)(C)(D)Client Best In Class Analysis, in Thousand DollarsCurrent EVAAchieve NOPAT MarginAchieve Capital TurnsAchieve NOPAT Margin & Capital TurnsAchieve Return on CapitalSales670,895670,895670,895670,895670,895NOPAT(4,080)171,829(4,080)171,82998,516Avg Capital426,138426,138132,846132,846218,018WACC19.3%19.3%19.3%19.3%19.3%EVA(86,325)138,666(29,720)146,19056,438 33The industry value-based strategy map indicates the markets approval of certain business strategies
