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1、cause of formation of economic cycleXue LiangOne,Classification of causes of economic cyclesMany causes of economic cycle,According to economic cycle generation played a major or minor role,It can be divided into the basic factors and other factors.(a) the basic factorsRefers to the economic cycle i
2、s formed having a fundamental role in the causes or conditions.Such as capital allocation; the evolution of monetary functions; “market mechanism ; private ownership ; human characteristics .They are periodic to economy related to the formation of the effect, can be expressed as follows:Human charac
3、teristics private ownership market mechanisms Distribution according to capital, Monetary function evolution economic cycleSimple explanation of the basic factors:(1) human characteristicsIts main performance might be summarized as follows: the never-ending exploration (the objective world and the s
4、ubjective world); insatiable pursuit (of material comfort and enjoy the spirit of) . (Because we have a strong thinking, imagination and ability, concept, confidence, desire and mental activity on our behavior and the objective world interact powerful .)(2)Private ownershipDriven by the characterist
5、ics of the human itself,Scientific and technological level and production capacity continues to increase, growing social wealth,Private ownership increasingly vibrant .(3)Market mechanismOn private ownership foundation,Advocating free competition and free exchange of market mechanism,As economic dev
6、elopment of the preferred architecture.(4) Distribution according to capitalIn the market environment, distribution according to capital gradually occupy an important position.(5) Monetary function evolutionIn the commodity economy in the initial stage of development, the currency as a general equiv
7、alent, its function is the means of circulation, means of payment, value scale (it might be called primitive functions.);With the economic development, wealth accumulation and distribution according to capital, the functions of money appeared evolution, with the investment and proliferation (it migh
8、t be called modern functions.),As people of the currency can be quick, direct investment (such as buying shares) or indirectly (such as investment bank), to obtain its proliferation.The functions of money evolution, distribution according to capital, make it break the gold standard the shackles, its
9、 power has been more unprecedented publicity,Economic cycle is generated to provide the most direct and strong driving force.Such as:economy obtains the rapid development.Wealth distribution balance is to capital tilt; (the widening gap between rich and poor.)Under the banner of economic development
10、, global money supply is growing rapidly; (excess liquidity has become a source of excess surplus of products, investment .)Many consumers as one of the rentier and have become the investors; (social consumption is relatively atrophic.)Economic cycle gradually. (b)Other factorsRefers to the economic
11、 cycle process to produce different effects causes or conditions.Such as various types of natural calamities and man-made misfortunes, major scientific and technological progress, virtual economy, policy measure error. (such as sunspots and other disasters are natural disasters;Financial crisis and
12、other issues for the man-made disasters;Excessive rescues the city is a mistake behavior;Fictitious economy activity while reducing the entity economy excess liquidity, overinvestment pressure, but the gap between the rich and the poor has enlarged.)A butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil, in the U
13、nited States may cause a tornado in Texas (Lorenz, 1979).If the economic cycle metaphor for the tornado, Butterfly Effect can explain the basic factors and other factors:The butterfly flapping its wings is the formation of a tornado of other factors;If there is no atmospheric, the sea currents and t
14、he basic factors, Even if there are thousands of butterflies fluttering wings, can form scenery rather than storm;On the contrary, even all the butterfly wings are stopped, Texas tornado also wont disappear from the scene.Two,The relationship between economic cycle causesThe basic factors and other
15、factors is the complicated interaction, illustrated as follows:Figure 1 The forming reasons of economic cycle influence each otherEconomic cycle causes the interaction, also contains our spiritual factors (such as philosophy, confidence, psychological activities of desire) the tremendous role, mental factors attachment to the basic factors and other factors, reciprocal causation, be inextricably involved.Three, the Economic cycles causes a combination of roleEconomic cycle causes the interaction between forming combination action, decided economic
