宏观经济分析英文论文

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1、2010 2011 Survey and analysis of domestic inflationIntroductionCurrent inflationhas become ahot spot.AsChinas economicdevelopment isa stage of development, andenergy,real estateissues,issues such asagricultural productthe combined effect, makingChinasinflation problemeven morecomplicated. This artic

2、lefrom the currentsituationofinflation, analyzesthe causes ofinflation,put forwardthe proposalreducethe currentinflationin China. According to National Bureau of Statistics January 20, 2011 data released in 2010, Chinas annual consumer price index (CPI) continued to rise, 1.5% from the beginning of

3、the year have been rising to a high of 5.1% in November, December CPI rose4.6%, the Central rose 0.5%, annual increase of 3.3%.Last years price increases, making China the emergence of a large number of price of fresh words, such as garlic you vicious, beans you play, Oil can not you, Jiang your arm

4、y to sugar Emperor, etc.endless variety of new price terms, Joking revealed a high price.The trend in 2011 is still not reduced, but the more intense the more speech.March consumer prices rose 5.4%, 5.3% in April.But many people believe that this data is low, generally believe that in 2010 inflation

5、 was 7.1%.Ineconomics,inflationis a rise in the generallevel of pricesof goods and services in aneconomyover a period of time.When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. Consequently, inflation also reflects an erosion in thepurchasing powerof money a los

6、s of real value in the internal medium of exchange and unit of account in the economy.A chief measure of price inflation is theinflation rate, the annualized percentage change in a generalprice index(normally theConsumer Price Index) over time. Inflations effects on an economy are various and can be

7、 simultaneouslypositiveandnegative. Negative effects of inflation include a decrease in the real value of money and other monetary items over time, uncertainty over future inflation may discourage investment and savings, and high inflation may lead to shortages ofgoodsif consumers beginhoardingout o

8、f concern that prices will increase in the future. Positive effects include ensuring central banks can adjustnominal interest rates,and encouraging investment in non-monetary capital projects.Economists generally agree that high rates of inflation andhyperinflationare caused by an excessive growth o

9、f the money supply.Views on which factors determine low to moderate rates of inflation are more varied. Low or moderate inflation may be attributed to fluctuations inrealdemandfor goods and services, or changes in available supplies such as duringscarcities, as well as to growth in the money supply.

10、 However, the consensus view is that a long sustained period of inflation is caused by money supply growing faster than the rate ofeconomic growth. Today, mostmainstream economistsfavor a low, steady rate of inflation. Low (as opposed to zero ornegative) inflation may reduce the severity of economic

11、recessionsby enabling the labor market to adjust more quickly in a downturn, and reduce the risk that aliquidity trappreventsmonetary policyfrom stabilizing the economy. The task of keeping the rate of inflation low and stable is usually given tomonetary authorities. Generally, these monetary author

12、ities are thecentral banksthat control the size of the money supply through the setting ofinterest rates, throughopen market operations, and through the setting of bankingreserve requirements.The major inflation problem in China today Analysts generally agreed that the upcoming December 2009 the con

13、sumer price index (CPI) change appears more likely-than-expected, CPI is expected to about 1.5% to 2% in the last month, based on rapid rise in food prices, taking into account snow and other weather factors, and even monthly CPI does not rule out more than 2%.The judge for the 2010 CPI, analysts be

14、lieve that about 3% of the year, but may occur in the fourth quarter, nearly 5% inflation pressures.1. The steady rise in real estate development and investment, house prices gradually increase the impact of inflation expectations. Real estate has been the governments macroeconomic regulation and co

15、ntrol of the most intractable problems, the Government recently introduced the most severe history of price control programs, such as the limit of loans, property tax, etc. Now, after the introduction of a series of control measures, many people saidChinas golden years will soon end of the property

16、market, some people would say it is short-term regulation, after all, is temporary, and may cause shock.But back to the view of the recent property market began to pick up, there has been more on the expansion of the more suppressed the strange phenomenon.This makes the already healthy property market is near collapse, accelerating inf

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