企业股份单分析

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1、Business Portfolio Analysis,Outline,Introduction BCG (Boston Consulting Group) Matrix PIMS (Profit Impact of Market Strategy) GE(General Electric)/McKinsey Multi-Factor Matrix,Introduction,The creation of SBUs enables the setting of SBUs mission and objectives and the allocation of resources across

2、SBUs in the organization Senior management need to have a framework to evaluate SBUs and to assign limited resources among them; hence portfolio analysis Many models but only 3 are covered here: BCG, PIMS, & GE models,BCG (Boston Consulting Group) Matrix,Provides a framework for senior management in

3、 allocating resources across business units in a diversified firm by Balancing cash flows among business units, and Balancing stages in the product life-cycle (PLC),BCG Product Portfolio Matrix Dimensions,BCG Matrix (contd),The horizontal axis is the Relative Market Share shown in a log scale Vertic

4、al line is usually set as 1.0 Relative Market Share An SBU to the left of this line means it is the market leader in the industry or segment in which it operates Conversely, an SBU to the right of this line (1.o RMS) means it is not the leader,BCG Matrix (contd),The vertical axis is the growth rate

5、5 levels may be used: product, product lines, market segment, SBU and business growth rate Horizontal line is usually set as 10% Growth Rate SBUs above the set value (10% line) represents high growth rates Conversely, SBUs below this value depicts slower growth rate,Matrix Quadrants,Key Assumptions

6、of BCG Matrix,Stable cost/price relationship Not valid if the firm is pricing on projected lower average unit costs in the future Market leader influences the average costs Profit margin is a function of market share This ignores profitable niches,Strategic Perspectives of Products in Different Quad

7、rants,Four different strategic perspectives Investment Earnings Cash-flow, and Strategy Implications,Question Marks (Problem Children),Investmentheavy initial capacity expenditures and high R&D costs Earningsnegative to low Cash-flownegative (net cash user) Strategy Implications If possible to domin

8、ate segment, go after share. If not, redefine the business or withdraw,Stars,Investmentcontinue to invest for capacity expansion EarningsLow to high earnings Cash-flowNegative (net cash user) Strategy Implications Continue to increase market shareeven at the expense of short-term earnings,Cows,Inves

9、tmentCapacity maintenance EarningsHigh Cash-flowPositive (net cash contributor) Strategy Implications Maintain market share and cost leadership until further investment becomes marginal,Dogs,Investment Gradually reduce capacity EarningsHigh to low Cash-flow Positive (net cash contributor) if deliber

10、ately reducing capacity Strategy Implications Plan an orderly withdrawal to maximize cash flow,Example of a BCG Matrix for a Fastener Supplier in South East Asia,Anchoring Systems,Powder Actuated Tools,Cable Tray Systems,Electric Power Tools,Concrete Lifting Systems,Note that the Anchoring System SB

11、U is forecasted to move to new position,BCG Matrix (Three Paths to Success),Continuously generate cash cows and use the cash throw-up by the cash cows to invest in the question marks that are not self-sustaining Stars need a lot of reinvestments and as the market matures, stars will degenerate into

12、cash cows and the process will be repeated. As for dogs, segment the markets and nurse the dogs to health or manage for cash,Three Paths to Success (contd),BCG Matrix (Three Paths to Failure),Over invest in cash cows and under invest in question marks Trade further opportunities for present cash flo

13、w Under invest in the stars Allow competitors to gain share in a high growth market Over milked the cash cows,Three Paths to Failure (contd),PIMS (Profit Impact of Marketing Strategy) Program,Database of nearly 3,800 SBUs Representing more than 500 firms Member firms have been in the program from 2

14、to 12 years The program provides Par ROI (Return of Investment) Prediction of how ROI would change if policy change is made,Important Strategic Principles Derived From PIMS,In the long run, product quality is the single most important factor affecting performance Market share and profitability close

15、ly correlated High-investment intensity reduces profitability Cash implications of growth rate and relative market share are affected by many factors Vertical integration is profitable for some business only Most factors that boost ROI also contribute to value,Examples of Application of some of the

16、Principles of PIMS in ASPAC,Pursue of product quality Australian Quality Council Hong Kong Awards for Industry (Quality cat.) Japan Quality Award Malaysias Prime Ministers Quality Award (Private Sector) Philippines Quality Award Singapore Quality Award Sri Lankas National Quality Award Thailand Quality Award,Examples of Application of some of the Principles of PIMS in ASPAC (contd),Pursue of market share Nova Group and Europa Holdings of Singapore expanding the

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