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1、Drilling Rig newbuilding,Ulrik Otto Engelschin Shanghai 11th June 2009,Content,R.S. Platou ASA, brief introduction Newbuild market Selection of design, technical trends and solutions Sometimes things go wrong,RS Platou is a leading brokerage providing premium services within: Shipping and Offshore:
2、Newbuildings Sale & Purchase Chartering Economic Research Project financing Investment banking Headquartered in Oslo, Norway Offices in: Aberdeen, London, Copenhagen, Moscow, Houston, Singapore, Lagos, Shanghai, Istanbul, Geneva and Rio de Janeiro Revenue of MNOK 1.199 in 2007 incl. RS Platou Market
3、s and The Stewart Group Ltd. Established in 1936 by Ragnar Stoud Platou and Hans T. Gram 77% partner owned, remaining owned by founding families Approximately 300 employees worldwide,R.S. PLATOU,A leading and highly recognized shipping, offshore, finance & investment banking brokerage with a global
4、footprint,LAGOS 8 employees Established 2007,COPENHAGEN 3 employees Established 2001,OSLO 185 employees Established 1936,MOSCOW 5 employees Established 2004,SHANGHAI 4 employees Established 2007,ISTANBUL 5 employees Established 2007,SINGAPORE 45 employees Established 1989,GENEVA 3 employees Establis
5、hed 2008,ABERDEEN / LONDON 13 employees Acquired 2008,HOUSTON 24 employees Established 1978,RIO DE JANEIRO 2 employees Established 2008,San Fransico Dahlman Rose & CO,HOUSTON Dahlman Rose & CO,New York Dahlman Rose & CO,New Orleans Dahlman Rose & CO,Strategic alliance between RS Platou Markets and D
6、ahlman Rose & Co secures worldwide presence in key natural resources markets,GLOBAL REACH, LOCAL MARKET EXPERTISE,Four business areas backed by world class research in energy, shipping, offshore and oil services,R.S. PLATOU AT A GLANCE,Newbuilding market,EXISTING MOBILE OFFSHORE RIG FLEET AND ORDERB
7、OOK BY YEAR OF DELIVERY,MAY 2009,NEW ORDERS AND ORDERBOOK OF MODUs,JACKUPS,FLOATERS,DRILLING PACKAGE AND MARINE EQUIPMENT 2005 2009 Ultra Deep Water Floater,Newbuild prices heading south,Newbuild prices are declining Lower labour cost, declining steel cost and lower cost of marine equipment will pus
8、h newbuild prices down towards 600 USDm (DS & SS) and 150 USDm (JU),COST DRIVERS OF MODU YARDS,South Korea hourly labour cost,Ship plates,Weakening of the won by 30-40%. Hourly labour cost has risen approximately 7-8%p.a. since 2000 measured in Korean won. Chinese currency has not been so volatile t
9、owards USD as the won,China hourly labour cost,WORLD ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PERCENT,2003-07,2009 ?,2008 EST,THE STEEL MARKET,WORLD STEEL PRICES,Forecast,-30%,DRILLING PACKAGE AND MARINE EQUIPMENT 2005 2009 (Ultra Deep Water Floater),NEWBUILDING CRITICAL COMPONENTS,Drillship,Semi,Jackup,CAN WE EXPECT MAJ
10、OR DELAYS TO RIG DELIVERIES?,AVERAGE DELAY OF RIG DELIVERIES,Although we have seen the occasional delay at the major Jackup yards (Keppel Fels, PPL and Jurong), we do not expect this will be a major source of delays. The same applies to the major Korean yards producing floaters. We may see further d
11、elays at: Yantai Raffles, QGM, Bharati, Le Tourneau, MIS and Sevmash. Assuming the main yards keep their delivery schedules, we expect average delays to remain roughly the same as today.,Four yards have 70% marketshare,Selection of design, technical trends and solutions,Types of drilling rigs,Barge
12、Platform Tender rig Jackup Semisubmersible Semisubmersible Drillship Moored DP DP,Main Drivers for Design Selection,Water depth Environmental conditions Harsh or benign Field location and distances Variable deck load Transit speed Station keeping Owners preferences Some owners have in-house designs
13、or have chosen a specific design for unknown reasons Yards preferences and qualifications Most yards have experiences with some designs or have in-house designs Market requirements Shortage in market of specific rigs or niche market Funding Funding is often easier with proven design and experienced
14、yard, as this limits risk,Trends,Drillships Waterdepth capability 12,000ft water depth capability Innovative designs Smaller drillships with Panamax beam Circular shaped rigs Innovative equipment and solutions Slim high pressure riser with surface BOP Drilling mast (as a contrary to derrick) with ca
15、rousel pipe storage Below deck riser storage,Trends, contd,Dual Derrick Set riser and BOP while drilling open portion of wells Can equip Dual Derrick and 1,5 type outfitting 1,5 type Solution No patent issues Less people onboard, less maintenance Often have so called ”tripsaver” arrangement POB 1,5
16、requires 180 POB Dual requires 200 POB Accommodation, lifesaving, galley, utilities etc.,Single and dual derrick,Sometime things go wrong,But sometimes things go wrong which is in most cases caused by;,Yards Prototype design at a inexperienced yard Project management Unknown factors Underestimations is likely to result in cost overruns and delays Poor engineering or lack of sufficient engineering before start of construction Weight co