机遇与挑战

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1、OPPORTUNTIES AND CHALLENGES Ivan Chu Chief Operating Officer Cathay Pacific Airways Asian Logistics and Maritime Conference November 8, 2012 1. High flying Asias Cargo market 2. Maintaining Asias growth: The Hong Kong Case 2 High flying Asias Cargo Market Looking back Asia worlds fastest growing eco

2、nomic region Asia air freighter market: Strong rebound in 2010, struggling since 3 Asia Worlds fastest growing economic region 4 Asia cargo robust growth in 2010 Source: AAPA: Traffic Trends, Annual Report 2011 5 Asia cargo struggling for 2012 6 High flying Asias Cargo Market Outlook and trends Asia

3、 will lead the world in GDP and air traffic growth Greater Chinas role will be key in Intra-Asia market Shifting of Asia manufacturers base to inland China, Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia Rising Asian middle class consumption 7 Source: Boeing, Current Market Outlook 2012 Asia leading in GDP growth

4、2011-2031 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 6.5% 7.1% 0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%6.0%7.0%8.0%Northeast AsiaEuropeNorth AmericaOceaniaWorldCISMiddle EastLatin AmericaSoutheast AsiaAfricaAsia PacificChinaSouth Asia8 High RTKs with high growth rates Asia leading in air cargo growth 20

5、11-2031 Source: Boeing, Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 9 Worlds growth = 5.2% 8 out of top 10 are Greater China markets Greater China is key in Intra-Asia market Source: Boeing, Air Cargo Forecast 2012-2013 10 Shifting Asia manufacturing bases Increasing production cost in coastal China provinces Move

6、 to inland China provinces Move to other parts of Asia: Garment: Bangladesh, Vietnam and Cambodia IT: Vietnam and Malaysia 11 Source: OECD, “The Emerging Middle Class in Developing Countries”, 2010 Rising Asia Middle Class consumption 12 Source: McKinsey & Co. Booming China luxury goods market 18% g

7、rowth annually 13 The Hong Kong Case: Maintaining the premium hub position Support the HKIA third runway Invest in fleet and network Launch Cathay Pacific Cargo Terminal 14 HKIA third runway is critical Build on success: Worlds #1 International cargo hub Expand connectivity Improve long-term competi

8、tiveness of HK as logistics hub 15 Expanding our fleet and network 6 new freighter destinations + 8 new passenger destinations launched since 2H 2011 97 aircrafts on order with list price of HKD200 bn B747-8F freighters into the fleet Cargo network covers 44 destinations worldwide Passenger fleets b

9、elly space growth for Intra-Asia routes Passenger network covers 83 destinations worldwide 16 Total investment = HK$5.9bn Annual cargo handling capacity = 2.6 million tonnes, increasing HKIA capacity by 50% Open in early 2013 Cathay Pacific Cargo Terminal 17 Reduce minimum connection time from 8 hrs to 5 hrs Extend cut-off time for export cargo acceptance Shorten delivery time for import cargo Reduce truck-waiting time Cathay Pacific Cargo Terminal 18 Thank you!

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