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1、INTERNATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCY VIENNA ISBN 978-92-0-111910-0 ISSN 1011-2642Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050ENERGY, ELECTRICITY AND NuCLEAR pOwER ESTIMATES FOR ThE pERIOD up TO 2050 IAEA-RDS-1/33 ISBN 9789201119100 ISSN 10112642printed by the IAEA in Austr
2、ia August 2013Cover photo credit: EDF-MEDIAThEQuE / ALEXIS MORIN / 2013contentsIntroduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Grouping of countries and areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9Table 1. Nuclear power reactors in the world(end of 2012) . . . . . .
3、 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Figure 1. Nuclear share of total electricitygeneration in 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Table 2. Number of countries with nuclearpower reactors in operation orunder construction (end of 2012) . . . . . . . . . 15 Table 3. Estimates of total and
4、 nuclearelectrical generating capacity . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Figure 2. Total and nuclear electrical generatingcapacity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Table 4. Estimates of total electricity generationand contribution by nuclear power . . . . . . . 21 Figure 3. percen
5、tage of electricity suppliedby nuclear power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Table 5. Estimates of total energy requirement(EJ), percentage used for electricitygeneration, and percentage suppliedby nuclear energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Figure 4. Estimates of total en
6、ergy requirement . . . . . 26 Table 6. Total energy requirement (EJ) by type of fuel in 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Figure 5. Total energy requirement by fuel typein 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 Figure 6. Breakdown of world total energyreq
7、uirement during the period19702012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Table 7. Fuel shares (%) of total energy requirement in 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Table 8. Fuel use (EJ) for electricitygeneration by type of fuel in 2012 . . . . . . . . 36 Table 9. percentag
8、e contribution of eachfuel type to electricity generationin 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Table 10. Estimates of population growth by region . . 39 Figure 7. population estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Table 11. Estimates of total energy and electric
9、ityrequirement per capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43Figure 8. Total energy requirement per capita . . . . . . . 44 Figure 9. Total electricity requirement per capita . . . . . 46 Table 12. Average annual growth rates during theperiod 20022012 (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Figure
10、 10. Average annual growth rates during theperiod 20022012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Table 13. Estimates of average annual growth rates during the period 20122030 (%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 539N o r t h A m e r i c a C a n a d a * U n i t e d S t a t e s o f A
11、 m e r i c a * L a t i n A m e r i c a A n g u i l l a H a i t i * A n t i g u a a n d B a r b u d a H o n d u r a s * A r g e n t i n a * J a m a i c a * A r u b a M a r t i n i q u e B a h a m a s M e x i c o * B a r b a d o s M o n t s e r r a t B e l i z e N e t h e r l a n d s A n t i l l e s B
12、 e r m u d a N i c a r a g u a * B o l i v i a * P a n a m a * B r a z i l * P a r a g u a y * C a y m a n I s l a n d s P e r u * C h i l e * P u e r t o R i c o C o l o m b i a * S. Georgia 2 units under construction with total capacity of 2600 MW(e); Long-term Shut Down ReactorsElectricity Suppli
13、ed by Nuclear Power Reactors in 2012 38.7 TWh of nuclear electricity generation, representing 18.4% of the total electricity generated.14Note: the nuclear share of electricity generation in Taiwan, China was 18.4%.FIGURE 1. NUCLEAR SHARE OF TOTAL ELECTRICITYGENERATION IN 2012FRANCESLOVAKIABELGIUMUKR
14、AINEHUNGARYSWEDENSLOVENIASWITZERLANDCZECH REPUBLICFINLANDBULGARIAKOREA, REPUBLIC OFARMENIASPAINROMANIAUSAUKRUSSIAN FEDERATIONGERMANYCANADAPAKISTANSOUTH AFRICAARGENTINAMEXICONETHERLANDSINDIABRAZILJAPANCHINAIRAN, ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF02040608010074.853.851.046.245.938.136.035.935.332.631.630.426.620.519
15、.419.018.117.816.115.35.35.14.74.74.43.63.12.12.00.50 Nuclear Share (%)15TABLE 2. NUMBER OF COUNTRIES WITH NUCLEAR POWER REACTORS IN OPERATION OR UNDER CONSTRUCTION (end of 2012) Country GroupNumber of Countries in GroupCountries with Nuclear Power Reactors In OperationLong-term Shut DownUnder Construction (1)Total (2)North America2 2 1 2 Latin America45 3 2 3 Western Europe29 9 2 9 Eastern Europe27 9 3 9
