2014年天然气中期市场报告

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1、Medi um-Term Market Report2014Mar ket Analysi s and For ecast s t o 2019GASMedium-Term Market ReportGASMarket Analysis and Forecasts to 20192014TABLE? OF?CONTENTS?6?MEDIUM?TERM?GAS?MARKET?REPORT?2014?TABLE OF CONTENTS ?FOREWORD? .? 3?ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS? .? 5?EXECUTIVE? SUMMARY? .? 11? Gas?grows?more?s

2、lowly?than?other?fuels?in?2013?.?11? Gas?is?on?its?way?to?cross?the?4?000?bcm?mark?by?2020? .?12? OECD?regions?feed?40%?of?supply?growth,?the?FSU?region?falls?behind?.?13? The?Asian?price?stalemate:?who?blinks?first?.?14?DEMAND? .? 16? Summary?.?16? Recent?trends?.?18? World?gas?demand:?An?abnormal?

3、year? .?18? OECD?regions:?The?illusion?of?the?dj?vu?.?19? Non?OECD?regions:?China?dwarfs?all?other?developments?.?3? Medium?term?gas?demand?forecasts?.?32? Assumptions?and?methodology? .?32? World?gas?demand?is?on?its?way?to?exceed?4?000?bcm?by?2020?.?33? OECD?regions?.?35? Special?focus:?Use?of?gas

4、?for?road?transport?and?shipping?.?42? Non?OECD?regions?.?51? References?.?65?SUPPLY? .? 66? Summary?.?66? Recent?trends?.?68? OECD?gas?production?.?69? Non?OECD?gas?production?.?70? Global?unconventional?gas?developments?.?73? Medium?term?supply?forecasts?.?74? Assumptions?and?methodology? .?74? World?gas?supply:?Russia?lags?behind?in?terms?of?growth.?75? Global?unconventional?gas?developments?.?78? Middle?East?.?85? European?output?will?lose?25?bcm?over?2013?19?.?93? The?FSU?region?.?95? North?America:?NGLs?are?a?major?pillar?of?gas?production?growth?.?101? China?cements?its?position?

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