江苏省城市化与经济发展关系实证分析

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1、The Research on the Relationship between Urbanization and Economic Development in Jiangsu ProvinceA Dissertation Submitted toNanjing University of Finance and EconomicsFor the Academic Degree of Master of EconomicsBYSupervised byProfessor SHANG WEIPINGSchool of FinanceNanjing University of Finance a

2、nd EconomicsNovember 2012学位论文独创性声明本论文是我个人在导师指导下进行的研究工作及取得的研究成果。论文中除了特别加以标注和致谢的地方外,不包含其他人或其它机构已经发表或撰写过的研究成果。其他同志对本研究的启发和所做的贡献均已在论文中作了明确的声明并表示了谢意。作者签名:日期:学位论文使用授权声明本人完全了解南京财经大学有关保留、使用学位论文的规定,即:学校有权保留送交论文的复印件,允许论文被查阅和借阅;学校可以公布论文的全部或部分内容,可以采用影印、缩印或其它复制手段保存论文。保密的论文在解密后遵守此规定。作者签名:导师签名:日期:摘要城市化水平是衡量一个国家或地区

3、发展水平的重要标志之一。城市化不仅指城市人口占总人口比重提高的过程,也包括城市生产方式、生活观念向农村传播的过程,以及人们对城市文化的接受过程。江苏省作为“长江三角洲”的重要组成部分,其城市发展和经济发展一直位于全国前列,城市化在促进江苏省经济发展和推进现代化建设过程中发挥了重要作用,但在城市化快速发展的同时,也存在一些不足,其对经济发展的制约作用也是明显的。因此,研究江苏省城市化与经济发展的相互关系,提出针对性建议,优化江苏城市化与经济发展,同时以期对其他省市的城市化进程有借鉴意义。这是一项颇具现实意义的工作。本文从城市化与经济发展的相互影响及二者协调度两方面研究二者的关系。首先从经济增长、

4、产业结构、就业结构和居民生活水平四个方面研究江苏省城市化水平与经济发展的相互影响,其次刻画江苏省各个城市的城市化水平与经济发展的协调程度。最后对城市化水平与经济发展水平之间的可持续发展提出针对性建议。通过本文分析,得到以下主要结论:1.江苏省城市化水平与经济增长互为因果关系,城市化水平的提高可以促进经济增长,而经济增长又反作用于城市化的发展,二者相互促进,共同发展。2.无论从短期还是长期来看,城市化都能促进产业结构的调整,推进产业结构优化升级,城市化水平增加一个百分点,非农产业比重相应增加 0.1729 个百分点。3.城市化的发展有助于就业结构的优化调整,城市化水平的提高对第三产业从业人员吸引

5、力大于对第二产业从业人员吸引力。4.江苏省城乡消费存在较大差距,但是随着城市化水平的提高,居民收入水平提高,消费水平逐步提高,消费结构由生存型消费转向发展型和享受型消费。由此可看出随着城市化进程推进,城乡居民的生活水平不断提高。5.通过因子分析得到江苏省 13 个省辖市的城市化水平综合得分和经济发展水平综合得分,进而求出二者的协调度。从江苏省全省角度看,各市协调度呈现为自南向北梯度递减的趋势。最后,通过研究结论,得出要大力发展第三产业、改革户籍制度、促进城乡一体化发展等相关启示。关键词:城市化水平;经济发展;格兰杰因果;协调度IABSTRACTThe level of urbanization

6、 is one of the important marks to measure a country orregions development level, Urbanization along with the advancement ofindustrialization and modernizationUrbanization is not only refers to the growth of urban population, also includescity mode of production, city life concept spread to the rural

7、 areas, and people toaccept the culture of the city. Jiangsu province as the “Yangtze river delta“ importantconstituent, its urban development and economic development has been located in thenational front row. Urbanization of Jiangsu province plays an important role inpromoting economic development

8、 and modernization construction, but in the fastdevelopment of the urbanization,there are some shortage restricts the economicdevelopment. Therefore, research the influence of urbanization on economicdevelopment, and puts forward the countermeasures optimizing urbanization andeconomic development in

9、 Jiangsu province, and at the same time for other provincesand cities have reference significance to the urbanization process. This is a ratherpractical significance of work.Based on development economics, macroeconomics theory, the urbanizationlevel and the economic development of Jiangsu province

10、as the research objects,Combined with theory and empirical, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.From the economic growth, industrial structure, employment structure and quality oflife four aspects in Jiangsu province to study the level of urbanization impact oneconomic development, mining

11、 to the level of urbanization impact on economicdevelopment mechanism. Afterwards, describe the coordination degree ofurbanization and economic development of each city in Jiangsu province, and putsforward corresponding proposals.Through the above analysis, the paper comes to the following main conc

12、lusions:1. Jiangsu province urbanization and economic growth are causal relation, theimprovement of urbanization can promote economic growth, and economic growthalso can promote the development of urbanization, the two aspects to promote eachother and develop together.2. No matter from short-term or

13、 long-term perspective, the urbanization canpromote the readjustment of industrial structure, the urbanization level increased byone percent, the proportion of non-agricultural industries corresponding increased byII0.1729%.3. The urbanization can promote the readjustment of employment structure, th

14、eimprovement of urbanization can attract the employees to the service industry.4.There is a big gap between urban and rural consumption in Jiangsu province,but with the improvement of urbanization, the income level of resident improve,consumption level gradually improved, It disclosed the fact of th

15、e change ofconsumption model which is on the main of the living type consumption.5. Through the factor analysis to get the comprehensive scores of theurbanization level and the comprehensive scores of economic development of 13cities in Jiangsu province , then find out the coordination degree. As we can know,Coordination degree declines from south to north.KEY WORDS : urbanization ; economic development ; Grange Causality ;coordination degreeIII目录摘要 . IABSTRACT.II目录 .

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