2012年 世界风能发展报告

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1、Global Wind RepoRt AnnuAl mArket updAte 2012 GWeC Global Wind 2012 Report table of contents Local Content Requirements: Cost competitiveness vs. green growth? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 The Global Status of Wind Power in 2012. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Mark

2、et Forecast for 2013-2017 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Australia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Brazil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

3、 . . . . . . . . . . . .26 Canada. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 PR China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 Denmark. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

4、 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34 European Union . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36 Germany. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .38 Global offshore . . . . .

5、 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40 India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44 Japan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

6、. . .46 Mexico . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .48 Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .50 Romania . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

7、. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .52 South Africa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .54 South Korea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .56 Sweden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

8、. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .58 Turkey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .60 Ukraine . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .62 United Ki

9、ngdom. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .64 United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66 About GWEC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

10、. . . . . . .70 3 GWEC Global Wind 2012 Report 2012 was full of surprises for the global wind industry. Most surprising, of course, was the astonishing 8.4 GW installed in the United States during the fourth quarter, as well as the fact that the US eked out China to regain the top spot among global

11、markets for the first time since 2009. This, in combination with a very strong year in Europe, meant that the annual market grew by about 10% to just under 45 GW, and the cumulative market growth of almost 19% means we ended 2012 with 282.5 GW of wind power globally. For the first time in three year

12、s, the majority of installations were inside the OECD. We think that in retrospect this will look like a blip on the graph, but it shows that although we are a maturing industry with an ever-broadening geographic scope, we are still susceptible to major variations in the major markets. 2013 will see

13、 that phenomenon played out again, as after a record 2012, US installations will drop dramatically in 2013, but by just how much is the single largest variable facing the industry at the moment. The Production Tax Credit which was extended by the US Congress on New Years Day means that although the

14、2012 boom will be followed by the inevitable bust in the worlds largest economy, there is another boom of sorts on the horizon, probably in 2014. The retrenchment and consolidation of the Chinese market is the other major variable. The Chinese government is very optimistic about a robust recovery in

15、 2013, although we expect it to take some more time; and the industry in the worlds most populous country will emerge stronger after having seriously grappled with its grid, quality and safety issues. Indias recovery after the lapse of both of its major support schemes will also take some time, with

16、 the Indian market probably not returning to significant growth until 2014. All of this, combined with the wave of policy uncertainty in some key European markets has led us to paint a rather somber picture of the 2013 market, despite exciting new developments in Africa, Latin America and Asia outside of China and India. But the global figures are still primarily determined by the three major markets in Europe, the US and China. As the market broadens, however, we face new challenges, or r

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