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1、2020 CYBERSECURITY THREAT TRENDS OUTLOOK Nine ways threat actors will make waves in 2020 1This report is for informational purposes only, and Booz Allen makes no promises or warranties regarding the content, its accuracy, or your reliance on information contained herein. Introduction.3 Global Balkan
2、ization of Technology.6 Tainted Component: Clones and Counterfeits.9 Cybercrime Hits the Highway.13 Malware Takes Flight: Drones as an Initial Network Infection Vector.17 Shattering Constellations: The Future of Satellites for Earth, Space, and the Internet.20 When Advanced Persistent Threats All Lo
3、ok Alike.24 Digital Elections Interference.26 Cyber Operations Carry Increasing Risk of Conventional Military Response.29 Nation States Poised to Interfere in 2020 Olympics.32 Conclusion.34 References.35 Acknowledgments.39 2 3 The expectations for the year 2020 are massive, as major world events und
4、erscore mounting geopolitical tensions. The United States will elect a president, Tokyo will host the Olympics, and renewable energy is anticipated to outcompete fossil fuels. Likewise, this time of economic uncertainty and increased competition across industry is contributing to the rise of digital
5、 transformation. Unprecedented innovations have been promised to us. Commercial space programs will take us to Mars, we will control devices with microchips implanted in our brains, and cars will be fully autonomous. Whether the above will come to fruition, one thing is for certain: the transformati
6、onal benefits of next-generation technology are here. 3 4 Leaders are investing in digital transformation to increase competitive advantages, drive operational efficiencies, and grow market share. Leading-edge technology companies are manufacturing products faster, advancing logistics processes, and
7、 filling talent gaps. Alongside this rapidly scaling digitalization is organizational convergence. Enterprises are aggressively expanding through mergers and acquisitions, and evolving across geographical markets and industry. All the while, threat actors continue to challenge innovative security sy
8、stems, uncovering gaps and slipping into the globally connected landscape the world is constructing. Organizations that prepare for uncertainty and approach their digital transformation with a security-focused mindset will be better positioned to survive this increasingly hostile connected ecosystem
9、. Todays leaders must approach their security challenges with the same imagination, agility, and tenacity as their adversaries. This report not only captures what we are seeing across a complex cyber landscape but also identifies the necessary actions to remain resilient to continuously evolving thr
10、eats and leverage security as a business enabler. 4 5 Anticipating that the most advanced threat actors would seek to leverage the expanding ecosystem of Internet of Things (IoT) devices found throughout targeted environments, our analysts anticipated that state-sponsored adversaries would train the
11、ir sights on IoT to be leveraged in espionage operations. In August 2019, researchers reported that Russia-aligned threat group APT28 had pivoted from compromised devicesincluding a Voice over Internet Protocol phone, printer, and video decoderto establish a foothold on corporate networks.1 (IoT, St
12、ate-Sponsored Threats) In addition to state-sponsored espionage, criminals have expanded their abuse of IoT. Booz Allen predicted that threat actors would rely on IoT proxy botnets to conceal their malicious activity, and between Q1 2019 and Q2 2019 attack traffic routed through residential IP addresses in the U.S. including IoT devicesnearly quadrupled for the retail and financial services sectors. Further, in June 2019, the U.
