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1、摘要城乡协调发展是“十二五”规划中主要内容之一，而十八届五中全会提出的重点促进城乡区域协调发展，促进经济社会协调发展的战略部署，进一步凸显了城乡协调发展将成为十三五时期发展的核心之一。而城乡经济一体化是城乡协调发展的重要体现，也是城乡均衡发展的重要过程，从20世纪90年代以来安徽经济在快速增长的同时，城乡经济发展不协调却日益凸现。金融发展的早期理论主要分析了经济发展与金融兴盛之间的关系，可这无法代表城乡经济一体化水平。虽然中国经济高速增长，但城乡经济一体化水平没有得到改善。本文通过对相关学者观点研究，强调城乡经济一体化的重要性。梳理了安徽省金融兴盛的机制，然后研究了边际资本产出、金融发展效率、
2、金融发展规模与城乡经济一体化水平的作用。通过对当前的形势总结和实证研究，对相关部门研究安徽省城乡经济一体化的思路提供参考。利用实证分析方法分析安徽省的城乡经济一体化水平，可得结论：金融的不协调发展会反作用于安徽省的城乡经济一体化水平，健全农村金融服务结构可以很好的改善城乡经济二元结构。分析发现，安徽城乡经济一体化水平和金融发展有协整关系。不均衡的金融发展，即农村金融发展水平低下，城市金融业发展更为发达，不利于城乡经济一体化的发展。也就是，城乡金融体系不均衡，将导致二元的经济结构更加严重，降低安徽省城乡经济一体化水平及制约城乡经济一体化发展进程。安徽这种以城市的金融兴盛、金融结构持续扩张，而农村
3、金融发展的速度和结构相对下降金融体系。金融发展的扩散结果小于核心城市群结果，金融不均衡发展反作用于城乡经济一体化发展。如果这种趋势持续下去，将进一步扩大城乡差距，降低经济发展的总体实力，阻碍安徽经济一体化进程。关键词：金融发展，二元经济结构，城乡经济一体化，安徽省 Abstract Coordinated development of urban and rural areas is an important part of the 12th Five Year Plan, the key and the eighteen session of the fifth plenary sessio
4、n to promote the coordinated development of urban and rural areas, promote the strategic deployment of coordinated economic and social development, and further highlights the coordinated development of urban and rural areas will become the core of the thirteen five period of development. The urban-r
5、ural economic integration is an important embodiment of the coordinated development of urban and rural areas, but also an important process of balanced development of urban and rural areas, since 1990s, the rapid growth of Anhuis economy, urban and rural economic development is increasingly prominen
6、t. The early theory of financial development mainly analyzes the relationship between economic development and financial prosperity, but it can not represent the level of urban and rural economic integration. Although Chinas rapid economic growth, but the level of urban and rural economic integratio
7、n has not been improved. In this paper, the importance of the integration of urban and rural economy is emphasized by the relevant scholars views. The mechanism of financial prosperity in Anhui province is studied, and the effects of marginal capital output, the efficiency of financial development,
8、the scale of financial development and the level of economic integration of urban and rural areas are studied. Through the current situation summary and empirical research, the relevant departments to study the integration of urban and rural economy in Anhui province. Using empirical analysis method
9、 to analyze the level of urban and rural economic integration in Anhui Province, it can be concluded that: the development of financial coordination in Anhui provinces urban and rural economic integration level, improve the rural financial service structure can be a good improvement of urban and rur
10、al economic structure of two yuan. The analysis shows that the level of urban and rural economic integration and the financial development of Anhui have a co integration relationship. Unbalanced financial development, that is, the low level of rural financial development, the development of the city
11、s financial industry is more developed, is not conducive to the development of urban and rural economic integration. That is, the urban and rural financial system is not balanced, will lead to more serious economic structure of two yuan, reducing the level of urban and rural economic integration in
12、Anhui province. This shows that the financial system of Anhui is the most important in the city. Financial structure continues to expand, but the proportion of rural finance in the fall. The results of financial development are less than the core city group, and the development of financial imbalanc
13、e is the opposite of the development of urban and rural economic integration. If the situation continues, it will further expand the gap between urban and rural areas, and reduce the overall strength of economic development. Key words: financial development, two yuan economic structure, urban and ru
14、ral economic integration, Anhui ProvinceI 目 录摘要IAbstractII第一章 导论11.1研究背景和意义11.2 城乡一体化的研究综述11.2.1 金融抑制与二元经济结构的研究述评11.2.2金融发展在二元经济结构转换中的影响分析21.2.3 金融发展与二元经济结构转换关系的实证分析31.2.4 简要评述41.4 主要内容51.5 可能的创新点5第2章 金融发展与城乡经济一体化的相关理论回顾52.1 主要的金融发展理论62.1.1 戈德史密斯的金融发展理论2162.1.2 金融抑制和金融深化理论62.1.3 赫尔曼及斯蒂格利茨的理论72.2 城乡经
15、济一体化的理论82.2.1 空想社会主义者的乌托邦思想82.2.2 霍华德的田园城市理论2582.2.3 马克思主义的城乡融合理论2682.2.4 芒福德的城乡发展观2782.2.5 麦基的城乡一体化思想2892.3 城乡经济一体化和金融发展的影响机制理论92.3.1 金融发展对城乡经济一体化的作用92.3.2 金融发展对城乡协调发展的影响102.3.3 金融发展对城镇化进程的作用10第 3 章 金融发展对城乡经济一体化水平的作用机制分析103.1 城乡经济一体化水平和金融发展的概念与度量103.1.1 金融发展的概念与指标衡量103.1.2 量化分析安徽省城乡经济一体化水平113.2 金融发展影响城乡经济一体化水平的机制分析133.2.1 金融发展促进产业结构优化133.2.2产业结构优化是城乡经济一体化的重要部分15第 4 章 安徽省城乡经济一体化与金融发展的现状164.1 安徽省金融发展的现状164.2 安徽省目前城乡经济一体化水平18第 5 章 安徽省金融发展影响城乡经济一体化水平的实证分析215.1 指标构建以及数据选取225.1.1 变量、模型选择225.1.2 统计数据来源225.2 实证分析过程225.2.1 变量平稳性检验ADF 检验235.2.2 Johansen
