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1、金融危机对我国纺织品服装出口影响研究摘要发端于 2007 年 8 月份的美国次贷危机，逐渐演变为席卷全球的世界性金融危机，成为自 1929-1933 年以来最为严重的世界性的经济危机。对世界各国经济造成了重大的影响。中国也是受到重大影响的国家之一。特别是我国的科技含量低的劳动密集型产品出口在此次金融危机中受到重大影响。纺织服装业是典型的劳动密集型产业，从纺织服装原料的生产，原料的加工，到成品的包装出口，大多数环节都需要投入大量的劳动力。纺织品服装出口行业容纳了庞大的就业大军。既然纺织服装行业是劳动密集型产业的典型，因此，解决好金融危机下我国纺织品服装出口问题当然对劳动密集型行业出口有借鉴作用。
2、这不但在缓解我国在金融危机下就业问题有非常重要的意义，而且在推动我国经济发展方面也有重大意义。那么，在此次金融危机中，我国纺织品服装出口是如何受影响的，其原因究竟在哪，应该采取什么措施进行解决？文章通过最新统计数据说明了金融危机对我国纺织品服装出口的影响，旨在说明金融危机对我国纺织品服装出口的影响程度。让读者清楚地看出，我国纺织品服装出口在此次金融危机中受到如此重大的影响，严重影响了我国的就业和经济发展。把要素禀赋理论用于分析我国纺织品服装出口受金融危机影响的问题，分析出我国纺织品服装出口在此次金融危机中受影响是因为纺织品服装产品在此次金融危机中价格过低。因此要想稳定中国纺织品服装出口，提高国
3、际竞争力至关重要。系统地提出了金融危机下影响我国纺织品服装出口的主要因素。由于我国纺织品服装对出口的依赖性过大，国内生产的纺织品服装主要靠出口，这样就增加了我国纺织品服装出口受金融危机影响的可能性。而纺织品服装出口依赖性过大的原因又是内需不足造成。中国的纺织品服装缺乏自己的品牌使得利润I空间小也是中国纺织品服装出口处在刀刃浪尖上。在国际金融危机的大背景下，国外需求下降、发达国家贸易保护主义抬头和人民币升值的压力下中国纺织品服装出口不得不走下坡路。这些因素都是制约我国纺织品服装出口的障碍。找出了这些障碍就为在实际中采取措施排除障碍提供了可能。在挖掘出金融危机下影响我国纺织品服装出口的因素后，再用
4、线性回归模型进行检验。检验的结果验证了影响我国纺织品服装出口的因素是客观存在的。在此基础上着重提出了稳定我国纺织品服装出口的思路。紧急措施是采取出口退税和实行外贸多元化，出口退税让纺织品服装出口企业轻装上阵，度过眼前的难关，实行外贸多元化降低纺织品服装出口企业的出口风险，加强纺织品服装出口公司抵御金融危机等国际因素造成的风险；根本措施是扩大内需，对出口企业实行技术改造并搞好产业结构的调整，减少纺织品服装的出口，也降低了依靠出口带来的风险，走可持续发展之路；辅助措施是走出去战略。金融危机刚刚过去，正值各个国家经济调整时期，在此时我国部分纺织品服装出口企业如果有足够实力，足够的胆识，能够在这乱世之
5、秋抓跨国并购的大好时机，不但可以获得国外先进的技术和设备、国外资产溢价等方面好处，而且可以就地生产就地销售，绕过国外的关税壁垒，也能部分解决我国纺织品服装产能过剩的问题，增加国内就业，为我国这方面的出口企业实行技术改造和产业结构升级，创建自己的品牌打好基础。多管齐下，必将会达到预期的效果。关键词：金融危机；纺织品服装；出口；要素禀赋；产业结构；出口退税IIResearch of the impact that financial crisis brings about on Chinastextile and garment exportABSTRACTBeginning at August
6、2007, subprime mortgage crisis of the U.S. has graduallyevolved into a worldwide financial crisis sweeping the globe, attracting the attentionof the world , which is the worst economic crisis since1929-1933. All the countries inthe world has been badly affected. China is also one of the countries se
7、verely affected.In this paper,the impact on textile and apparel exports of our country are reseached.Since textile and apparel is labor-intensive products, and in this financial crisis, theaffection on labor-intensive products by the financial crisis is the largest and mostobvious, the impact labor-
8、intensive products in the financial crisis is understood, theimpact on other products or sectors of the financial crisis is also evident.The article uses detailed data to describe how the financial crisis to affect Chinastextile and apparel exports , and later on to search the reason hidden behind.
9、First,the Factor Endowment Theory explains that Chinese textile exports affected by thefinancial crisis because the prices textile and apparel products in the financial crisis,prices are distorted. As our country depends on exports of textile and apparel too large,the domestic productions of textile
10、 and apparel are mainly soldby exports, whichwill increase Chinas textile and apparel exports affected by the financial crisis .Thedependence on export of textile and garment is too large because it is caused byinsufficient domestic demand. lack of own brand makes Chinas textile and apparelhave a sm
11、all profit margin and be at the cutting edge .In the background of the globalfinancial crisis, the drop in external demand, trade protectionism and the pressure ofRMB by the developed countries makes Chinas textile and apparel exports have todecline.Excavated under the impact of financial crisis, Ch
12、inas textile export factors, thenIIIare tested by the linear regression models. Test results prove satisfactory that impactfactors of Chinese textile exports are correct. On this basis,it is highlighted how tostable Chinas textile and apparel exports. Urgent measures are export tax rebate anddiversi
13、fication of foreign trade. Export tax rebate makestextile and garment exportbusiness travel light, overcome the immediate difficulties. The implementation oftrade diversification reduces the export of textile and garment export business risk,enhances textile and garment export companies to resist th
14、e risks caused byinternational factors like the financial crisis; Fundamental measure is to expanddomestic demand, adjust technological transformation of export enterprises andimprove the industrial structure, to reduce the export of textiles and clothing the risksof relying on exports, take the road of sustainable development; Auxiliary measure isgoing-out strategy. At this time of the world economic crisis, some Chinese textile andgarment export business, if they are strong and brave enough to grasp goldenopportunity in this turbulent autumn to cross-border mergers and acquisitions, acce
