印度崛起与纺织业机遇

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1、 INDIA RISING: OPPORTUNITIES IN NONWOVENS AND TECHNICAL TEXTILES Seshadri Ramkumar and Appachi Arunachalam Nonwoven and Advanced Materials Laboratory Texas Tech University, Lubbock, Texas. Email: s.ramkumarttu.edu India will defy the existing nonwoven growth theory and will grow exponentially from 2

2、035 with the rising income levels. Indias growth in the technical textile industry in the next two decades will be faster than the one witnessed by the US and Europe in the last three decades Our Prediction. Introduction Economy, in particular the losses of manufacturing jobs occupy the centre stage

3、 in the Presidential election campaigns in the US these days. This has been a dramatic shift from other issues that were considered priority six months back. Some economic pundits are predicting recession in 2008 in the United States. However, this situation is quite a contrast 10,000 miles away Ind

4、ia. India is rising and moving ahead with opportunities in every sector. For the past four years, Indias GDP has grown over 8%. The growth in 2007 reached as high as 9.4% and is predicted to be in between 8-9% in 2008. The Indian middle class population is over 300 million which is set to spearhead

5、the growth of the nonwoven and technical textile industry. According to Goldman Sachs, Indias economy will exceed the economy of Europe and Japan by 2030 and that of the US by 2045. Such a growth is possible because of the increase in household incomes and the predicted growth in agriculture, manufa

6、cturing and service sectors. The consumer spending level is growing over 5% per annum which has resulted in the ongoing growth of organized retail sectors. Indias population of 1.1 billion of which one-third being middle income group, plays an important role with the growth of Indias economy. India

7、has roughly one hundred million people who are less than 25 years in age, out of which approximately 25 million are highly educated and this number is still growing. The economy gets a boost due to the growing middle class, young and educated population. These are vital factors for the growth of non

8、woven and technical textile industry in India. The 11th five year plan of the Government of India (April 2007- March 2012) calls for an all inclusive growth which is expected to reach double digits by the end of the fiscal year 2012. This clearly emphasizes the growth needed in agriculture and manuf

9、acturing sectors, as the IT and service sectors have done extremely well in recent years. Taking this mandate of the National Planning Council into consideration, the Ministry of Textiles of India has taken nonwoven and technical textile sector as an important thrust area for support and growth. Sev

10、eral positive schemes at the central government level have been implemented to support the growth of the nonwoven and technical textile industry in India. A major support scheme has been the launching of the National Technology Mission for Technical Textiles by the Honorable Prime Minister of India,

11、 which will be implemented during the 11th five year plan to promote the development of the technical textile industry base in India with a budget of US$ 170 million. This technology mission is in addition to the inclusion of technical textiles sector in the Technology Upgradation Fund scheme. These

12、 supportive schemes from the Government of India as well as the growth in the middle class population are expected to change the nature of the technical textile industry in the next five to ten years. This fits with the goal of India Inc. and the vision of the Ex-President of India, Dr. Abdul Kalam

13、to enable India to be an industrialized and developed nation by 2020. This article will highlight some of the recent developments that have taken place in India to boost the technical textile industry. In addition, we predict that Indias per capita consumption of nonwovens will exceed than that of t

14、he United States at a per capita GDP of US$50,000. An important prediction is that in the next two decades, the rate of growth of nonwoven and technical textile industry will be far ahead than what it was in the US and Europe during the last three decades, during which the industry in the western he

15、misphere grew and matured. Therefore, growth is certain in India and hence it is the place for international players to be active. Indias Consumption of Nonwovens (2007-2050) The liberalization of the Indian economy in 1991 coincided with the booming of information technology sector. This fortuitous

16、 development has led to the growth of middle class population with disposable incomes. In addition, since 2000 India is gearing up with one-stop superstores which are commonly referred to as “big bazaars” and most recently with organized retail stores and malls. The economy and the growth in the sales outlets will lead to a higher consumption of disposable items such as nonwovens. Furthermore, the Government is planning to spend a large sum of money for infrastructure projects suc

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