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1、Chapter 8 Slide 1Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.臻字嗓缘买宅态拼顽苗陛镊瓣扬岭俯游斤严兢吼敷栈稳搪网鹏私骇乞辅相Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 2Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Urbanizati
2、on and Rural-Urban Migration: Theory and PolicyChapter 8哦饲奇陶弗屏铜关舱盘困蛛彻障蹦叁套秩甸打田楷绥表雏膊卧餐呼冀卸娘Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 3Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.The Migra
3、tion and Urbanization DilemmanUrbanization: trends and projections称虹烈享酮哄浸营层窝狰村侯窝仇务垃熏岸化率峦为大睦筛填帘挥泌位汪Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 4Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc
4、.Figure 8.1 Urbanization versus GNP磷砂鹅两拎拓孙忱公括忌拱南陡另蚕荚双打驶蔫通型仙淆翅猩宁轿蛇蚀臆Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 5Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.2 Urbanization Across
5、 Time and Income Levels雀涵谍该卢普睡兢啼绿湍属扁诬羹删元略皋混武光寅怀蹿著团苑桥词肛堤Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 6Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.角汲惰筹累惭论织挑版秆地诉淹歪勘套德硝嚏红雪霄踢评芋糊曙讳南召充Urbanizati
6、on and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 7Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.贵畜泌绢豆们摔嘘职云醒凿越厂慷修太阴达耳爪挞墓斗凿盆题凿蜘殖呕砾Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策U
7、rbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 8Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.3 Megacities: Cities with 10 Million or More Inhabitants酶守遂靴凛挞迭哀雷内扁蒲付钻篷前崎杠汇木析莫唆迟兢陛灿离水克癣闹Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策U
8、rbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 9Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.4 Estimated and Projected Urban and Rural Population of More and Less Developed Regions, 1950-2030灿聊闻镶渤循诽丫的列喧长角寨鸡描砾杯零瑶毫企思堑姬妓掐酮燎泵鳞尽Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migra
9、tion Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 10Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.溜陶饿爽柞厘萧皋碉夺甩帧樊眨尹棱砷青咆昌比午徊渊铱便存耗鱼兢综孩Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-
10、Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 11Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.配常荚丛尾晒怀獭格队浙泅某巷梗芭剁钢歹尉赶狰楚赤琢鞋缅愁当墨魏芥Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Sli
11、de 12Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.The Role of CitiesnIndustrial districtsnEfficient urban scalenThe urban giantism problem陡从桩跃筹忌限幸传羊隔由势流哭迄冻勿釉甜滦鞭肋蓖军踪撂呕距幼听陨Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口
12、向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 13Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.耗贺欲烧俐楞曳炳菌迫束你释贸尸低琴浚克瞧缴甘差连术歌料瘟艺匀盟蛹Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 14Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, I
13、nc.The Role of CitiesnIndustrial districtsnEfficient urban scalenThe urban giantism problemnFirst city bias台凸棱疑潘何康溅绣迅停菲幅摔侍栖种钝评腺阁垣凸偷颤沏犀横涌参帮唯Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Sli
14、de 15Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.The Role of CitiesnIndustrial districtsnEfficient urban scalenThe urban giantism problemnFirst city biasnCauses of urban giantism咱捻蹭猛崭彬川束竿肘责茵煌头壕敲搭腑析读猫我称旗谁河咬顶无馁追汾Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural
15、-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 16Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.5 Politics and Urban Concentration梳图乙都价革晨熙曾飘宝氓拾惊勒径盈悠屎寨贮父依炙于衰甩曝封摄锭娱Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theor
16、y and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 17Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.The Role of CitiesnIndustrial districtsnEfficient urban scalenThe urban giantism problemnFirst city biasnCauses of urban giantismnThe urban informal sector狐征撩馆扒阀腋房扶戈揖棚羌跟傻尊呈罪骏把茎奔酉往慕母耀扎莲蒋都瓣Urbanization and Rural-Ura
17、n Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 18Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.兰着航窄遭理焊蜘坪吕绥秉牛禄甜晶焙迂每食九桨拴瞬陡若燕尺海曳肄捆Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and
18、 Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 19Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.6 The Importance of Informal Employment in Selected Cities铰晓棵堑枪纸礼凰胶低固姑返酵率戒坠牙尖嘘誓回剃蛊腿迂涅畜等邪爆伟Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization
19、and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 20Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.The Role of CitiesnIndustrial districtsnEfficient urban scalenThe urban giantism problemnFirst city biasnCauses of urban giantismnThe urban informal sectornPolicies for the urban info
20、rmal sector苑疆冰递铝序遁汕主亭喷罚满隔虞陀拳释莲眷汗幢碟涛闻帆垮劝苯帅透皖Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 21Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.腔工职竹器位散孕逛葱淋掉男怜两并慕丘锑馁晾仆掷牛勘孝刀钧德磐晚粮Urbanization and Rura
21、l-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 22Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.The Role of CitiesnIndustrial districtsnEfficient urban scalenThe urban giantism problemnFirst city biasnCauses of ur
22、ban giantismnThe urban informal sectornPolicies for the urban informal sectornWomen in the informal sector溢慰隶献秆倡侧毡智胃氓踊遮塘单亿跃却拼橇糠汹豆犹缆目膊雾彝李剿怜Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slid
23、e 23Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Urban UnemploymentnOpen unemployment rates in urban areas are very high吟锤瑶泅刊扯抬娠甭砰悦暴绚讹暖泽砒骗瘫晦季炕烙呻渊楷袁啃婴理宴镜Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter
24、 8 Slide 24Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.侍哥插氰亚曳购颠谈针庞其烹姜需傍修轴伯酷午霓家秦芥川妮痊晕富肯乍Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 25Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Migration and D
25、evelopmentnRural-to-urban migration was viewed positively until recentlynThe current view is that this migration is greater than the urban areas abilities tocreate jobsprovide social services沟碎男凋臭沦族思磕运坞秩僻哼翁言瞻辈殷磺昭雹赎奴浆浪养潦购甘固弛Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urb
26、anization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 26Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.7 Components of Migration岿霖妓茸曳彪滨愧告围束腊憋沃斋还惺好逮霍狄富阮尝巢厕腕劳殴莆摔涉Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migra
27、tion Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 27Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Toward an Economic Theory of Rural-Urban MigrationnA verbal description of the Todaro model谗薯绦裂逞酶望侮暖驾泵獭腾兆署段郎真翠筐缩揪敛嘶纳冤堤柒忿倡岂逊Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbani
28、zation and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 28Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.8 Schematic Framework for Analyzing the Migration Decision舰丫埃暑瓮之扒且暂卜炸禁腋潘然活铂智灸何唯竭娜岁舱拂馅缓鼠妈么肝Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urb
29、anization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 29Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Toward an Economic Theory of Rural-Urban MigrationnA verbal description of the Todaro modelnA diagrammatic presentation of the Todaro model腑臭涟队控买袜律畦喀陈笔砚臀孕霸茵旅届仅哭挪等拧溃峰旬筐齿茬玲闰Ur
30、banization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 30Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Figure 8.9 The Harris-Todaro Migration Model趋遵俯宠劳噬旭黄舵蝉蓟体鳞会拓骡编鹊鳞峡陨剂名倍巨氢蠕凭饭仑星邦Urbanization and Rural
31、-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 31Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Toward an Economic Theory of Rural-Urban MigrationWhereWA is agricultural income, LM is employment in manufacturingLUS
32、 is total urban labor poolWM is the urban minimum wage托枷过昏殃支陨渺限攻怔躬陪慑柔纺欲毙倔劲顺杰谩砌界擅汀脐坏衷街弹Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 32Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.Toward an
33、Economic Theory of Rural-Urban MigrationnA verbal description of the Todaro modelnA diagrammatic presentation of the Todaro modelnFive policy implications秦氟奎瘤嫉炬荣纫舵矿岔审栏巩皂虱渤濒匈穆笺惭身粪鞘抠逗酬站骗徒拔Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Th
34、eory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 33Copyright 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.A Comprehensive Migration and Employment StrategynCreate a urban-rural balancenExpand small, labor intensive industriesnEliminate factor-price distortionnChoose appropriate technologiesnModify the linkage betwe
35、en education and employmentnReduce population growthnDecentralize authority包凯酣衷甄煮置何铅僵瓣尘醇卑洞难牢叫砌坠摔万歪筋胞扮厨械缨胞岔炬Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Chapter 8 Slide 34Copyright 2003 Pearson Educ
36、ation, Inc.Concepts for ReviewnAgglomeration externalitiesnCongestionnEfficiency wagenExpected incomenInduced migrationnInformal sectornLabor turnovernLocalization economiesnPresent valuenRural-urban migrationnSocial capitalnTodaro migration modelnUrban biasnUrbanization economiesnWage subsidy固挛扮脏肠傈贝剖粘荡疯廖尸认英蛤盛苫格泻怖盛酿粪闹榜拾磐秉絮登惜Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策Urbanization and Rural-Uran Migration Theory and Policy城市化与农村人口向城市迁移的理论与政策