KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125

上传人:M****1 文档编号:571127509 上传时间:2024-08-08 格式:PPT 页数:12 大小:245KB
返回 下载 相关 举报
KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125_第1页
第1页 / 共12页
KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125_第2页
第2页 / 共12页
KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125_第3页
第3页 / 共12页
KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125_第4页
第4页 / 共12页
KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125_第5页
第5页 / 共12页
点击查看更多>>
资源描述

《KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125》由会员分享,可在线阅读,更多相关《KOREANBANKS:WELLFLAGGEDEARNINGSMISSIN4Q120125(12页珍藏版)》请在金锄头文库上搜索。

1、FIGKorea BanksKorean banksWell-flagged earnings miss in 4Q1225 January 2013Todd Dunivant*Head of Banks Research, Asia-PacificThe Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation LimitedabcGlobal Research One-off provisioning expenses andequity impairment losses to push 4Qprofits below consensus Expect no t

2、op-line surprises givencontinued NIM compression, flat loangrowth; core earnings to remain weak Weak trends likely to continue in 1H13;prefer Shinhan FinancialExpect 4Q12 earnings miss due to one-off costs. Banks underour coverage will release 4Q12 results on 6-7 February. Weexpect there to be no bi

3、g surprises in top-line growth, with tameloan growth and falling net interest margins, as anticipated bythe market. However, the bottom line is more uncertain, as one-off losses remain a swing factor. Losses on securities (Table 1)and provisions for shipbuilders (Table 2) should push 4Q profitbelow

4、consensus; worst case 46% below for Woori FHC.+852 2996 .hkWe expect the weak trend to persist until a turnaroundSinyoung Park*AnalystThe Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited,Seoul Securities Branchin 2H13. The outlook for core operating metrics remainsunexciting going into 1H13 (1) NIM

5、 compression: Weexpect 4Q NIMs to decline 9bp q-o-q on average, on the back+822 3706 of the Bank of Korea (BOK) rate cuts (Jul/Oct 2012) and dueSojung Park*AnalystThe Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited,Seoul Securities Branchto the ongoing regulatory pressure on loan spreads (Table 2)

6、.NIM compression is unlikely to stop in 1H13 until we see arate hike in 3Q13. (2) Lacklustre loan growth: Loan growth+822 3706 should slow in 4Q12 (0.5-1% q-o-q) for the sector due to adelayed recovery in the domestic property market, tightenedrisk management, and corporates looking to strengthen th

7、eirbalance sheet at the year-end. (3) Costs seasonally higher in4Q: Credit costs and SG&A expenses are seasonally higherin 4Q. As the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has guidedthat banks should apply more stringent provisioning criteriafor shipbuilders, higher provisioning is likely, and Woorish

8、ould be hit the hardest.View HSBC Global Research at: http:/*Employed by a non-US affiliate of HSBC Securities (USA) Inc,and is not registered/qualified pursuant to FINRA regulationsIssuer of report: The Hongkong and Shanghai BankingCorporation Limited, Seoul Securities BranchDisclaimer & Disclosure

9、sThis report must be read with thedisclosures and the analyst certificationsin the Disclosure appendix, and with theDisclaimer, which forms part of itPrefer Shinhan 055550 KS, OW, TP KRW50,000.Korean bank share prices are up c14% since mid-November2012. Asian economic data look increasingly positive

10、, and themarket has begun to understand the scale of 4Q provisioningby Korean banks. Shares have risen to 0.65x the 1yr forwardbook from 0.57x in this period. Higher-beta names Hana andWoori have outperformed. We believe Shinhan offers morecore earnings stability; with a muted 2013 growth outlook, i

11、tappears the best longer-term option at this point.(KRWbn)FIGKorea Banks25 January 20134Q earnings preview One-off costs from equity impairment losses on securities andprovisions for shipbuilders push 4Q profits below consensus Expect no top-line surprises on lacklustre loan growth andcontinued NIM

12、compression; core earnings remain weak Weak operating trends likely to continue in 1H13abcExpect 4Q12 earnings missdue to one-off costs andseasonalityWe expect Korean banks to post lacklustreearnings in 4Q (20% lower than consensus),primarily because of one-off costs and seasonality.Provisioning hik

13、e on shipbuildersWe expect another quarter of high provisioningfor Korean banks in 4Q12, which is likely todisappoint the market. This is due mainly tofinancial regulators pressure to set aside furtherprovisions on the shipbuilding sector. There aresome shipbuilders with impaired shareholdersequity

14、(e.g. SPP Shipbuilding and Sung DongShipbuilding), and the FSS has guided that banksFig 1. Net profit in 4Q12e: HSBC vs consensus500should apply more stringent provisioning criteriabased on individual credit evaluation rather thanpreviously held group evaluation.Woori Finance Holdings is known to ha

15、ve thelargest exposure to those shipbuilders, and otherlarge-cap banks also have exposures of more thanKRW200bn each. Thus, the additional provisioningimpacts 4Q earnings by 10-60% across the sector.Equity impairment lossesIn 3Q12, Korean banks earnings were hit by theequity impairment losses on sec

16、urities (POSCOand Kumho Industrial). Under IFRS, banks arerequired to realize equity impairment losses on theincome statement if the share price falls below30% of the purchase price. As those stocks fellFig 2. Net profit in 4Q12e: HSBC vs consensus0%400300400300-10%-20%200100-1651301206040-30%-40%Sh

17、inhan KBIBK Woori HanaBSDGB-50%DGBBSShinhan IBKKBHanaWoori2HSBCNote: Consensus as of 12-Jan-2013Source: Bloomberg, HSBC estimatesConsensusNote: Consensus as of 12-Jan-2013Source: Bloomberg, HSBC estimatesFIGKorea Banks25 January 2013Table 1. Korean banks: Impairment losses on securities holdings in

18、4Q12eabc(KRWbn)_ Impairment losses _ _ Additional provisioning _POSCO Kumho Hyundai MM Taesan LCD Shipbuilders KEB severanceIndustrialbenefitsTotalKBHana2614774030100254950173175Shinhan0IBK77WooriBSDGB1224025200Source: Company data, HSBC estimatesfurther in 4Q12, we expect Korean banks to seeadditio

19、nal write-offs. Details in Table 1.Weak core earningsWe expect lacklustre loan growth and continuedNIM compression; the core earnings driversremain muted for the banks. However, thesefactors should not surprise to the market.1. NIM compressionWe expect 4Q NIM to decline 9bp q-o-q onaverage, on the b

20、ack of two BOK rate cuts (Julyand October 2012) and ongoing regulatorypressure on loan spreads (Table 2).NIM compression is unlikely to stop or reverse in1H13 until we see a rate hike in 3Q13, whichcould be a potential catalyst for NIM recovery.According to HSBC economist, Bank of Koreawill keep rat

21、es low to support growth and it willrestart its rates normalisation process by graduallyraising rates from 3Q13 to 3.75% by 4Q14.Among banks, we think IBKs NIM will be hit thehardest in 4Q, by -10bp (Shinhan has a high baseTable 2. Korea banks: HSBC projections for 4Q12e NIMeffect). We believe IBKs

22、NIM is unlikely to recovereven in 2014, despite the rate hikes expected in3Q13, as it has lowered its SME lending ratessince January 2012, as suggested by regulators.2. Lacklustre loan growthWe expect the loan growth to further slow downin 4Q12 (0.5-1% q-o-q) for the sector. We believethat the trend

23、 will persist through 2013 due to adelayed recovery of the domestic property market,and tightened risk management.As shown in Figures 3-4, in terms of corporateloans, we expect Korean banks lending attitudesare expected to turn more conservative, while theloan demand remains high, especially from th

24、eSMEs, according to the BOKs survey on banklending practices. Also, on the household loanside, lenders attitudes are improving after 2011,but still weaker than corporate loans. Moreimportantly, the trajectory of loan demands has adownward slope due to delayed recovery of thedomestic property market.

25、(%)KBHanaKEBShinhanIBKWooriBSDGBAverage4Q112.391.742.522.102.392.482.883.022.441Q122.271.722.472.092.372.512.842.932.402Q122.231.792.422.022.182.362.792.842.333Q122.121.702.302.002.082.292.702.702.244Q12e2.081.642.261.861.982.252.612.652.17Q-o-q (bp)-0.04-0.06-0.04-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.09-0.05-0.07Sourc

26、e: Company data, HSBC estimates3IBKFIGKorea Banks25 January 2013Fig 3. Korean Banks: Loan Demand IndexFig 4. Korean Banks: Lending Attitude Indexabc50403020100-10-204Q074Q084Q094Q104Q114Q123020100-10-20-30-404Q074Q084Q09Total4Q104Q114Q12TotalLarge corpSMEHousehold (ex -mortgage)Household (mortgage)S

27、ource: Survey on Bank Lending Practices (BOK), HSBCAs asset growth slows across the sector, focus willshift to liability structure and difference betweenthe banks deposit mix.Earnings previews, by bankHana FinancialWe expect Hana Financial to report (7-Feb-2013)KRW120bn in net profit for 4Q12 (down

28、82% q-o-q). Our 16% lower-than-consensus earningsforecast is based mainly on projected one-offcosts for (1) severance benefits (-KRW50bn),expected (2) impairment losses on securitiesholdings (-KRW44bn), and (3) our forecast ofKRW49bn in additional provisioning on itssubsidiary KEB to match the provi

29、sioningstandards to Hana Bank.KB FinancialWe expect KB Financial to report (7-Feb-2013)KRW300bn of net profit in 4Q12 (-32% q-o-q).Our 16% lower-than-consensus earnings forecastis driven by (1) projected impairment losses onsecurities holdings (-KRW66bn) and (2) expectedadditional provisioning expen

30、ses on shipbuilders(-KRW100bn), as per the regulators request.We expect IBK to report (7-Feb-2013) KRW165bnin net profit for 4Q12 (15% lower than consensus).This is due mainly to a projected decline in NIM(down 10bp versus the sector down 7bp q-o-q),4Large corpSMEHousehold (ex -mortgage)Household (m

31、ortgage)Source: Survey on Bank Lending Practices (BOK), HSBCled by continued loan yield cuts for SMEs. Weexpect KRW7bn in impairment losses onsecurities holdings to drag down the bottom lineearnings further.Shinhan FinancialWe expect Shinhan Financial to report (7-Feb-2013) KRW400bn in net profit fo

32、r 4Q12. Thiswell-rounded number is 11% lower than theconsensus. We expect no one-off factors inShinhan Financial to drag down earnings in 4Q.Note that Shinhan will post the largest contractionin NIM in a q-o-q basis, but this is attributablemainly to high base effect. (3Q NIM: Shinhan -2bpvs sector

33、-9bp q-o-q).Woori Finance HoldingsWe expect Woori Finance to report (7-Feb-2013)KRW130bn in net profit for 4Q12, which is likelyto miss the consensus estimate (by -46%). Thelacklustre earnings are due to the additionalprovisioning on shipbuilders (-KRW240bn).BS FinancialWe expect BS Financial to rep

34、ort (6-Feb-2013)KRW60bn in net profit for 4Q12, lower thanconsensus (7% loss). Loan growth should remainrobust at 2% q-o-q, but we expect NIM to fall by9bp q-o-q.FIGKorea Banks25 January 2013DGB FinancialShinhan Financial Group: SOTP valuationabcWe expect DGB Financial to report (6-Feb-2013)net prof

35、it of KRW40bn in 4Q12, in line withconsensus. Loan growth should remain robust at(KRWbn)Shinhan BankCard subsidiariesValuation Impliedmethod PB (x)PB 0.849x PEEquity20,860Adj. Fairequity value15,215 12,7296,9951.5% q-o-q, and we expect NIM to fall by 5bpShinhan Inv CorpShinhan LifePB10x PE0.802,1192

36、,119 1,6952,369q-o-q.Valuation and risksValuation methodologyWe use ROE and price-to-book-based valuationsfor the banks under our coverage and sum-of-the-parts valuations for the diversified bank holdcos(Shinhan and Woori Financial Group). For ourROE/PB method, we value the main subsidiariesusing PB

37、 and ROE, with our target PB derivedfrom the equation (ROE g) / (COE g), whereROE stands for normalised return on equity, gstands for the long-term growth rate and COEstands for cost of equity. Although Hana Financialis strictly a financial holdco, we also value itbased on ROE and PB, as it accounts

38、 for morethan 90% of group earnings.Under HSBCs Equity Research model, theNeutral rating band equals the local hurdle rate(average cost of equity) set by our Global EquityStrategy Team (10% for South Korea), plus orminus 10ppt for volatile stocks or 5ppt for non-volatile stocks. At the time we set o

39、ur target prices,they implied potential returns above, below, orwithin these bands; accordingly, we rate the stocksOverweight, Underweight, or Neutral, with a (V)if the stock is volatile (see Disclosure appendix forHSBCs definition of volatility). Potential returnequals the percentage difference bet

40、ween thecurrent share price and the target price, includingthe forecast dividend yield when indicated.Shinhan Financial Group055550 KS KRW40,150; OW, TP: KRW50,000We value Shinhan on a sum-of-the-parts analysis.Consolidated EV 23,788Shares outstanding 0.474Target price (KRW) 50,000Notes: (1) We calc

41、ulated adjusted equity by subtracting reserves for credit losses and PFexposures are net of provisions from the BV; (3) We calculated banks implied PB with thefollowing assumptions (COE of 12.55%, ROE of 10.5%, growth rate of 0%)Source: HSBC estimatesHana Financial Group086790 KS KRW39,350; N(V), TP

42、 KRW39,000We value Hana Financial on a PB and ROEmethodology, as bank subsidiaries (Hana Bankand KEB) take up more than 95% of groupearnings. Our key assumptions are as follows: COE of 14.3% (unchanged) calculated from arisk-free market rate of 3.0%, a market riskpremium of 7.5%, and a beta of 1.5;

43、Sustainable ROE of 9%, based on our 2013eROE estimate for Hana (unchanged) Terminal growth rate of 0% (unchanged)KB Financial Group105560 KS KRW39,400; OW, TP: KRW45,000We value KB Financial using PB and ROE basedon a 2013e adjusted book value. Our valuationassumptions are as follows: COE of 14.1% c

44、alculated from a risk-freemarket rate of 3.0% and a market riskpremium of 7.5%, and a beta of 1.5 Sustainable ROE of 9.7% derived by ourFY14 ROE estimate of 8.8% plus 80bp toreflect potential ROE accretion viacapital management Terminal growth rate of 0% PB of 0.75x, derived from the equation(ROE g)

45、 / (COE g)Our assumptions are shown in the following table.5FIGKorea Banks25 January 2013BS Financial Group138930 KS KRW14,050; N(V); TP: KRW14,500We value BS Financial using PB and ROE basedon 2013e adjusted book value, with our target PBderived from the equation (ROE g) / (COE g).Our valuation ass

46、umptions are as follows: COE of 10.6% calculated using a risk-freemarket rate of 3.0%, a market risk premiumof 7.5%, and a beta of 1.0 Sustainable ROE of 12.0% based onaverage ROE of 2012 and 2013e; terminalgrowth rate of 2%DGB Financial Group139130 KS KRW14,150; N(V), TP: KRW16,300We value DGB Fina

47、ncial using a simple growthmodel. Our target PB is set using the equation(ROE g) / (COE g), as the majority ofearnings are driven by the bank subsidiary (DaeguBank). Our valuation assumptions are as follows: Sustainable ROE of 12.3%, terminal growthrate of 0% COE of 11.2%, based on a risk-free rate

48、of 3%,equity risk premium of 7.5%, and beta of 1.1 End-2013e adjusted book value ofKRW2,004bnWoori Finance Holding053000 KS KRW12,200; N, TP KRW11,300See sum-of-the-parts valuation table below.Woori Finance Holdings: SOTP valuationIndustrial Bank of Korea (IBK)024110 KS KRW11,800; N, TP: KRW13,600Ou

49、r valuation is based on FY13e PB and ROE,with assumptions are as follows: COE of 14.4% calculated from a risk-freemarket rate of 3.0%, market risk premium of7.5%, and beta of 1.52 Sustainable ROE of 9.8%, calculated from theaverage ROE of FY13-14e; terminal growthrate of 0% End-2013e adjusted book v

50、alue ofKRW12,035bnabc(KRWbn)Woori BankKyongnam BankKwangju BankWoori I&SValuation methodpostPBPBPBPBImplied PB (x)post0.460.460.460.80Equitypost19,8372,1391,4763,480Adj. equitypost15,5001,1771,017Fair valuepost7,143542468973ConsolidatedShares outstandingTarget price (KRW)9,1260.80611,300Notes: (1) A

51、s of 2013e; (2) We calculated adjusted equity by subtracting reserves for credit losses and PF exposures are net of provisions from the BV; (3) We calculated banks implied PB withthe following assumptions (COE of 17.6%, ROE of 8% calculated by average ROE of FY13e and FY14e (down from 9.5% previousl

52、y), growth rate of 0%)Source: HSBC estimates6IBKFIGKorea Banks25 January 2013Risks to our viewsShinhan Financial GroupKey downside risks include (1) suddendeterioration in the macro economy; (2) adownturn in debt capital markets, which couldraise liquidity concerns for highly leveragedfinancial comp

53、anies like Shinhan; and (3) anynew regulatory restrictions on credit cardcompanies in which Shinhan has the largestmarket share.Hana Financial GroupDownside risks include (1) asset qualitydeterioration on the back of a renewed economicslowdown; (2) delay of pending KEB acquisition;pressure from exce

54、ssive capital raised in February2011; and (3) any potential sector consolidation.Upside risks include: (1) faster-than-expectedclosure of KEB deal; (2) a sudden recovery in themacro economy, which could lead to strong top-linegrowth via robust loan growth; and (3) potentialactive capital management

55、via treasury buybacks.KB Financial GroupKey downside risks include: (1) a significantlyhigher-than-expected increase in write-downs onproblematic sectors (shipbuilding andconstruction) or PF exposure; and (2) a sudden,sharp deterioration in the macro economy, whichDGB Financial GroupThe key downside

56、 risks include (1) a suddendeterioration in asset quality owing to property-related project financing and (2) share pricevolatility due to lower share liquidity (13x lowerthan those of large cap banks). Key upside risksinclude greater-than-expected improvement in theregional economy and in fee incom

57、e.Woori Financial HoldingKey upside risks include (1) successful executionof government privatisation and (2) a suddenmacro recovery, which could lead a greater creditcost recovery and benefit Woori more than itspeers as it has the most NPLs in the sector. Keydownside risks include: (1) a sudden det

58、eriorationof asset quality, (2) any value destruction toexisting shareholders on the process of thegovernments privatisation, and (3) a marked dropin NIM due to fierce competition.Key upside risks are (1) easing regulatory risks; (2) asudden recovery in the macro economy, which couldlead to strong t

59、op-line growth (via robust loangrowth). Key downside risks are (1) overhang risksrelated to government privatisation plans; (2) adeterioration of SME finances on the back of arenewed economic slowdown.abccould lead to a rise in provisioning costs.BS Financial GroupThe key downside risks include (1)

60、an aggressiveM&A strategy, which could impact capitalmanagement; (2) unexpected regional economicslowdown in the Busan area; (3) unstable debtcapital market conditions, which could raisefunding costs; and (4) higher-than-expected write-backs from its NPLs, given lower exposure towork-out loans. Key

61、upside risks include higher-than-expected write-backs from NPLs owing tolow exposure to work-out loans.7FIGKorea Banksabc25 January 2013Disclosure appendixAnalyst CertificationThe following analyst(s), economist(s), and/or strategist(s) who is(are) primarily responsible for this report, certifies(y)

62、 that theopinion(s) on the subject security(ies) or issuer(s) and/or any other views or forecasts expressed herein accurately reflect theirpersonal view(s) and that no part of their compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specificrecommendation(s) or views contained in

63、this research report: Todd Dunivant, Sinyoung Park and Sojung ParkImportant disclosuresStock ratings and basis for financial analysisHSBC believes that investors utilise various disciplines and investment horizons when making investment decisions, whichdepend largely on individual circumstances such

64、 as the investors existing holdings, risk tolerance and other considerations.Given these differences, HSBC has two principal aims in its equity research: (1) to identify long-term investment opportunitiesbased on particular themes or ideas that may affect the future earnings or cash flows of compani

65、es on a 12-month horizon; and(2) from time to time to identify short-term investment opportunities that are derived from fundamental, quantitative, technicalor event-driven techniques on a 0- to 3-month horizon and which may differ from our long-term investment rating. HSBC hasassigned ratings for i

66、ts long-term investment opportunities as described below.This report addresses only the long-term investment opportunities of the companies referred to in the report. As and when HSBCpublishes a short-term trading idea the stocks to which these relate are identified on the website at of these short

67、-term investment opportunities can be found under the Reports section of this website.HSBC believes an investors decision to buy or sell a stock should depend on individual circumstances such as the investorsexisting holdings and other considerations. Different securities firms use a variety of rati

68、ngs terms as well as different ratingsystems to describe their recommendations. Investors should carefully read the definitions of the ratings used in each researchreport. In addition, because research reports contain more complete information concerning the analysts views, investorsshould carefully

69、 read the entire research report and should not infer its contents from the rating. In any case, ratings should notbe used or relied on in isolation as investment advice.Rating definitions for long-term investment opportunitiesStock ratingsHSBC assigns ratings to its stocks in this sector on the fol

70、lowing basis:For each stock we set a required rate of return calculated from the cost of equity for that stocks domestic or, as appropriate, regionalmarket established by our strategy team. The price target for a stock represents the value the analyst expects the stock to reach overour performance h

71、orizon. The performance horizon is 12 months. For a stock to be classified as Overweight, the potential return,which equals the percentage difference between the current share price and the target price, including the forecast dividend yieldwhen indicated, must exceed the required return by at least

72、 5ppt over the next 12 months (or 10ppt for a stock classified as Volatile*).For a stock to be classified as Underweight, the stock must be expected to underperform its required return by at least 5pptover the next 12 months (or 10ppt for a stock classified as Volatile*). Stocks between these bands

73、are classified as Neutral.Our ratings are re-calibrated against these bands at the time of any material change (initiation of coverage, change ofvolatility status or change in price target). Notwithstanding this, and although ratings are subject to ongoing managementreview, expected returns will be

74、permitted to move outside the bands as a result of normal share price fluctuations withoutnecessarily triggering a rating change.*A stock will be classified as volatile if its historical volatility has exceeded 40%, if the stock has been listed for less than 12months (unless it is in an industry or

75、sector where volatility is low) or if the analyst expects significant volatility. However,stocks which we do not consider volatile may in fact also behave in such a way. Historical volatility is defined as the past845%18%1234567891011FIGKorea Banksabc25 January 2013months average of the daily 365-da

76、y moving average volatilities. In order to avoid misleadingly frequent changes in rating,however, volatility has to move 2.5ppt past the 40% benchmark in either direction for a stocks status to change.Rating distribution for long-term investment opportunitiesAs of 24 January 2013, the distribution o

77、f all ratings published is as follows:Overweight (Buy)(28% of these provided with Investment Banking Services)Neutral (Hold)Underweight (Sell)37%(27% of these provided with Investment Banking Services)(22% of these provided with Investment Banking Services)Information regarding company share price p

78、erformance and history of HSBC ratings and price targets in respect of its long-term investment opportunities for the companies the subject of this report,is available from & Analyst disclosuresDisclosure checklistCompanyBS FINANCIAL GROUPDGB FINANCIAL GROUPHANA FGLINDUSTRIAL BANK OF KOREAKB FINANC

79、IAL GROUPSHINHAN FGLWOORI FHCTicker138930.KS139130.KS086790.KS024110.KS105560.KS055550.KS053000.KSRecent price13900.0014000.0039550.0011900.0039500.0040550.0012200.00Price Date23-Jan-201323-Jan-201323-Jan-201323-Jan-201323-Jan-201323-Jan-201323-Jan-2013Disclosure4, 771, 2, 5, 6, 7, 111, 2, 5, 6, 7,

80、112, 111, 2, 5, 6, 7, 111, 2, 5, 6, 7, 11Source: HSBCHSBC* has managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for this company within the past 12 months.HSBC expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from this company in the next3 months.At the time of

81、 publication of this report, HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. is a Market Maker in securities issued by thiscompany.As of 31 December 2012 HSBC beneficially owned 1% or more of a class of common equity securities of this company.As of 30 November 2012, this company was a client of HSBC or had during the p

82、receding 12-month period been a clientof and/or paid compensation to HSBC in respect of investment banking services.As of 30 November 2012, this company was a client of HSBC or had during the preceding 12-month period been a clientof and/or paid compensation to HSBC in respect of non-investment bank

83、ing securities-related services.As of 30 November 2012, this company was a client of HSBC or had during the preceding 12-month period been a clientof and/or paid compensation to HSBC in respect of non-securities services.A covering analyst/s has received compensation from this company in the past 12

84、 months.A covering analyst/s or a member of his/her household has a financial interest in the securities of this company, asdetailed below.A covering analyst/s or a member of his/her household is an officer, director or supervisory board member of thiscompany, as detailed below.At the time of public

85、ation of this report, HSBC is a non-US Market Maker in securities issued by this company and/or insecurities in respect of this companyAnalysts, economists, and strategists are paid in part by reference to the profitability of HSBC which includes investmentbanking revenue.For disclosures in respect

86、of any company mentioned in this report, please see the most recently published report on thatcompany available at Legal Entities are listed in the Disclaimer below.912345FIGKorea Banksabc25 January 2013Additional disclosuresThis report is dated as at 25 January 2013.All market data included in thi

87、s report are dated as at close 24 January 2013, unless otherwise indicated in the report.HSBC has procedures in place to identify and manage any potential conflicts of interest that arise in connection with itsResearch business. HSBCs analysts and its other staff who are involved in the preparation

88、and dissemination of Researchoperate and have a management reporting line independent of HSBCs Investment Banking business. Information Barrierprocedures are in place between the Investment Banking and Research businesses to ensure that any confidential and/orprice sensitive information is handled i

89、n an appropriate manner.As of 31 December 2012, HSBC and/or its affiliates (including the funds, portfolios and investment clubs in securitiesmanaged by such entities) either, directly or indirectly, own or are involved in the acquisition, sale or intermediation of,1% or more of the total capital of

90、 the subject companies securities in the market for the following Company(ies): BSFINANCIAL GROUPAs of 11 January 2013, HSBC owned a significant interest in the debt securities of the following company(ies):INDUSTRIAL BANK OF KOREA10FIGKorea Banks25 January 2013Disclaimer*Legal entities as at 8 Augu

91、st 2012UAE HSBC Bank Middle East Limited, Dubai; HK The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking CorporationLimited, Hong Kong; TW HSBC Securities (Taiwan) Corporation Limited; CA HSBC Bank Canada,Toronto; HSBC Bank, Paris Branch; HSBC France; DE HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG, Dsseldorf; 000HSBC Bank (RR), Mosc

92、ow; IN HSBC Securities and Capital Markets (India) Private Limited, Mumbai;JP HSBC Securities (Japan) Limited, Tokyo; EG HSBC Securities Egypt SAE, Cairo; CN HSBCInvestment Bank Asia Limited, Beijing Representative Office; The Hongkong and Shanghai BankingCorporation Limited, Singapore Branch; The H

93、ongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, SeoulSecurities Branch; The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, Seoul Branch; HSBCSecurities (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd, Johannesburg; HSBC Bank plc, London, Madrid, Milan, Stockholm, TelAviv; US HSBC Securities (USA) Inc, New York; HSBC

94、 Yatirim Menkul Degerler AS, Istanbul; HSBCMxico, SA, Institucin de Banca Mltiple, Grupo Financiero HSBC; HSBC Bank Brasil SA BancoabcIssuer of reportThe Hongkong and Shanghai BankingCorporation Limited, Seoul SecuritiesBranch7th Floor, HSBC Building25, 1-ka, Bongrae-dongChung-ku, Seoul 100-161, Kor

95、eaTelephone: +822 3706 8700/3Fax: +822 3706 8797Website: Mltiplo; HSBC Bank Australia Limited; HSBC Bank Argentina SA; HSBC Saudi Arabia Limited; TheHongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, New Zealand Branch incorporated in Hong KongSARThis document has been issued by The Hongkong and Sha

96、nghai Banking Corporation Limited, Seoul Securities Branch (“HSBC”) for the information of itsinstitutional and professional customers; it is not intended for and should not be distributed to retail customers. If it is received by a customer of an affiliate ofHSBC, its provision to the recipient is

97、subject to the terms of business in place between the recipient and such affiliate. This document is not and should not beconstrued as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment. HSBC has based this document on information obtainedfrom sources it bel

98、ieves to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; HSBC makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts noresponsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of the Research Division of HSBC only and are subject to changewithout

99、notice. HSBC and its affiliates and/or their officers, directors and employees may have positions in any securities mentioned in this document (or in anyrelated investment) and may from time to time add to or dispose of any such securities (or investment). HSBC and its affiliates may act as market m

100、aker or haveassumed an underwriting commitment in the securities of companies discussed in this document (or in related investments), may sell them to or buy them fromcustomers on a principal basis and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking or underwriting services for or relating to

101、 those companies.HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. accepts responsibility for the content of this research report prepared by its non-US foreign affiliate. All U.S. persons receivingand/or accessing this report and wishing to effect transactions in any security discussed herein should do so with HSBC Secur

102、ities (USA) Inc. in the UnitedStates and not with its non-US foreign affiliate, the issuer of this report.In the UK this report may only be distributed to persons of a kind described in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FinancialPromotion) Order 2001. The protections affo

103、rded by the UK regulatory regime are available only to those dealing with a representative of HSBC Bank plc inthe UK. In Singapore, this publication is distributed by The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, Singapore Branch for the generalinformation of institutional investors or othe

104、r persons specified in Sections 274 and 304 of the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289) (“SFA”) and accreditedinvestors and other persons in accordance with the conditions specified in Sections 275 and 305 of the SFA. This publication is not a prospectus as defined inthe SFA. It may not be furth

105、er distributed in whole or in part for any purpose. The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited Singapore Branch isregulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Recipients in Singapore should contact a “Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, SingaporeBranch” representative

106、in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with this report. In Australia, this publication has been distributed by TheHongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited (ABN 65 117 925 970, AFSL 301737) for the general information of its “wholesale” customers (asdefined in the Corporat

107、ions Act 2001). Where distributed to retail customers, this research is distributed by HSBC Bank Australia Limited (AFSL No. 232595).These respective entities make no representations that the products or services mentioned in this document are available to persons in Australia or arenecessarily suit

108、able for any particular person or appropriate in accordance with local law. No consideration has been given to the particular investmentobjectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. This publication is distributed in New Zealand by The Hongkong and Shanghai BankingCorporation

109、 Limited, New Zealand Branch incorporated in Hong Kong SAR.In Japan, this publication has been distributed by HSBC Securities (Japan) Limited. In Korea, this publication is distributed by The Hongkong and ShanghaiBanking Corporation Limited, Seoul Securities Branch (“HBAP SLS”) for the general infor

110、mation of professional investors specified in Article 9 of theFinancial Investment Services and Capital Markets Act (“FSCMA”). This publication is not a prospectus as defined in the FSCMA. It may not be furtherdistributed in whole or in part for any purpose. HBAP SLS is regulated by the Financial Se

111、rvices Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service of Korea.In Hong Kong, this document has been distributed by The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited in the conduct of its Hong Kong regulatedbusiness for the information of its institutional and professional customers; it is not

112、intended for and should not be distributed to retail customers in Hong Kong.The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited makes no representations that the products or services mentioned in this document are available topersons in Hong Kong or are necessarily suitable for any particular pers

113、on or appropriate in accordance with local law. All inquiries by such recipients must bedirected to The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited. It may not be further distributed in whole or in part for any purpose.In Canada, this document has been distributed by HSBC Bank Canada and/or it

114、s affiliates. Where this document contains market updates/overviews, or similarmaterials (collectively deemed “Commentary” in Canada although other affiliate jurisdictions may term “Commentary” as either “macro-research” or“research”), the Commentary is not an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an

115、offer to sell or subscribe for, any financial product or instrument (including, withoutlimitation, any currencies, securities, commodities or other financial instruments). Copyright 2013, The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, Seoul Securities Branch, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of

116、thispublication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, on any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, orotherwise, without the prior written permission of The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, Seoul Securities Branch MICA (P)

117、038/04/2012,MICA (P) 063/04/2012 and MICA (P) 110/01/201311abcGlobal Financial Institution Group Research TeamCarlo DigrandiGlobal Head of Financial Institutions Research+44 20 7991 6843BanksEAsiaJames GarnerAnalyst, Head of Asian InsuranceRobin DownAnalyst, Global Sector Head, Banks+44 20 7991 6926

118、 Monica Patrascu+44 20 7991 6828 Peter Toeman+44 20 7991 6791 Rob Murphy+852 2822 4321Michael Chang+852 2996 6555Grace Zhou+852 2822 3053Sinyoung Park+822 3706 +44 20 7991 6748Iason Kepaptsoglou+44 20 7991 6722Lorraine QReal EstateEuropeJohn Fraser-AndrewsHead of Real Estate Equity Research, Europe+

119、44 20 7991 +44 20 7991 6732john.fraser-Johannes ThormannGlobal Head of Exchanges+49 211 910 3017 johannes.thormannhsbc.deCEEMEAGyorgy OlahHead of Ceemea Banks Research+44 20 7991 6709 Aybek Islamov+44 20 7992 3624 Tamer Sengun+90 212 376 46 15 .trThomas Martin+49 211 910 3276 thomas.martinhsbc.deStp

120、hanie Dossmann+33 1 56 52 43 01 AsiaDerek KwongHead of Real Estate Equity Research, Asia+852 2996 6629 .hkAshutosh Narkar+91 22 2268 1474 ashutoshnarkarhsbc.co.inJan Rost+27 11 676 4209Latin AmericaVictor Galliano+1 212 525 5253Mariel SantiagoFinancials+1 212 525 Michelle Kwok+852 2996 6918Phillip Z

121、hong+852 2996 6535Perveen Wong+852 2996 6571Stanley Cheung+852 2822 .hkFelipe Rodrigues+55 11 3847 9029 .brAsiaTodd DunivantAnalyst, Head of Banks, Asia-PacificPratik Burman Ray+65 6658 0611David Choo+65 6658 .sg+852 2996 .hkAbel LeeYork Pun+8862 6631 .tw+852 2822 .hkRuth LeungEric Mak+852 3941 .hk+

122、852 2996 6585Kathy P.hkCEEMEALevent Bayar+82 2 3706 +90 212 376 46 .trSachin Sheth+91 22 2268 1224Tejas Mehta+91 22 2268 1243Kar Weng Loo+65 6658 0621Xiushi Cai+65 6658 0617Bruce Warden+8862 6631 2868I.twCredit ResearchBanks and InsuranceAsiaDilip ShahaniAnalyst, Head of Global Research, Asia-Pacifi

123、c+852 2822 4520 .hkDevendran MahendranSovereigns and Financial Institutions+852 2822 4521 .hkNorth AmericaVan HesserEuropeKailesh MistryAnalyst, Head of European InsuranceGlobal Head of Credit Research, US Banks+1 212 525 3114 Arjun Bowry+44 20 7991 AssociateDhruv Gahlaut+1 212 525 +44 207 991 6728Steven Haywood+44 207 991 3184Thomas Fossard+33 1 56 52 43 Specialist SalesNigel Grinyer+44 20 7991 5386Martin Williams+44 20 7991 Juergen Werner+49 211 910 4461Jonathan Weetman+44 20 7991 5939Matthew Robertson+44 20 7991

展开阅读全文
相关资源
正为您匹配相似的精品文档
相关搜索

最新文档


当前位置:首页 > 大杂烩/其它

电脑版 |金锄头文库版权所有
经营许可证:蜀ICP备13022795号 | 川公网安备 51140202000112号