商业银行管理Chap015课件

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1、ChapterFifteenTheManagementofCapitalKeyTopicsTheManyTasksofCapitalCapitalandRiskExposuresTypesofCapitalInUseCapitalastheCenterpieceofRegulationBaselIandBaselIICapitalRegulationintheWakeoftheGreatRecession/BaselIIIPlanningtoMeetCapitalNeedsIntroductionWhatiscapital?Fundscontributedbytheownersofafinan

2、cialinstitutionRaisingandretainingsufficientcapitaltoprotecttheinterestsofcustomers,employees,owners,andthegeneralpublicistoughWhyiscapitalsoimportantinfinancial-servicesmanagement?ItprovidesacushionofprotectionagainstriskandpromotespublicconfidenceCapitalhasbecomethecenterpieceofsupervisionandregul

3、ationtodayTheManyTasksCapitalPerforms1.Providesacushionagainsttheriskoffailure2.Providesfundstohelpinstitutionsgetstarted3.Promotespublicconfidence4.Providesfundsforgrowth5.Regulatorofgrowth6.RegulatorytooltolimitriskexposureCapitalandRisksKeyRisksinBankingandFinancialInstitutionsManagementCreditRis

4、kLiquidityRiskInterestRateRiskOperationalRiskExchangeRiskCrimeRiskCapitalandRisks(continued)DefensesagainstRisksQualityManagementDiversificationGeographicPortfolioDepositInsuranceOwnersCapitalTypesofCapitalinUse1.Commonstock2.Preferredstock3.Surplus4.Undividedprofits5.Equityreserves6.Subordinateddeb

5、entures7.Minorityinterestinconsolidatedsubsidiaries8.EquitycommitmentnotesTABLE151CapitalAccountsofFDIC-InsuredU.S.CommercialBanks,December31,2010OneoftheGreatIssuesintheHistoryofBanking:HowMuchCapitalIsReallyNeeded?RegulatoryApproachtoEvaluatingCapitalNeedsReasonsforCapitalRegulation1.Tolimitriskof

6、failures2.Topreservepublicconfidence3.TolimitlossestothegovernmentandotherinstitutionsarisingfromdepositinsuranceclaimsOneoftheGreatIssuesintheHistoryofBanking:HowMuchCapitalIsReallyNeeded?(continued)RegulatoryApproachtoEvaluatingCapitalNeedsResearchEvidenceResearchhasbeenconductedontheissueofwhethe

7、rtheprivatemarketplaceorgovernmentregulatoryagenciesexertabiggereffectonbankrisktakingMoststudiesfindthattheprivatemarketplaceisprobablymoreimportantthangovernmentregulationinthelongrunRecentlygovernmentregulationappearstohavebecomenearlyasimportantastheprivatemarketplaceEspeciallyinthewakeofthegrea

8、tcreditcrisisof2007-2009OneoftheGreatIssuesintheHistoryofBanking:HowMuchCapitalIsReallyNeeded?(continued)RegulatoryApproachtoEvaluatingCapitalNeedsResearchEvidenceWearenotatallsuremarketdiscipliningworksaswellforsmallandmedium-sizeinsureddepositoryinstitutionsSomeofthemostpertinentinformationneededt

9、oassessabanksriskexposureisknownonlytogovernmentregulatorsResearchhasfoundthatincreasedcapitaldoesnotmateriallylowerabanksfailureriskTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNationsTheBaselAgreementAninternationalagreementonnewcapitalstandardsDesignedto

10、keeptheircapitalpositionsstrongReduceinequalitiesincapitalrequirementsamongdifferentcountriesPromotefaircompetitionCatchupwithrecentchangesinfinancialservicesandfinancialinnovationInparticular,theexpansionofoff-balance-sheetcommitmentsFormallyapprovedinJuly1988Includedcountriessuchas:TheUnitedStates

11、,Belgium,Canada,France,Germany,Italy,Japan,theNetherlands,Spain,Sweden,Switzerland,theUnitedKingdom,andLuxembourgTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)BaselITheoriginalBaselcapitalstandardsareknowntodayasBaselIVarioussourcesofcapita

12、lweredividedintotwotiers:Tier1(core)capitalCommonstockandsurplus,undividedprofits(retainedearnings),qualifyingnoncumulativeperpetualpreferredstock,minorityinterestintheequityaccountsofconsolidatedsubsidiaries,andselectedidentifiableintangibleassetslessgoodwillandotherintangibleassetsTier2(supplement

13、al)capitalAllowance(reserves)forloanandleaselosses,subordinateddebtcapitalinstruments,mandatoryconvertibledebt,intermediate-termpreferredstock,cumulativeperpetualpreferredstockwithunpaiddividends,andequitynotesandotherlong-termcapitalinstrumentsthatcombinebothdebtandequityfeaturesTheBaselAgreementon

14、InternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)BaselIInorderforabanktoqualifyasadequatelycapitalized,itmusthave:1.Aratioofcorecapital(Tier1)tototalrisk-weightedassetsofatleast4percent2.Aratiooftotalcapital(thesumofTier1andTier2capital)tototalrisk-weightedasset

15、sofatleast8percent,withtheamountofTier2capitallimitedto100percentofTier1capitalTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CalculatingRisk-WeightedAssetsEachassetitemonabanksbalancesheetandeachoff-balance-sheetcommitmentithasmadearemultip

16、liedbyarisk-weightingfactorDesignedtoreflectitscreditriskexposureThemostcloselywatchedoff-balance-sheetitemsarestandbylettersofcreditandlong-term,legallybindingcreditcommitmentsTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CalculatingRisk-W

17、eightedAssetsTocomputethisbanksrisk-weightedassets:1.Computethecredit-equivalentamountofeachoff-balance-sheet(OBS)itemTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CalculatingRisk-WeightedAssetsTocomputethisbanksrisk-weightedassets:2.Multip

18、lyeachbalancesheetitemandthecredit-equivalentamountofeachOBSitembyitsriskweightTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CalculatingtheCapital-to-Risk-WeightedAssetsRatioUnderBaselI,onceweknowabankstotalrisk-weightedassetsanditsTier1and

19、Tier2capitalamounts,wecandetermineitsrequiredcapitaladequacyratiosTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CapitalRequirementsAttachedtoDerivativesTheBaselIcapitalstandardswereadjustedtotakeaccountoftheriskexposurebanksmayfacefromderiv

20、ativesFutures,options,swaps,interestratecapandfloorcontracts,andotherinstrumentsSometimesexposeabanktocounterpartyriskThedangerthatacustomerwillfailtopayortoperform,forcingthebanktofindareplacementcontractwithanotherpartythatmaybelesssatisfactoryTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:ACont

21、inuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CapitalRequirementsAttachedtoDerivatives(continued)Baselrequiredabankertodivideeachcontractsriskexposureintotwocategories1.Potentialmarketriskexposure2.CurrentmarketriskexposureOncethereplacementcostofacontractisdetermined:Theestimatedpotentialmark

22、etriskexposureamountisaddedtotheestimatedcurrentmarketriskexposuretoderivethetotalcredit-equivalentamountofeachderivativecontractThistotalismultipliedbythecorrectriskweight,tofindtheequivalentamountofrisk-weightedassetsrepresentedbyeachcontractTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContin

23、uingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CapitalRequirementsAttachedtoDerivatives(continued)TheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)CapitalRequirementsAttachedtoDerivatives(continued)TheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalSta

24、ndards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)BankCapitalStandardsandMarketRiskBaselIfailedtoaccountformarketriskThelossesabankmaysufferduetoadversechangesininterestrates,securityprices,andcurrencyandcommoditypricesTheriskweightsonbankassetsweredesignedprimarilytotakeaccountofcredi

25、trisk(notmarketrisk)Inanefforttodealwiththeseandotherformsofmarketrisk,in1996theBaselCommitteeapprovedamodificationtotherulesPermittedthelargestbankstoconductriskmeasurementandestimatetheamountofcapitalnecessarytocovermarketriskLedtoathirdcapitalratio(Tier3)TheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalSta

26、ndards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)ValueatRisk(VaR)ModelsRespondingtoMarketRiskAstatisticalframeworkformeasuringabankportfoliosexposuretochangesinmarketpricesormarketratesoveragiventimeperiod,subjecttoagivenprobabilityVaRExampleAbankestimatesitsportfoliosdailyaveragevalu

27、eatriskis$100billionovera10-dayintervalwitha99percentlevelofconfidenceIfthisVaRestimateof$100billioniscorrect,lossesinportfoliovaluegreaterthan$100billionshouldoccurlessthan1percentofthetimeTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)Limi

28、tationsandChallengesofVaRandInternalModelingVaRestimatesandinternalmodelingarenotperfectInaccurateVaRestimatescanexposeabanktoexcessiverisksothatitscapitalpositionmayturnoutnottobelargeenoughtocoveractuallossesthebankfacesTheportfoliosofthelargestbanksaresocomplexwiththousandsofriskfactorsitmaybeimp

29、ossibletoconsistentlyforecastVaRsaccuratelyPromote“backtesting”Evenifanindividualbankisagoodforecaster,theremaystillbetroubleduetosystemicriskTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)BaselIIBankersfoundwaysaroundmanyofBaselIsrestrictio

30、nsCapitalarbitrageInsteadofmakingbankslessrisky,partsofBaselIseemedtoencouragebankstobecomemoreriskyBaselIrepresenteda“onesizefitsall”approachtocapitalregulationItfailedtorecognizethatnotwobanksarealikeintermsoftheirriskprofilesBaselIIsetupasysteminwhichcapitalrequirementswouldbemoresensitivetoriska

31、ndprotectagainstmoretypesofriskthanBaselIBaselIIwouldbegraduallyphasedinforthelargestinternationalbanksTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)PillarsofBaselII1.Minimumcapitalrequirementsforeachbankbasedonitsownestimatedriskexposurefr

32、omcredit,market,andoperationalrisks2.Supervisoryreviewofeachbanksrisk-assessmentproceduresandtheadequacyofitscapitaltoensuretheyare“reasonable”3.Greaterpublicdisclosureofeachbankstruefinancialconditionsothatmarketdisciplinecouldbecomeamorepowerfulforcecompellingexcessivelyriskybankstolowertheirriske

33、xposureTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)BaselIIandCreditRiskModelsCreditriskmodelsComputeralgorithmsthatattempttomeasurealendersexposuretodefaultbyitsborrowingcustomersortocreditdowngradingsMostcreditriskmodelsdevelopestimatesb

34、asedupon:BorrowercreditratingsTheprobabilitythosecreditratingswillchangeTheprobableamountofrecoveryshouldsomeloansdefaultThepossibilityofchanginginterest-ratespreadsbetweenriskierandlessriskyloansTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continue

35、d)BaselIIandCreditRiskModelsUnderBaselI,minimumcapitalrequirementsremainedthesameformosttypesofloansregardlessofcreditratingUnderBaselII,minimumcapitalrequirementsweredesignedtovarysignificantlywithcreditqualityTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingN

36、ations(continued)ADual(Large-Bank,Small-Bank)SetofRulesBaselIIwasdesignedtooperateunderonesetofcapitalrulesforthehandfuloflargestmultinationalbanksandanothersetformorenumeroussmallerbankingfirmsRegulatorswereconcernedthatsmallerbankscouldbeoverwhelmedby:Theheavyburdensofgatheringrisk-exposureinforma

37、tionPerformingcomplicatedriskcalculationsBaselIIanticipatedthatsmallerinstitutionswouldbeabletocontinuetousesimplerapproachesindeterminingtheircapitalrequirementsandriskexposures,parallelingBaselIrulesTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(con

38、tinued)ProblemsAccompanyingtheImplementationofBaselIIBaselIIwasnotperfectSomeformsofriskhadnogenerallyacceptedmeasurementscaleOperationalRiskHowdoweaddupthedifferentformsofriskexposureinordertogetanaccuratepictureofabankstotalriskexposure?Whatshouldwedoaboutthebusinesscycle?Mostbanksaremorelikelytof

39、aceriskexposureinthemiddleofaneconomicrecessionthantheywillinaperiodofeconomicexpansionForexample,theGlobalcreditcrisisof2007-2009SomehaveexpressedconcernaboutimprovingregulatorcompetenceTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)BaselII

40、I:AnotherMajorRegulatoryStepUnderway,BorninGlobalCrisisBaselIIwasneverfullyimplementedHadtomovetowardBaselIIIinordertopreventfuturecrisesKeyissueinBaselIIIDeterminingthevolumeandmixofcapitaltheworldsleadingbanksshouldmaintainiftheirtroubledassetsgeneratemassivelossesCapitalrequirementslaiddowninBase

41、lIandIIapparentlywereinadequateinthefaceofthelatestcreditcrashBankersfoundwaystoholdbothlesscapitalintotalandaweakermixofkindsofcapitalTheBaselAgreementonInternationalCapitalStandards:AContinuingHistoricContractAmongLeadingNations(continued)BaselIII:AnotherMajorRegulatoryStepUnderway,BorninGlobalCri

42、sisProponentsofBaselIIIcalledforgreatertotalcapitalization,strongerdefinitionofwhatbelongsinbankscapitalaccountsVolckerRulewasproposedintheU.S.ImplementationofBaselIIIcouldtakemanyyearsImplementationwouldbephasedinslowly,beginningin2012andpossiblybecompletedcloseto2019BaselIIIcoversthecapital,liquid

43、ity,anddebtpositionsofindividualinternationalbanksandalsobroaderissuesassociatedwithglobalbusinesscyclesandsystemicrisksChangingCapitalStandardsInsidetheUnitedStatesSeveralnewcapitalrulescreatedrecentlybyU.S.regulatoryagenciesweremandatedbytheFDICImprovementActof1991RequiresfederalregulatorstotakePr

44、omptCorrectiveAction(PCA)whenaninsureddepositoryinstitutionscapitalfallsbelowacceptablelevelsU.S.bankregulatorscreatedcapital-adequacycategoriesforimplementingPCA:1.Wellcapitalized2.Adequatelycapitalized3.Undercapitalized4.Significantlyundercapitalized5.CriticallyundercapitalizedPlanningtoMeetCapita

45、lNeedsRaisingCapitalInternallyDividendPolicyTheboardofdirectorsandmanagementmustagreeontheappropriateretentionratioanddividendpayoutratioKeyfactor-HowfastthefinancialfirmcanallowitsassetstogrowsothatitscurrentratioofcapitaltoassetsisprotectedfromerosionPlanningtoMeetCapitalNeeds(continued)RaisingCap

46、italInternallyDividendPolicyPlanningtoMeetCapitalNeeds(continued)RaisingCapitalExternallyIfafinancialfirmdoesneedtoraisecapitalfromoutsidesources,ithasseveraloptions:1.Sellingcommonstock2.Sellingpreferredstock3.Issuingdebtcapital4.Sellingassets5.Leasingfacilities6.SwappingstockfordebtsecuritiesThech

47、oiceofwhichmethodtouseisbasedontheireffectsonafinancialfirmsearningspershareTABLE152MethodsofRaisingExternalCapitalforaFinancialFirmQuickQuizWhatcrucialrolesdoescapitalplayinthemanagementandviabilityofafinancialfirm?WhatarethemostimportantandleastimportantformsofcapitalheldbyU.S.-insuredbanks?Whatis

48、therationaleforhavingthegovernmentsetcapitalstandardsforfinancialinstitutionsasopposedtolettingtheprivatemarketplacesetthosestandards?HowistheBaselAgreementlikelytoaffectabankschoicesamongassetsitwouldliketoacquire?WhatarethedifferencesamongBaselI,II,andIII?Whataretheprincipalsourcesofexternalcapitalforafinancialinstitution?

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