2023年评估中国及周边国家与非洲猪瘟相关损失（完整）下面是我为大家整理的评估中国及周边国家与非洲猪瘟相关损失（完整）,供大家参考 C ONTENT S T ABLES AND FIGURES iv A CKNO WLEDGMENT S v ABBREVIA TIONS vi ABS TR A CT vii I. INTR ODUCTION 1 II. BA CK GR OUND 2 III. METHODOL OG Y 3 A . Ca v ea ts and Assumptions 4 IV. RESUL T S 5 V. DISCUSSION 11 VI. RE C O MMEND A TIONS 14 A. S tr engthening Capacity t o P r ev en t and Con tr ol Animal D iseases 14 B. I n vestmen t Sc enarios f or I n t erven tions 16 VII. C ONCL USIONS 17 APPENDIXES 1. Methods Emplo y ed t o Estima t e D ir ect Costs o f A fric an S wine F ev er 18 2. P ar amet er s U sed in the Liv est ock D ev elopmen t Planning S y st em, 22 V ersion 2 H er d Dynamic Model 3. S upplemen t ary D a t a: I nitial Costs o f D isease in the P eople ’ s 2 4 R epublic o f China and the Gr ea t er Mek ong S ubr e gion 4. Critic al T r ansboundary Animal D iseases , F oodborne P a tho gens , 2 6 and N on-F oodborne Z oonoses REFERENCES 27 T ABLES T ABLES AND FIGURES 1 Estima t ed D ir ect Costs o f A fric an S wine F ev er on P r oduction b y Coun try 6 A1. 1 Pig P ric e D a t a U sed in Cr os s- c oun try Analy ses 19 A1.2 Pig P ric e D a t a U sed in within the P eople"s R epublic o f China Analy ses 20 A2 P r oduction P ar amet er s U sed in the F ood and Agricultur e 22 O r ganiza tion o f the U nit ed N a tions Liv est ock D ev elopmen t Planning S y st em, V ersion 2 H er d Dynamic Model A3 I nitial Cost o f D isease P ar amet er s and R esults 2 4 A4 Examples o f T err estrial Animal P r oduction As socia t ed H azards 2 6 in the P eople ’ s R epublic o f China and the Gr ea t er Mek ong S ubr e gion FIGURES 1 H er d N umber s and Appr o xima t e D emo gr aphics b y 4 P r oduction S y stem and P r oduction S t age P rior t o the A fric an S wine F ev er Epidemic b y P r oduction S y stem and P r oduction S t age 2 Estima t ed D ir ect Costs t o P r oduction b y Coun try 6 3 Estima t ed I nitial Costs o f D ea ths , Morbidity , and Culls o f the 7 A fric an S wine F ev er O utbr eak b y P r oduction S y stem and Coun try 4 Estima t ed I nitial Costs o f D ea ths , Morbidity , and Culls o f the 8 A fric an S wine F ev er O utbr eak in the P eople ’ s R epublic o f China b y R e gion and P r oduction S t age 5 Estima t ed I nitial Costs o f D ea ths , Morbidity and Culls o f the 9 A fric an S wine F ev er O utbr eak in the P eople ’ s R epublic o f China b y P r o vinc e and P r oduction S t age 6 Estima t ed D ir ect Costs o f H ypothetic al A fric an S wine F ev er Con tr ol 10 Sc enarios Estima t ed D ir ect Costs t o P r oduction if the D isease had been Con tr olled in Liaoning P r o vinc e A CKNO WLEDGMENT S W e w ould lik e t o ackno wledge the f ollo wing per sons who pr o vided v aluable insigh ts and inputs t o the r epor t: D ominic Smith, senior r esear ch f ellow , School o f Agricultur e and F ood Scienc es , U niv er sity o f Queensland; D amian T ago P achec o , r e gional animal health ec onomist, Emergency Cen t er f or T r ansboundary Animal D iseases , F ood and Agricultur e O r ganiza tion o f the U nit ed N a tions , R e gional Offic e f or Asia and the P acific; J ona than T uk e, senior lectur er in st a tistics , School o f Ma thema tic al Scienc es , U niv er sity o f Adelaide; J ohn W ea v er , v et erinarian and v et erinary epidemiolo gist; T akashi Y amano , senior ec onomist, Asian D ev elopmen t Bank; and Shingo Kimur a, senior na tur al r esour c es and agricultur e specialist, Asian D ev elopmen t Bank. W e also wish t o thank J ames L ynch, director gener al o f the East Asia D epar tmen t o f the Asian D ev elopmen t Bank, M. T er esa Kho , deputy director gener al o f the East Asia D epar tmen t o f the Asian D ev elopmen t Bank, and Sanga y P enjor , director o f the U rban and Social Sect or s D ivision, East Asia D epar tmen t o f the Asian D ev elopmen t Bank f or their kind enc our agemen t and suppor t f or this public a tion. ABBREVIA TIONS ADB Asian D ev elopmen t Bank ASF A fric a。