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1、2010年大学英语四六级考试精读荟萃100篇(7)5000字 为了提高广大考生阅读理解能力，毕业整理了以下阅读资料，供考生复习。 Passage Seven (Forecasting of Statistics) 简历大全 /html/jianli/ Nearly two thousand years have passed since a census decreed by Caesar Augustus become part of the greatest story ever told. Many things have changed in the intervening years
2、. The hotel industry worries more about overbuilding than overcrowding, and if they had to meet an unexpected influx, few inns would have a manager to accommodate the weary guests. Now it is the census taker that does the traveling in the fond hope that a highly mobile population will stay long enou
3、gh to get a good sampling. Methods of gathering, recording, and evaluating information have presumably been improved a great deal. And where then it was the modest purpose of Rome to obtain a simple head count as an adequate basis for levying taxes, now batteries of complicated statistical series fu
4、rnished by governmental agencies and private organizations are eagerly scanned and interpreted by sages and seers to get a clue to future events. The Bible does not tell us how the Roman census takers made out, and as regards our more immediate concern, the reliability of present day economic foreca
5、sting, there are considerable differences of opinion. They were aired at the celebration of the 125th anniversary of the American Statistical Association. There was the thought that business forecasting might well be on its way from an art to a science, and some speakers talked about newfangled comp
6、uters and high-falutin mathematical system in terms of excitement and endearment which we, at least in our younger years when these things mattered, would have associated more readily with the description of a fair maiden. But others pointed to the deplorable record of highly esteemed forecasts and
7、forecasters with a batting average below that of the Mets, and the President-elect of the Association cautioned that “high powered statistical methods are usually in order where the facts are crude and inadequate, the exact contrary of what crude and inadequate statisticians assume.” We left his bir
8、thday party somewhere between hope and despair and with the conviction, not really newly acquired, that proper statistical methods applied to ascertainable facts have their merits in economic forecasting as long as neither forecaster nor public is deluded into mistaking the delineation of probabilit
9、ies and trends for a prediction of certainties of mathematical exactitude. 作文 /zuowen/1. Taxation in Roman days apparently was based onA. wealth. B. mobility. C. population. D. census takers. 毕业论文 2. The American Statistical AssociationA. is converting statistical study from an art to a science. 论文代
10、写B. has an excellent record in business forecasting. 简历大全 /html/jianli/C. is neither hopeful nor pessimistic. D. speaks with mathematical exactitude. 毕业3. The message the author wishes the reader to get isA. statisticians have not advanced since the days of the Roman. 总结大全 /html/zongjie/B. statistic
11、s is not as yet a science.C. statisticians love their machine. 思想汇报 /sixianghuibao/D.computer is hopeful. 毕业4. The “greatest story ever told” referred to in the passage is the story of 作文 /zuowen/ A. Christmas. B. The Mets. 思想汇报 /sixianghuibao/C. Moses. D. Roman Census Takers. 毕业Vocabulary1. census 人口调查 作文 /zuowen/2. decreed 分布法令 作文 /zuowen/ 3. influx 汇集，流入(人口或物) 思想汇报 /sixianghuibao/4. census taker 人口调查员 开题报告 /html/lunwenzhidao/kaitibaogao/ 5. in the intervening years 在这期间 思想汇报 /sixianghuibao/6. sampling 取样(调查) 作文 /zuowen/7. presumable 可能的，可推测的 毕业论文
