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1、Q4 2011 telecommunications RepoRt issn 1748-491X published by Business monitor international ltd. uniteD KinGDom INCLUDES BMIS FORECASTS Business Monitor International 85 Queen Victoria Street London EC4V 4AB UK Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468 Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467 Email: subs Web: 2011 Business Monit
2、or International. All rights reserved. All information contained in this publication is copyrighted in the name of Business Monitor International, and as such no part of this publication may be reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any means
3、 graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher. DISCLAIMER All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources b
4、elieved to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor International accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or
5、omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and Business Monitor International makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained. UNITED KINGDOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS REPORT Q4 2011 I
6、NCLUDES 5-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2015 Part of BMIs Industry Report this should result in competition improving as BT loses market power. ? If fixed-line operators are able to successfully market converged services combining fixed lines and mobiles, the sectors decline could be limited. Threats ? Economic
7、 downturn and reduced consumer confidence could accelerate the fixed- line sectors decline as consumers look to reduce spending. ? Average revenue per access is likely to be affected by economic downturn as consumers cut down usage and/or demand tariffs reductions. ? Fixed-to-mobile substitution wil
8、l continue as will subscribers dropping their fixed lines for VoIP services. United Kingdom Telecommunications Report Q4 2011 Business Monitor International Ltd Page 9 UK Broadband Sector SWOT Strengths ? Broadband penetration is approaching 30% and is forecast to continue expanding. ? Functional se
9、paration of BT ensures alternative operators have fair and equal access to BTs network infrastructure. ? Healthy competition in the sector from operators utilising their own network infrastructure and operating over BTs network; this has resulted in BT controlling just a quarter of the market. ? Ser
10、vice bundles of broadband, pay-TV and fixed lines proved popular, helping to boost broadband growth and hold up ARPUs. Weaknesses ? Average reference broadband download speeds are low in relation to most of the UKs regional peers with the development of more advanced networks, such as fibre optic an
11、d ADSL2+. ? Broadband subscriber growth is forecast to slow over the remainder of our five-year forecast period. ? Mobile WiMAX has still not been licensed and licensing could continue to face further delays. Opportunities ? Development of more advanced broadband networks such as ADSL2+ and fibre-to
12、- the-home (FTTH) will pave the way for more value-added services (VAS) such as high definition IPTV and VoIP. ? Potential roll-out of a fibre network by Fujitsu in collaboration with Virgin and TalkTalk should catalyse network roll-out in this sector ? Potential for fixed broadband operators to mar
13、ket fixed-mobile broadband converged services. ? Carphone Warehouse/Tiscali merger into TalkTalk has created a powerful player in the broadband sector capable of taking the market leadership mantle from BT. ? Fixed-wireless operators such as BT and O2 could exploit demand for mobile broadband servic
14、es with their Wi-Fi offerings. Threats ? Weak economic outlook for the UK will limit broadband growth prospects as consumers look to rein in spending. ? Broadband ARPU is likely to be impacted by the economic downturn as operators are forced to cut tariffs to maintain growth. ? Popularity of 3G-base
15、d mobile broadband could begin to impact fixed broadband growth. United Kingdom Telecommunications Report Q4 2011 Business Monitor International Ltd Page 10 UK Political SWOT Strengths ? One of the worlds oldest and most entrenched parliamentary democracies and therefore a country that scores high o
16、n political stability and institutional strength. ? Although not irreversible, a long-running peace process in Northern Ireland supported by successive Conservative and Labour governments appears to have brought over a quarter of a century of damaging secessionist armed conflict to an end. Weaknesses ? Following the May 2007 elections, Scotlands first minister is Scottish National Party First Minister Alex Salmond. His party advocates independence for Scotland and
