sebal-sensitivity-newmexicostateuniversitysebal灵敏度-新墨西哥州立大学

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1、A Sensitivity Analysis on Remote Sensing ET Algorithm Remote Evapotranspiration Calculation (RET),Junming Wang, Ted. Sammis, Luke Simmons, David Miller, and Craig Meier Agronomy and Horticulture Dept. New Mexico State University,Objective,Find the key variables and equations in the ET estimate that

2、are most sensitive to change in input or change in functions within the calculations.,Procedure,Build the model Validate it Sensitivity analysis,Build the Model ASTER Satellite from NASA,15 by 15 m visible and near-infrared radiance. Bands 1-3 30 by 30 m shortwave infrared radiance. Bands 4-9 90 by

3、90 m infrared radiance. Bands 10-14 Reflectance(Bands1-9) and temperature data can be requested as secondary processed data Availability: potentially 16 days upon request,Reflectance (resolution 15 by 15 m),Build the Model,Temperature (resolution 90 by 90 m),Build the Model,Build the model Theory,ET

4、ins = Rn - G - H,R,n,G,H,ETins,Graph from Allen, et. al., (2002),Build the Model,NDVI=f(reflectance),H=f(NDVI, temperature, reflectance, solar radiation, wind speed),G=f(NDVI, solar radiation, reflectance),End,Start,ETins=Rn-H-G,Output daily ET,General flowchart,Rn=f(Rs, reflectance),Build the Model

5、,Satellite inputs: surface temperature and reflectance. Local weather inputs: solar radiation, humidity and wind speed,Rn,Rn=Rns-Rnl = net radiation Rns=(1-)Rs = net solar radiation is surface albedo, =0.484 1+ 0.3353 -0.3245 +0.551 6 +0.3058 -0.376 9-0.0015 i is the reflectance for ASTER data band

6、I, averaged to 90m2 resolution. Rnl=f(RH,Ts) =net long wave radiation,Build the Model,Empirical function G=Rn*C NDVI from ASTER reflectance data of bands 3 and 2,Build the Model,Sensible Heat Flux (H),H = (r cp dT) / rah,dT,rah = the aerodynamic resistance to heat transport (s/m).,z1,z2,dT = the nea

7、r surface temperature difference (K).,Graph from Allen, et. al., (2002),Build the Model,rah=ln(z2/z1)/(u*k) u*= friction velocity,Selection of “Anchor Pixels” for dT calculation,“wet” pixel: Ts Tair “dry” pixel: ET 0,Ts=303 K,Ts=323 K,Build the Model,At the “wet” pixel: dTwet = Ts-Tair=0 Should be a

8、n alfalfa field, not cut and not stressed for water At the “dry” pixel: Hdry = Rn G - ETdry where ETdry = 0 dTdry = Hdry rah / ( cp) Should be a bare soil field where evaporation is zero.,Build the Model,dT regression,Build the Model,Sensible Heat Flux (H),dT for each pixel is computed using the reg

9、ression. H is calculated for each pixel after calculating rah for each pixel H = ( cp dT) / rah,Build the Model,Start,Calculate friction velocity (u*) at weather station and use to get wind speed at 200m,Calculate roughness length( zom) for each pixel from NDVI,Calculate dT for each pixel from Ts,Ca

10、lculate friction velocity ( u*) for each pixel,Calculate rah for each pixel,Calculate H for each pixel,Calculate stability parameter for each pixel,Update H for each pixel based on stability parameter and iterate till change in H less than 10%,End,Build the Model,Calculate Et from energy balance,Et

11、Calculation,Obtain instant latent heat for each pixel ETins = Rn - G - H Obtain instant reference latent heat for irrigated alfalfa field (ETrins) Obtain Daily reference ET calculated by FAO Penman-Monteith from weather station for alfalfa field (ETrdaily) Calculated ET daily for each pixel ETdaily=

12、ETins/ ETrinsETrdaily,Build the Model,Validate the model Measurement sites,Pecan orchard,Alfalfa field,Build the Model,ET measurement,Li Cor system,Validate the Model,ET map,mm/day,Validate the Model,The pecan ET of simulation vs. observation.,Validate the Model,The data represent no cover, partial

13、leaf cover and closed canopy. Average of relative error all days 11% with the greatest % error when Et was small in the winter and early spring.,Average error,Validate the Model,Sensitivity analysis ET=Rn-G-H Sensitivity Analysis areas,Full vegetation area (6 points, NDVI=0.57) Half vegetation area

14、(6 points, NDVI=0.31) Little vegetation area (6 points, NDVI=0.19),Sensitivity analysis,Sensitivity analysis,Sensitivity Analysis Variables related to Rn Rs (500-1100 w/m2), (0.1-0.4), Variables related to G C (G/Rn, 0.1-0.5), Variables related to H rah (0-100 s/m ) Variables were changed over a typ

15、ical rang for the selected six pixels,dT regression,Build the Model,ET vs. dT,dT is linearly related to Ts, H=f(dT, rah, u*, L, Zom),Sensitivity analysis,ET vs. dT,ET is sensitive to dT which is calculated from Ts. An error in your hot or cold spot dT calculation results in error in H and ET for int

16、ermediate points. Ts from satellite is not sensitive as an absolute number only as a relative number which may represent a 2% error in dT and ET If the algorithms in the model are to be changed, the dT calculation equation will be the key equation. It may not be linear,Sensitivity analysis,ET vs. Rs Rns=(1-)Rs, Rn=Rns-Rnl,Sensitivity analysis,ET vs. Rs,ET is sensitive to

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