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1、At the Dawn of Belt and Road China in the Developing World Andrew Scobell, Bonny Lin, Howard J. Shatz, Michael Johnson, Larry Hanauer, Michael S. Chase, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Ivan W. Rasmussen, Arthur Chan, Aaron Strong, Eric Warner, Logan Ma C O R P O R AT I O N Limited Print and Electronic Distri
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5、ts research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 978-0-8330-9991-4 For more information on this publication, visit ww
6、w.rand.org/t/RR2273 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. Copyright 2018 RAND Corporation R is a registered trademark. Cover: China with sunset on Earth by harvepino / Adobe Stock. iii -1 0 +1 Preface This report documents research and analysis conducted as part of a project entitl
7、ed China in the Developing World, sponsored by the United States Army Pacific. The purpose of the project is to examine Chinas economic, political, and military activities in the Developing World and provide insights to help inform U.S. Army decisions regard- ing presence and force posture in the re
8、gion. Specifically, the study explores Chinas economic, political, and security roles in Southeast Asia, Oceania, Central Asia, South Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America and the Caribbean. The report also examines Chinas bilateral relationships with the key states in each region. Finall
9、y, the report contemplates the consequences of the Chinese strategy toward the Developing World for the United States. It should be of interest to U.S. Army strategists and planners, other U.S. military personnel focusing on China, and anyone interested in Chinas international relations. The Project
10、 Unique Identification Code (PUIC) for the project that produced this document is HQD156900. This research was conducted within the RAND Arroyo Centers Strategy, Doctrine, and Resources Program. RAND Arroyo Center, part of the RAND Corporation, is a federally funded research and development center (
11、FFRCD) sponsored by the United States Army. RAND operates under a “Federal-Wide Assurance” (FWA00003425) and complies with the Code of Federal Regulations for the Protec- tion of Human Subjects Under United States Law (45 CFR 46), also known as “the Common Rule,” as well as with the implementation R
12、R2273A_CC2015.indb 38/14/18 11:11 AM iv At the Dawn of Belt and Road -1 0 +1 guidance set forth in DoD Instruction 3216.02. As applicable, this compliance includes reviews and approvals by RANDs Institutional Review Board (the Human Subjects Protection Committee) and by the U.S. Army. The views of s
13、ources utilized in this study are solely their own and do not represent the official policy or position of DoD or the U.S. government. RR2273A_CC2015.indb 48/14/18 11:11 AM v -1 0 +1 Contents Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
14、. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .iii Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .ix Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
15、. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xi Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xiii Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
16、. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xxxiii Abbreviations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .xxxv CHAPTER ONE Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 The Plan for the Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
