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1、18?beta?alpha? ? ?18?beta? 08?3?1.1 ?PE?PE? 123 08/10-09/0711/11-12/1214/03-15/06 ?PE? 123 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 06/0607/0808/1009/1211/0212/0413/0614/0815/1016/1218/02 ?PE?TTM? 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 06/0607/0808/
2、1009/1211/0212/0413/0614/0815/1016/1218/02 ?PE?TTM? ? ? ? PE ? +230% -6% +186% ? ? ? PE ? +25% +11% +39% ? ? ? PE ? +224% +6% +217% ? ?PE?PE 08/10-09/07186%230%-6%86%70% 11/11-12/1239%25%11%28%22% 14/03-15/06217%224%6%71%42% ? 1.1 ?08? ? ? 08/12-09/711/11-12/614/3-15/6 ? ? 08/10 08/11 ? ? ? ? ? 930?
3、 ? 330? ? ? ? ? ? -120% -100% -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 07/10 08/04 08/10 09/04 09/10 10/04 10/10 11/04 11/10 12/04 12/10 13/04 13/10 14/04 14/10 15/04 15/10 16/04 16/10 17/04 17/10 18/04 SW? ? ?18?3? ? ? 14/0412/01 11/12 14/02 ? 1.1 ?08? ? ? ? ? ?
4、 ? 930? ? 330? ? ? ? ? ? -4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 07/1008/0408/1009/0409/1010/0410/1011/0411/1012/0412/1013/0413/1014/0414/1015/0415/1016/0416/1017/0417/1018/04 SW?70?:? ? 11/11 08/12-09/711/11-12/614/3-15/6 ? ? 08/10 08/08 14/03 11/10 14/05 ?1-2? 1.1
5、? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 08?10?- 09?7? 08?12? 09?1?3? ? 4? 2? 08/11-33.0%-0.6%08/0808/1008/1010 11?11?- 12?12? 12?2? ?7? 2?3 ? 12/01-14.0%-0.1%11/1011/1111/1113 14?3? -15?6? 14?5?930? ?12? 15?8? 16?2? 6?5 ? 14/04-14.0%0.1%14/0514/0314/0315 18?1?-?-18/03- ?3? ?1-2? u? ?1-2?
6、 u? ? ? ? ? ?18?2?4.1% ? ?18? 1.2 4.1% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000 2000200220042006200820102012201420162018 M1-M2 ? -5.5% 10.7% 13.0% 15.3% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2012201320142015201620172018 M1-M2 ? 41%27%29%
7、3% 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 M1-M2 ? ? u18?2?4.1%? ? 5.5%? u? ? ?48?3?14% ? ?15?3?7% ? ?19?3?32% ? ?3?19?32%? 1.2 3?19?32% u3?19?32%?48? ?14%?1-2? u?3?15? ?30%?7%? -24.0% -6.6% -31.9% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 300
8、00 2013201420152016201718M1-M218M3 19? -21.2% -8.6% -13.5% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 2013201420152016201718M1-M218M3 48? 27% 36% 7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 131415161718M1-218M3 TOP15?%? ?3?3?
9、? ?3? ? ?3-5? ? 3?3-5?3? 1.3 3? u17?3?18?3? ?3-5?3? ? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 16/0916/1117/0117/0317/0517/0717/0917/11 ? 2989 2312 1941 1292 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 17/01 17/02 17/03 17/04 17/05 17/06 17/07 17/08 17/09 17/10 17/11 17/12 18/01 18/02 18/03 48?19? 2811 3020 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 13/01 13/03 13/05 13/07 13/09 13/11 14/01 14/03 14/05 14/07 14/09 14/11 15/01 15/03 15/05 15/07 15/09 15/11 16/01 16/03 16/05 16/07 16/09 16/11 17/01 17/03 17/05 17/07 17/09 17/11 18/01 18/03 TOP15? ?3? 1.4 ?/?1 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 0 50 100
