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1、 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.高热病分析及防治2007.07.06 CAN China CMI 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetC
2、are Company.市场背景n持续的养猪低迷，生猪存栏下降n刚性的市场需求，低存栏量导致猪价猛涨n经历了低迷，我们迎来的春天 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.猪价走势 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licen
3、sed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.市场行情n母猪存栏量少n仔猪价位高n肉价持续走高 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.1头母猪每年饲料费用一年饲料费用：943.22=1886.2元 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA an
4、d the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.仔猪收益30kg仔猪成本仔猪饲料费母猪分摊饲 料费148元1886.2/16265.8每头仔猪收益1530265.8=184.2 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.商品猪盈亏点n商品猪盈亏点
5、（母猪分摊饲料费育 肥饲料成本）=1886.2/16+540=657.9元n每头肥猪收益6200657.9542 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.100头母猪农场收益nMSY 16头n年出栏肥猪 1600头n年肥猪收益 1600542867200元 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURIN
6、A and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.n行情好，收益高n高热病却来了！n高热病传到涪陵、荣昌、垫江 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.高热病损失（100头农场为例）n肥猪出栏减少收益 867200元n母猪损失 100 1
7、500150000元n共损失 1017200 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.n疾病来临时 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare
8、Company.猪无名高热n由蓝耳病（PRRSV）美洲株变异毒株引起 （由农业部07.5.17公布）n以高热、高死亡率为特征n危害大，传播率高 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.发病特点v传播迅速，涉及面广v南方多发于气温较高的季节，北方多发于秋冬季，发病 率高，病程长，一般在515天左右，死亡率高v首先发病的猪主要以中大猪及母猪为主v发病以散养户和小专
9、业户为主，尤其是饲养外购仔猪或 种猪的猪场v猪场对防疫工作不重视、技术人员保健观念差v发病后难以治疗和控制，治愈率很低，药物治疗效果差 。 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.临床症状n体况差、体质弱猪感染率高，死亡率高n高热症状（4042.5），精神沉郁n全群发病，食欲不振或废绝n背毛粗乱，食欲低n呼吸困难、喘气n部分出现下痢、便秘或呕吐n部分伴有皮肤发
10、红变紫等症状 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.临床症状v病程稍长的病猪全身苍白，出现贫血现象v后肢无力，濒死前不能站立，全身抽搐而死v部分病猪流鼻涕、眼分泌物增多，眼结膜发 红v母猪怀孕后期110天左右流产，产死胎，弱木 乃伊胎。 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the
11、 Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.病死猪 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.母猪在怀孕后期110天左右出现流产，产死胎，弱仔和木乃伊胎 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PU
12、RINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.母猪大量便秘、流产、子宫炎 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.小猪发热，扎堆 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PU
13、RINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.病猪喘气、呼吸急度困难、呈犬坐姿势 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.病猪精神沉郁、病猪不食 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Res
14、erved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.眼分泌物增多，眼结膜发红 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.神经症状，不能站立，全身抽搐而死 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Ri
15、ghts Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.皮肤发红变紫 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.部分病猪便秘，同时有呕吐现象 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Ri
16、ghts Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.精神沉郁，背毛粗乱 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Rights Reserved.PURINA and the Checkerboard design are licensed trademarks of Nestle Purina PetCare Company.困难面前，大多养殖户的做法：n没有有效的解决方案解决困难手足无措或顺其自然n用大量药物预防和治疗加重病情或耐药性增强n过度恐慌，尽量少出门正常工作生活节奏被打乱 2006 Cargill Incorporated. All Righ
