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1、北京地区水泥市场研究报告(US) *AppendixlBeijing market evaluation Demand analysis Supply analysis Customer analysislPipeline project ListslBeijing concrete supplier list2(US) *We will assess the demand situation by looking at historical demand, forecasts of demand and the influencing factorsDemand AnalysisHistor
2、ical DemandDemand ForecastInfluencing FactorsBEIJING DEMAND ANALYSIS3(US) *Source: Beijing Statistical Yearbook, L.E.K. modelling, Beijing NDRCBeijings dramatic pre-mix concrete growth has been driven mainly by civil and Olympics projects During the “10th-Five Year” plan period (2001-2005), the Beij
3、ing government spent RMB 180 billion on industrial and technology zones satellite towns, to achieve 45% urbanization rate in suburbs key functional projects, such as the National Opera House, Capital Museum, and National Olympic Park Beijing traffic system, adding 85 km of subway and light rail line
4、s, and about 1000 km of highways and roads Olympics stadiums and facilities (17 billion RMB) tens of tap water plants around the city center and suburbsBeijing Premix Concrete Volume by Segment(20012004) CAGR% (200104)Millions of m3Real EstateCivil1695Total41BEIJING DEMAND ANALYSIS HISTORICAL4(US) *
5、Source: L.E.K. interviewsExperts and industry participants agree that the usage of site-mix concrete is minimal in BeijinglThe Beijing municipal government has reduced the use of sitemix concrete very effectively over the past few years, especially in the interest of the Green Olympics theme sitemix
6、 concrete has been banned within the fifth ring road since 2003, and the counties and suburbs are also proactively substituting premix for sitemix“ The Beijing Construction Administration Committee has prohibited the use of sitemix concrete in the city centre for several years, and currently only ve
7、ry few contractors use sitemix concrete for main structure construction in the suburb areas ” Manager Director, Concrete China Business Information“ Sitemix usage against regulations in Beijing is no longer a concern for us at the moment, we have very good practice in this aspect, officials in relat
8、ed department and supervisory parties always keep an eye on all projects ” Chief, Beijing Cement Office under Beijing Construction CommitteelThe advantages of premix concrete, such as stable quality, fast supply, and environmental friendliness, are very attractive to concrete users“ Regulations forb
9、ade sitemix within the fifth ring in 2003 and after that, sitemix faded away. There are many drawbacks about sitemix, eg. quantity measurements, dust pollution, large penalties, etc ” Project Manager, Subway Civil Branch of Beijing Municipal Construction“ I used to use sitemix concrete before 2002,
10、but I have not used it since the regulation came out. Besides the regulatory restrictions, there are many other concerns including quality, progress of the project and environmental issues ” Project Manager, Branch 5 of Beijing Urban Construction GroupBEIJING DEMAND ANALYSIS HISTORICAL5(US) *Privati
11、zation of SOEs is underway in Beijing implying decreasing captive transactions in the futureContr actors No. 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 10 construction companies of BUCG No. 2, 6 construction companies of Beijing Municipal Construction Group Xinchang, Xinshi, Xinwang, and Jiangong Road and Bridge Construction C
12、o. Beijing Sanyuan Anda Construction Co. Beijing Hongtu Construction Engineering Co. Beijing Oriental Construction Co. Beijing Shougang Construction Co. Beijing Zhengrong Construction Co. Beijing Municipal State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission formulated a relatively clear sch
13、edule for the progress of privatization “ Both the national and Beijing governments are actively promoting the ownership reform of SOEs - a top-level deadline was set, and each company has its own specific timeline. Take Beijing Urban Construction Group for example, it is targeted to complete reform
14、 by the end of 2006 ” Project Manager, Beijing Urban Construction Group Privatization is certainly a direction in future development “ Privatization progress has grown very rapidly in Beijing recent years. Government/SOEs have pushed the pace of reform actively and intend to dispose of some assets i
15、n the future. Many large SOEs including construction groups are on their way of transitioning. We have just closed a deal for Shoufa Group, which is a multi-million investment ” Deal Department, China Beijing Equity Exchange Institution under Beijing SASACSource: China Beijing Equity Exchange Instit
16、ution, L.E.K. interviews and analysisConcrete related SOEs on recommended privatization list (2005)Deve loper s 3 branches of Real Estate Company in Uni-construction Group Qidi Holding Company Beijing Shichuang Real Estate Co. Metro Real Estate Developer Beijing Oriental Times Real Estate Co. Beijing Tianhong Real Estate Co. Beijing Scienc
