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1、 外商直接投资、技术外溢与经济增长 47- 5528.C.W.J.Granger.TestingforCausality.JournalofEconomicDynamicsandControl,1980,vol2:32- 5229.Yih-chyiChuangandChi- meiLin.ForeignDirectInvestment,R&DandSpilloverEfficiency:EvidencefromTaiwansManufacturi ngFirms.TheJournalofDevelopmentStudies,1999,vol35,(4):117- 13730.JeomKim.E
2、valuationofTechnologySpilloverandEmploymentEffectsofForeignDirectInvest ment:AnEmpiricalAnalysisofBrazilandMalaysia.GraduateSchoolofInternationalStudies,EwhaWo mansUniv.,MastersThesis,200031.JozefKonings.TheEffectofDirectForeignInvestmentonDomesti cFirms:EvidencefromFirmLevelPanelDatainEmergingEcono
3、mies.CentreforTransitionEconomicsE conomicsDepartment,CatholicUniversityofLeuven,October199932.S.Girma,D.GreenawayandK.W akelin.WhoBenefitsfromForeignDirectInvestmentintheUK?.CentreforResearchonGlobalisationand LabourMarketsSchoolofEconomics,Univ.ofNottingham,UniversityPark,SecondDraft,January2000 3
4、3.王成岐，张建华，安晖。外商直接投资、地区差异与中国经济增长。世界经济 2002（4）：15-2334.姚洋、章奇。中国工业企业技术效率分析。经济研究 2001（11）： 13-19 表 1 行业数据计量分析（一）：FDI 的技术差异效应和竞争效应变量劳动生产率之比 人均装备率之比三资企业销售比例高(1.1)低(1.2)高(1.3)低(1.4)高(1.5)低(2.6)含(1.7)不含(1.8) 0.097(0.960)0.317(3.081)*-0.013(- 0.127)0.583(6.018)*0.223(2.713)*0.220(1.956)*0.221(3.083)*0.214(2.
5、872)*0.657(6.1 90)*0.750(10.591)*0.848(9.014)*0.499(7.080)*0.771(6.785)*0.760(6.882)*0.717( 11.808)*0.700(9.079)*0.212(2.031)*-0.094(-1.03)0.117(1.131)-0.079(-0.912)-0.012(-0.096)- 0.041(- 0.347)0.042(0.352)0.061(1.285)*0.036(0.410)0.8410.8650.8690.8580.8610.8270.8290.8290.8310.8 560.8610.8500.8520.
6、8170.8240.8231.6332.2941.8341.8202.1441.9042.0732.06884.596104.21104.2 6698.9996.99581.263164.979122.703525352535154104104 注：回归(1.1)至（1.8）分别表示 与， ，L 各有关变量之间的相关分析。表中数字表示相关系数，括号内的数字则表示系数的 t 检验值；*,*,*分别表示置信度为 99%，95%和 90%，表中的空格表示此次回归中暂时 未考虑该横向变量与的相关关系。此表中每一个变量的原始数据,均来源于广东统计年鉴 相关年份。余表类同，不再一一说明。表 2 行业数据计
7、量分析之二：FDI 的产业联系效应 和行业聚集效应变量后向联系程度前向联系程度 FDI 集中度高(2.1)低(2.2)高(2.3)低(2.4)高 (2.5)低(2.6)0.208(2.660)*0.042(0.328)0.313(3.551)*0.091(0.743)0.217(3.527) *0.182(1.705)*0.661(10.573)*0.890(7.648)*0.613(8.253)*0.781(8.238)*0.622(7.904) *0.710(7.356)*0.256(3.294)*0.003(0.028)0.128(1.439)*0.076(0.672)0.192(2.5
8、55)*0.03 2(0.311)0.8170.8640.8260.8360.9110.7260.8070.8540.8150.8270.9060.7091.9691.7001.9871.628 2.2672.07780.29392.91273.00088.560167.69543.177584850565353 表 3 城市数据计量分析之 一：研发投入与 FDI 的外溢效应变量政府 R&D 经费比例更新改造投资比例高(3.1)低(3.2) 高(3.3)低(3.4)-0.110(-1.173)-0.124(-1.155)-0.135(-1.000)-0.185(-2.158)*0.790(5.
9、338) *0.902(6.546)*0.733(5.108)*1.005(7.504)*0.266(2.316)*0.085(0.693)0.388(3.763)* 0.031(0.262)0.9040.8320.8830.9140.8930.8150.8690.9051.7461.4632.6731.91981.94847.84762.7 5105.80730332934 表 4 城市数据计量分析之二：人力资本投入与 FDI 的外溢效应变量专业 技术人员比例高校在校生比例高(4.1)低(4.2)高(4.3)低(4.4)0.076(0.613)-0.253(-2.994)*- 0.218(-
10、 1.480)*0.259(2.857)*0.597(3.379)*0.997(9.573)*0.503(2.187)*0.677(6.943)*0.355(2.618)*0.208(2.865)*0.637(4.147)*0.310(3.411)*0.8600.9400.9150.9120.8420.9320.900 0.9082.1472.5452.0492.30049.051129.59761.07570.25628292122 表 5 城市数据计量分析之三： FDI 的人才培训效应变量培训人员比例人才交流机构参加交流的人数比例高(5.1)低(5.2)高 (5.3)低(5.4)高(5.5
11、)低(5.6)-0.084(-1.215)-0.153(-1.286)*-0.001(-0.013)-0.085(-0.927)-0.187(- 2.893)*-0.317(- 1.555)*0.684(7.980)*1.254(8.358)*0.799(6.951)*0.776(5.215)*1.190(13.89)*0.923(4.0 48)*0.424(6.113)*-0.350(-2.337)*0.226(2.633)*0.214(1.604)*-0.127(-1.841)*-0.204(- 0.855)0.9270.8900.9150.8560.9580.5950.9190.8780
12、.9040.8420.9510.5242.4092.5092.9182.8191. 8591.618110.31177.9382.18463.267150.2598.34303327362421 表 6 城市数据计量分析之四： 对外开放度、外资类型与 FDI 的外溢效应变量对外开放程度外资企业规模内资企业规模高 (6.1)低(6.2)高(6.3)低(6.4)高(6.5)低(6.6)-0.006(-0.082)-0.383(-4.309)*-0.263(-2.517)*- 0.045(-0.502)-0.176(-1.642)*-0.106(- 1.070)0.972(5.553)*0.949(
13、7.597)*0.967(7.097)*0.857(7.757)*0.865(6.143)*0.919(7. 101)*-0.029(- 0.175)0.299(3.042)*0.174(1.727)*0.134(1.463)*0.218(1.996)*0.100(0.963)0.8900.9100.897 0.8520.8740.8570.8780.9010.8860.8360.8600.8412.1262.3511.8441.9532.0432.05773.18094.832 78.46853.71964.57853.962313231323231 表 7 城市数据计量分析之五：地区经济结
14、构差异与 FDI 的外溢效应变量重工业产值比例国有经济产值比例基础设施水平高(7.1)低(7.2)高(7.3) 低(7.4)高(7.5)低(7.6)-0.099(-0.832)-0.088(-1.447)*-0.453(-2.77)*0.015(0.262)-0.420(-4.445) *-0.066(- 0.974)0.905(5.612)*0.942(8.850)*1.012(6.056)*1.028(9.135)*1.053(9.793)*1.167(8. 089)*0.124(1.022)0.068(0.696)0.365(3.062)*0.080(0.754)0.298(4.207)
15、*-0.205(- 1.546)*0.8770.9220.8690.9320.9260.9220.8620.9140.8540.9250.9180.9132.6102.0102.0432.148 2.8621.84661.533114.48459.539128.617112.386105.739303331323131ABSTRACTThispaperisg oingtosystemicallystudytherelationshipbetweenFDIandeconomicgrowthofthehostcountry.Theregre ssionmodelisbasedonthedataem
16、ployedforGuangdongprovinceofChinaasawhole,andfor21citiesand3 9industriesinsub- samples.TheresultsdemonstratethatFDImainlyspilloverthroughthechannelsofdemonstrationeffectan dlinkageeffect.Moreover,theFDIagglommerationeconomyhascomeintobeing.(2)Accordingtothecit ydata,theregressionshowedthatconditionsofthehostcoutryimpactedstronglyontheeffectofFDIt
