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1、 23LANGDON United States, China, Europe and Japan. Sovereign debts and the ability for such debts to be repaid or restructured have led to a high level of pessimism which continues to pervade into the private sector of the world economy. There have been signs of economic improvement driven by some g
2、reater flexibility at government level in the; USA, Europe and currently Japan most of this government flexibility however has emanated through forms of quantitative easing which further compound to increase government debts.Notwithstanding the sovereign debt crisis in Europe we do see a level of gl
3、obal recovery in 2013. This we believe this will mostly be driven by: China, Japan and with its party positions consolidated will now take a more proactive stance in ensuring a higher degree of GDP growth than in 2011 and 2012. Japans new government seems to taking positive efforts to resuscitate gl
4、obal exports and is further expected to inject further moneys into its public sector. The particular dynamics of both Japan and China will undoubtedly have an effect on neighbouring economies such as Vietnam.There was also some positive news from Europe concerning the European Central Bank proposal
5、to re purchase bonds of Euro countries and the processes to widen European Banking responsibilities are positive and this should provide some optimism going forward to 2013 and particularly in respect to increased flows of Foreign Investment. Notwithstanding Europe and its sovereign debt will contin
6、ue to cause economic concerns in 2013 and beyond.THE VIETNAM ECONOMYGDP in Vietnam has been affected by a combination of global events and domestic policy, consequently GDP growth in 2012 is circa 5% lower than 2011 and we note there has been a downward trend in GDP growth in Vietnam since 2008. Vie
7、tnams GDP growth over the last few years has been slightly higher than the South East Asian GDP average however Vietnams growth should be higher when we consider Vietnams relatively low GDP per capita.CONSTRUCTION COST DATA1CONSTRUCTION COST DATA14CONSTRUCTION COST DATA15LANGDON a devaluation of the
8、 VND in early 2011 by circa 10%, increasing of Central Banks Base rates to over 12% and the introduction of a capping on lending into the domestic sector (especially property and construction). The measures have achieved their intended effect and inflation is down to single digits and current accoun
9、ts are achieving a surplus.Central Bank Base rates have been reduced by 2% in 2012 to 9%, the VND seems stable. However there remains a capping on lending into the domestic markets.The Private Domestic investment (PDI) sector has been subdued in 2011 and 2012, further we note that Foreign Direct Inv
10、estment (FDI) has tailed off considerably since 2009 and FDI commitments are down some 70% - this is no worse than the International market. THE VIETNAM ECONOMY 2013 and BEYONDThe capping of investment into the private domestic sector should be alleviated in 2012 and this should help spur growth in
11、the domestic sector.We also anticipate that a low cost base country such as Vietnam will further attract FDI and at a rate higher than other more expensive international markets.CONSTRUCTION COST DATA1CONSTRUCTION COST DATA16CONSTRUCTION COST DATA17LANGDON Repair854 2,587 1,309 Water supply 6mm thic
12、k Rate for lean concrete blinding “ Rate including dumping charges + Rate for double glazed window # Rate for 120mm thick concrete block wallsm2m2kgkgm2m2m2m2m2%12. “Kliplok Colorbond“ 0.64mm profiled steel sheeting13. Aluminium casement windows, single glazed14. Structural steelwork - beams, stanch
13、ions and the like15. Steelwork - angles, channels, flats and the like16. 25mm Cement and sand (1:3) paving17. 20mm Cement and sand (1:4) plaster to walls18. Ceramic tiles bedded to floor screed (m/s)19. 12mm fibrous plasterboard ceiling lining20. Two coats of emulsion paint to plastered surfacesAver
14、age expected preliminaries1. Excavating basement not exceeding 2m deep2. Excavating for footings not exceeding 1.5m deep3. Remove excavated materials off site4. Hardcore bed blinded with fine materials5. Mass concrete grade 156. Reinforced concrete grade 307. Mild steel rod reinforcement8. High tens
15、ile rod reinforcement9. Sawn formwork to soffits of suspended slabs10. Sawn formwork to columns and walls11. 112.5mm thick brick wallsUnitDESCRIPTIONm3m3m3m3m3m3kgkgm2m2m2MAJOR RATES FOR SELECTED ASIAN CITIESSINGAPORE* S$HONG KONG HK$MANILA PHP3502752503,0003,8005,0004748850800N/A9009,000+1101003503
16、501,2001,3004008 - 1516.5016.5045.00 - 50.0050.00202.00155.00 - 170.001.60 - 1.751.60 - 1.7530.00 - 33.0030.00 - 33.0030.00 - 35.0043.00290.004.80 - 5.804.80 - 5.8011.0015.5065.5030.003.50 - 4.0012 - 15140130200“7009201,1509.809.802502502306301,9002628901003004604510 - 152025301505255715.805.80685862N/A780+1092224120140305 - 10%30251051684004706.006.00555560#N/A60012.0010.003528160170323 - 8BEIJING RMBSHANGHAI RMBCONSTRUCTION COST DATA1CONSTRUCTION COST
