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1、? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 1? 2? 3? ?70s?80s?90s? $?GDP?CAGR?65? 197411,1364448.5%11.0%7.6%40.0% 198423,0541,1466.2%9.6%9.9%30.5% 199436,1951,8815.5%10.3%14.0%26.1% 200335,7042,2562.3%14.4%19.0% 200835,8532,4832.0%12.9%22.0% 200933,7402,5690.8%12.6%22.7% 201034,5752,6693.9%12.1%23.0% 201133
2、,6842,7583.1%11.7%23.3% 201233,9282,8091.6%11.3%24.1%22.5% 201334,3172,8752.2%11.2%25.1%$?GDP?CAGR?65? 1974 1984107414.0%32.6%5.8% 19946232322.0%43.9%6.2% 20031,6307915.8%55.9%7.5% 20083,66617017.2%40.4%8.2% 20093,9612044.8%37.5%8.5% 20104,64223113.9%35.3%8.9% 20115,44428021.8%34.8%9.1% 20125,948322
3、15.5%34.3%9.4% 20136,48136313.3%33.7%9.7%40%? ? ? ? 1? 2? ? 1? 2? ? 1? 2? ? 1? 2? ? ?1? 1? 2? 3? ?60? ?2008? 01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,0000.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91.0% ? 1960 1955 ? ? ? ?(? ? ? 1960?98%? ? ? ? ? ?,?,? 1960201519602015? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?1984 ? ?48,32436,927? ?
4、1973? ?10%?8,90220,3039,67715,340?5,04615,5987,69013,676?/? ?3,5554,4916,2714,422?2165838169 ?899121,0766? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?2012 2006 1993 1984 1978 1974 1970 1965 1960 1955 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 ? ? ? ? ?+? ?+?+? 100 50 0 05102012 2006 1993 1984 1978 1974 1970 1965 1960 1955 ? ? ? (? ?) ?(?)? ? ? ? ?
5、 (%) ? ? ? (%) ? ? ? ? ? (%) 20 200 0 ?80? ? ? ? ? -? (? ?) ? ? ? ? ? 0 50 1984 1978 1974 1970 1965 1960 1984 1978 1974 1970 1965 1960 ? ? ? -? (? ?) ? ? ? ? ?-? ?-? 2013 2010 2005 2000 1990 1983 1974 1965 1960 1955 ? ? ? (%) ?80s? ? 010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,00090,000-20-15-10-5
6、051015202530354045% 10? ? 2.4% 3.3% 6.9% 11.5% 2013 2012 2011 2010 2008 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1983 1980 1975 1973 1970 1965 1960 1955 ? ? ? ? ? ?1951?“? ?”? ? ? ? ? ?1974? ?10? ? ? 81? ? 92? ? ? ? 2001?DPC? ? ? 2006? ?2008? ? ? ? ?1974?1983? (16.9%) (17.2%) (4.7%) (2.2%) 1997? 20%? ?1978? ? ? 195
7、8? ? ? 1994? 1961? ? ? ? 1955196019651970197519801985199019952000200520102015? ? ?1963? ? ?1968? 70%? 1973? ? ? ?70%? ?1973? ?1975? ? ? ?10%? 1980? ? ? ? ?80%? 1982? ? ?1973? ? ? 1984? ?10%? ? ? 2000? ?2001?“? ?”? ? 2001?70? ?10%? ?2002?20%?2006 ?30%? 2003? ? ? ? ?30%? ? ? 2008? ? ? ? ? 2014?70- 74? 20%? 10% 2003? DPC? ? ? ? ? 1? 2? ? 1? 2? ? 1? 2? ? 1? 2? ? ?1? 1? 2? 3? ?+?+? ?+? 100% ? ? ? 1950 3,408 1945 645 1935 4,625 1907 807 1877 159 ? ? ? ?1874? ? ?30?1907?701?87%?1935?2,811?61%?3.58? ? ?GHQ?1945?1952?1945?348?6,607?1950?2,453?43,827? ? ?1950?“?
