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1、Prudential Equity Group, LLCPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Market Technicians Association Education Seminar 2005All important disclosures can be found at the end of this document in the section entitled “Additional Information” beginning on page 44.May
2、2005Advanced CMT Topics Equities: Practical Applications/Presentation Peter J. Martin, CMT V.P., Senior Technical Analyst Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Equity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Market Averages: Near-Term Trends (Daily Bar Charts)Sour
3、ce: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.200-Day Moving Average200-Day Moving Average200-Day Moving AverageThe Nasdaq Composite failed to make a new high in early March creating a negative divergence.2LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10
4、292 Market Averages: Near-Term Trends(Daily Bar Charts)Source: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.200-Day Moving Average 200-Day Moving Average 200-Day Moving Average Holding just above long- term moving averages.Broke below its long- term moving average and is staying there.3LastNameEquity Rese
5、archPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Market Averages: Intermediate-Term Trends(Weekly Bar Charts)Source: Bloomberg L.P.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Broke its 2-year upward bias. DJIABreach of its cyclical bull trend with negative divergence.MACD Indicat
6、orNASDAQ CompositePenetration of major uptrendMACD IndicatorS Prudential Equity Group, LLC.S Prudential Equity Group, LLC.DJIAS Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Outside month7LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Dow Theory (Line Charts-Clos
7、ing Prices)Source: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Positive Divergence sets up eventual buy signal.8LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 A/D Line ComparisonsSource: Lowrys Reports.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Primary A/D Line S
8、till Below MA1-Year LowIntermediate- Term Low9LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Confirmed March price highSource: Lowrys Reports.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Barely confirmed10LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One
9、 New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Dorsey, Wright Prudential Equity Group, LLC.11LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Dorsey, Wright Prudential Equity Group, LLC.12LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Grou
10、p, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Lowrys Reports.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.(Cycle timing)13LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Intermarket Analysis: Fixe
11、d Income: Yield On The Ten-Year TreasuriesPotential major bottom in rates.Near-term softness in rates.14LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Intermarket Analysis: Commodities CRB Index50-Da
12、y Moving AverageNormal correction off top end of channelShort-term correction underway15LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Intermarket Analysis: Commodities Crude OilIntermediate-term tre
13、nd is still upCorrection underway!Higher prices still appears attainable to us. Upside objectives $61 and $6716LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Intermarket Analysis: Commodities GoldSec
14、ular Bull MoveMajor trend is up!Minor support at $423.Major Base17LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Reuters.; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Intermarket Analysis: Currencies US DollarTrend violation; More base building needed!T
15、hree Important LowsIt will likely take much more time to reverse this three downward biasShort-term action is rangebound $80- $8518LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Source: Reuters. ; Prudential Equity Group, LLC.Style Strategy Large Cap Value Vs. GrowthRussell 1000 Value Relative To Russell 1000 GrowthValue outperforming over all time periods.19LastNameEquity ResearchPrudential Equity Group, LLC One New York Plaza 15th Floor New York, NY 10292 Style Strategy Mid Cap Value Vs. Mid Cap Growth Russell Mid Cap Value Relative To R
