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1、后危机时代的钻石产业新机遇和新挑战 The New Opportunities and Challenges of the Diamond Industry in Post- Financial-Crisis Era李 牧 Li Mu上海钻石交易联合管理办公室 副主任 Vice-chairman of Diamond Administration of China2目录 Agenda1234金融危机对中国钻石业的冲击 The Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Chinese Diamond Industry中国经济转变给钻石产业带来的机遇和影响 The
2、 Opportunity and Impact of Diamond Industry As a Result of Chinese Economic Restructuring中国经济和中国钻石产业的复苏 The Recovery of Chinese Economy and Chinese Diamond Industry中国经济面临的挑战 The Challenges of Chinese Economy3全球金融危机 Global Financial Crisis4世界钻石产业进入二战后最为艰难的时期The global diamond industry has been dragge
3、d into the worst downturn since World War II50%40%33%25% 全球二分之一的钻 矿停产 Half of the diamond mines went out of production 欧美等发达国家钻 石零售市场一度萎 缩性下降40% Diamond sales in developed countries such as United States and EU once were declined by 40% 三分之一的钻石加 工厂倒闭 One third of the manufacturing factories were clo
4、sed down 四分之一的钻石批 发商资金链断裂 One fourth of the diamond dealers suffered from fund shortage世界55中国钻石产业同样受到极大冲击 Chinas diamond industry was also hit hard by the financial crisisl 中国钻石加工工厂中的2万多名从事钻石加工的成熟技术工人失去工作，这一比例几乎占据中国钻石加工能力的40%。l Diamond manufacturing factories had to stop production or close down and
5、 20 thousand skillful workers lost their jobs, accounting for more than 40% of manufacturing capacity of China.中国6目录 Agenda1234金融危机对中国钻石业的冲击 The Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Chinese Diamond Industry中国经济转变给钻石产业带来的机遇和影响 The Opportunity and Impact of Diamond Industry As a Result of Chinese Eco
6、nomic Restructuring中国经济和中国钻石产业的复苏 The Recovery of Chinese Economy and Chinese Diamond Industry中国经济面临的挑战 The Challenges of Chinese Economy7中国政府四万亿投资推动钻石消费市场的复苏 Chinese governments 4-trillion investment promoted the recovery of the diamond consumer industry政府4万亿投资及十大产业振兴规划 4-trillion-yuan stimulus pac
7、kage and revitalization plan for ten major industries钻石消费82009年世界GDP排名 2009 World GDP ranking排名 /Ranking国家或地区/Region人均GDP/GDP per capita1卢森堡/Luxemburg104511.862挪威/Norway79085.003卡塔尔/Qatar68871.714瑞士/Switzerland67559.575丹麦/Danmark56115.356爱尔兰/Ireland51356.287荷兰/Holand48222.928阿联酋/United Arab Emirates
8、46856.809美国/United States46380.9110奥地利/Austria45989.2225中国香港/China Hong Kong29825.5539中国台湾/ China Taiwan16391.5699中国大陆/China Mainland3677.86排名 /Ranking国家或地区/RegionGDP1美国/ United States14.262日本/Japan5.073中国/China4.914德国/Germany3.355法国/France2.686英国/ Great Britain2.187意大利/Italy2.128巴西/Brazil1.579西班牙/S
9、pain1.4610加拿大/Canada1.342009年GDP排名 (单位：万亿美元) 2000 World GDP Ranking (Trillion, USD)2009年人均GDP排名(单位：美元) 2009 World GDP Per Capita Ranking (USD)世界来源：国际货币基金组织。Source: IMF9中国钻石交易快速增长 Chinese diamond exchange volume increases rapidly中国钻石首饰零售总额 (10亿元人民币) Retail Sales of Diamond Jewelry in China (Billion R
10、MB)2009年上海钻石交易所进出口交易钻石总额(百万美元) Total Value of Diamond Import & Export Through SED (Million USD) 上海钻石交易所钻石进出口交易快速增长，2010年钻石进出口交易钻石将超过28亿美元，比去年增长 90%以上 The import and export volume of SDE reached 1.5 billion USD in 2009. For 2010, that number is expected to climb to 2.8 billion USD, more than 90% high
11、er than last year.中国10全球三大钻石消费市场成品钻进口额 Net Import of Polished Diamond in Worlds Top Three Diamond Consumer Market全球三大钻石消费市场的成品钻进口额(百万美元) Net Import of Polished Diamond in Worlds Top Three Diamond Consumer Markets (Million USD)11目录 Agenda1234金融危机对中国钻石业的冲击 The Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Chi
12、nese Diamond Industry中国经济转变给钻石产业带来的机遇和影响 The Opportunity and Impact of Diamond Industry As a Result of Chinese Economic Restructuring中国经济和中国钻石产业的复苏 The Recovery of Chinese Economy and Chinese Diamond Industry中国经济面临的挑战 The Challenges of Chinese Economy12复苏之路依然漫长 The road to recovery is still long13世界
13、经济的复苏之路将非常艰难 The global recovery is full of uncertainties 美国第二阶段“量化宽松”货币政 策，使得全球资源性商品继续非 理性上涨 US government launched the second round of $600 billion quantitative easing, which could give rise to further increase of prices of resource commodities消费 Consumer Market商品价格 Price社会问题 Social issues发展问题 Dev
14、elopm ent issues失业率 Unemploym ent rate 国内消费没有明显起色，消费者信心 没有恢复 The markets in these countries show no positive signs of improvement and consumer confidence is not fully restored. 以美国、欧洲、日本等为代表 的发达国家的失业率居高不下 The unemployment rates in developed countries such as United States, EU and Japan remain high 对
15、世界钻石产业链从矿业开 采、加工到钻石交易、消费，以 及钻石管理、规则、法律与秩序 等环节提出了新的理念和挑战 news challenges and new ideas for the global diamond industry chain. 旧的世界经济秩序、冲突与战争、 人道与人权 The old world economic order, conflict and war, humanitarianism and human rights 能源短缺、环境污染、全球气候变暖 、绿色生产、低碳生活 Energy shortage, environmental pollution, gl
16、obal warming, green production, low-carbon life钻石产业 Diamond industry14人均GDP/GDP Per Capita贫富差距/Wealth gap 由于人口基数庞大，中国的人均收 入较低 Due to the huge population base, Chinas per capita income is very low中国经济结经济结 构 调调整的深层层原因 underlying reasons中国经济结构调整的深层原因 The underlying reasons of Chinese economic restructuring经济结 构/Economic Structure产业附加值/Industrial added value 不同区域的贫富贫富差距较大，城 乡发 展不平衡 Large wealth gap ex
