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1、 节能减排与节能减排与“ “十一五十一五” ”规划目标的实现规划目标的实现C. S. Kiang C. S. Kiang ( (江家驷江家驷) )Beijing, ChinaBeijing, ChinaMarch 28, 2007 March 28, 2007Peking University Environment FundPeking University Environment Fund Peking University, Beijing ChinaPeking University, Beijing ChinaPopulation Growth1950-2006 population
2、 increase1950-2006 population increase Last 4 million years Last 4 million years population increase population increaseEconomic GrowthEconomic GrowthGDP of the year 2000GDP of the year 2000 GDP of the entire 19 GDP of the entire 19thth centurycentury人类纪时代 Anthropocene人类正在改变地球人类正在改变地球( (Paul Crutzen
3、Paul Crutzen) )U.S. Bureau of the CensusVitousek (1994)GLOBAL CHANGESnPopulation nNitrogen Fixation nTemperaturenBiodiversityn .1. 全球范围的影响地球系统功能的变化 2. 不仅仅只是气候变化 3. 自然和人类的变化同时作用 4. 社会经济和生物物理的变化同时作用例如:Reid North America; EuropeJapan;North America; EuropeIndia; ChinaIndia; ChinaTrade environmental Bala
4、nceTrade environmental BalanceBeyond 2020 Vision50 Years Energy Plan50 Years Water Plan50 Years Human ResourcesDevelopment Plan50 Years International Strategy(non-traditional)1st Industrial RevolutionI = P x A x T1I= Environmental Impact P= Population A = Affluence T1 = Current Technology =Extractiv
5、e Linear Fossil Fuel Driven Abusive Wasteful Focused on Labor Productivity P x AT2T2 = Future Technology=reusable, cyclicSolar Energy Hydrogen Economy Biomimetic TechnologyEfficient Technology etc 2nd Industrial RevolutionI =Systematic Changes System ReformSmall and Medium EnterpriseEnvironmental an
6、d Intellectual Property ProtectionInnovative Culture Extension Service to Local was hundred years ago;The second best time is Today!The second best time is Today!A Chinese Old SayingA Chinese Old SayingLearning by DoingLearning by Doing“ “学中做，做中学学中做，做中学” ”THANK YOUTHANK YOUPrinciples:Principles: lPr
7、oactive vs reactivelSystem Science, System Engineering and System ManagementlHuman Resource Development/Team building- Cooperative/competitivelInnovationI. Regional & Global Climate ChangesII. Integrated Water Resource Management III. Environmental HealthIV. Green BuildingV. NEA Sustainable Development and Regional SecurityVI. Conservation (Community) Leadership VII. 4 E Extension Service StationsVIII. International Collaboration
