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1、16 Re ection On Population Prediction In Beijing Urban Master Plan/Chen Yiyong, Liu Tao Abstract Population prediction and planning is the core of urban master plan, yet the complexity and uncertainty of population growth makes the prediction exceptionally dif cult. The paper evaluates the predictio
2、n and implementation of Beijing population from population size, growth origin, and spatial distribution, and observes the disconnection of planning and reality is essentially a result of urban development policy, market uncertainty, absence of planning implementation feedback, and the intrinsic sho
3、rtage of urban planning. Population planning shall respect objective rules, deals with population capacity from regional and development viewpoint, makes elastic strategy, integrates planning feedback mechanism, and guarantees the rationality and feasibility of population planning. Key words Urban master plan, Population scale prediction, Implementation evaluation, Beijing 17
