brief of the “twelfth five-year” plan and forecast of “thirteenth five-year” plan

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1、Brief of the “Twelfth Five-year” Plan and Forecast of “Thirteenth five-year” plan:1. Stable and harmonious social environment:1.1 Ethnic and regional development12-5: Investment in the field of infrastructure, education, culture and tourist industry13-5: Investment will be more than it in period of

2、12-51.2 The national social medical security system setup12-5: Target as to set up covering both urban and rural resident basic medical and health care system by Yr2020, started from Yr2009.13-5: It will be continuing but difficult to be completed in 13-5 period.1.3 To reduce income distribution gap

3、12-5: IIT (Individual Income Tax) rate adjustment from Sep2011 (threshold changed to 3500 from 2000, seven progressive tax rate from nine)13-5: Best case: IIT will be changed based on family income, same as Hong Kong. Normal case: 1-2 times IIT rate and threshold changes.1.4 Stable population ratio1

4、2-5: Working-age population negative growth from Yr2010, Aging population is expected to 4 hundred million (1/4 of total population). So two-child policy full implement from Yr2015.13-5: Continuing with two-child policy.1.5 Enhance the whole nation culture qualityContinuing1.6 To make sure long-term

5、 prosperity and stability for Hong Kong and Macau12-5: “Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect program” started from 17th Nov, 2014 to strengthen Hong Kong as international financial center, meanwhile “Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect program” is also expected to be started in the soon future. Macau AGDP

6、increases almost 70% to 87000USD from Yr2011 to Yr2014. Exhibition, culture and tourist industries are also rapid-developed.13-5: Through general election reform, to control stability.1.7 To improve cross-strait relations with Taiwan12-5: Current situation Hot Economic & Cold Politics. ECFA (Economi

7、c Cooperation Framework Agreement) Signed on 29th Jun. 2010. Fujian Free Trade Zone, the demonstration zone to deepen economic cooperation, opens on 21st Apr, 2015.13-5: Continuing2. Urbanization12-5: By Yr2014, urbanization rate reach 54.77%, which has ready exceeded target 51.5% by the end of Yr20

8、15. 13-5: continuing with current strategy expend center cities and urbanization around, such as news mentions Zhabei District will be merged into Jingan District in Shanghai.3. Environmental protection12-5: Expected, twelfth five-year period, the whole society environmental protection investment is

9、 likely to exceed 5 trillion yuan. Three major data: environment product average annual increase of more than 30%, environment services average annual increase of more than 28%, resources recycling average annual increase of more than 14%.13-5: Continuing with more investment4. Education equality an

10、d innovation ability12-5: 211 project and 985 project dont solve the equality of education issue, but also create the issue of lack of competitiveness because of identity curing. Nationwide exam is difficult to executed, due to the pressure from large cities and management issue.To strengthen the pr

11、ofessional qualification, played down the title. 149 professional titles were canceled in Yr2014, also 62 professional titles in Yr2015.13-5: Hopefully, nationwide exam can be executed. Senior mechanics will be more focused on.5. Optimize investment structure5.1 Agricultural modernization and upgrad

12、ing12-5: Three issues as Countryside (to strengthen the construction of rural infrastructure and public services), Agriculture (to accelerate the development of modern agriculture) and Peasants (to broaden the channels of increasing farmers income) need to be solved.13-5: continuing with more invest

13、ment.5.2 Manufacture Industrial transformation and upgrading12-5: At present, Chinas manufacturing industry has more than 20% of global manufacturing. Due to Low cost dividend is rapidly disappearing and environmental degradation issue, manufacture Industrial transformation and upgrading has to be d

14、one.Energy consumption per unit GDP from 2009 to 2014, the total energy consumption (hundred million tons of standard coal) and breakdown rate (%)Yrenergy consumption Per GDPenergy consumptionGrowth rate %Coal growth %Crude oil growth %Gas growth %Electricity growth %2009 2.2 31.0 6.3 9.2 7.1 9.1 6.

15、22010 4.01 32.5 5.9 5.3 12.9 18.2 13.12011 2.01 34.8 7.0 9.7 2.7 12.0 11.72012 3.6 36.2 3.9 2.5 6.0 10.2 5.52013 3.7 37.5 3.7 3.7 3.4 13.0 7.52014 4.8 42.6 2.2 -2.9 5.9 8.6 3.82010 2014, the change of the R&D investment in China (hundred million, %)Year R&D spending Growth rate % GDP proportion %201

16、0 6980 20.3 1.752011 8687 21.9 1.832012 10,240 17.9 1.972013 11,847 15.0 2.082014 13,312 12.4 2.09Avg growth rate 17.513-5: continuing with target of Manufactory Industry 4.05.3 Service innovation and internationalization12-5: 8.1% growth in 2014, the added value of the tertiary industry in our country, faster than the second industry and the first industry, 7.3% and 4.1%. Service sector to 48.2%, 5.6% higher than the second industry, a year ahead of schedule to complete

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