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1、HWsX孔留安 周爱桃 景国勋 教授 刘冬华(河南理工大学安全科学与工程学院,焦作 454003)Ss:62012030 ms|: X928. 03 DSM:A:28MS( 031200040);287(2001513|)b=K 1 由于大量火灾事故的不断发生,火灾防范和安全疏散成为一个重要的研究课题b为了探讨人员疏散规律,笔者应用排队论知识及结合/ 社会力0模型,并综合考虑到建筑结构特征a人员密度及个体的作用和差异,建立了人员疏散模型b通过计算机模拟确定人员疏散时间,结合实例阐述了出口宽度等建筑结构特征a人员密度与疏散时间的关系,结果表明,该模型得到的结果与实际基本相符b通过对人员疏散规律的
2、研究,可以帮助人们优化建筑物的内部结构,特别是门宽,疏散通道的个数,从而加快紧急情况时的疏散速度,减少人员的伤亡;还可以帮助人们设计出正确的管理措施,保证大规模的群众集会时的人员的安全b=1oM 人员疏散; 排队论; / 社会力0模型Prediction and Analysis of Evacuation TimeKONG Liu-an ZHOU A-i tao JING Guo-xun, Prof. LIU Dong- hua(School of Safety Science & Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 45400
3、3,China)Classification and code of disciplines: 620. 2030 CLC number: X928. 03 Documnet code: AAbstract: Frequent occurrence of fire accidents makes the fire prevention and safe evacuation the important research topics.In order to investigate the rule of evacuation, evacuation modelwas established b
4、y queuing theory and social force model referringto building structure, occupant density and the individual difference. By computer simulation, the evacuation time was deter-mined; combining with real case, the relationof evacuationtime and building structure and occupant density was described. It w
5、asshown that the result obtained from the model compliedwith the real case. The study of the regularity of occupant movement mightoptimize the interior structure of the building, especially in determination of door width and number of exits so as to speed-up theevacuation when emergency and to reduc
6、e casualty. Moreover, it could help to design correct management measures for ensuringthe security of people in public massive gathering.Key words: evacuation; queuing theory; social force model1 MS6?Z,Syvy,ty4a(bd9,+MS?3sa+vY#/VUbsa+vY#d9V 1HW2000.11. 728ExETB52000.3. 292T?jO742001. 9. 38|g1662002.
7、 3. 12glJ?g19242004.2. 15Za402004.2. 15054702005.6. 10!9T,OTbVY?!9565T,!9a&,qSS%TbS=?VE(E3),10$,E/LNaB,1u50b刘彦普 Yvr!yV3b,1980M43b2003M8SvB,MZYvM,1VYgEY5bW1/LEh!0a/Ls#0#n7?,i|BS/Tb金岩辉 S/vr!/#V3bB, 1982M23b2000M9) 2004M6,S/vr!,$V3bSW5+aq=a4Q,ig83|bS85?M250 m3Vd!96$)b陆文昌 vYqapV3b1982M8v(j),Vb-1VY0/STb!9i9e,FaSb56S=?V10,I50/6aI59g/6!b韩书葵 YvpV3,1Z_1i?sb1976M33,?bbVYidi,#VdV,iW?1s,s=,BtL=NibpVWFSE1/is0/YVsEeZE0bX?V2b周爱桃 2vS2003)V3,1Z_daayb8E, 1980M73b1999M9) 2003M6T(C2v),?n/#Vb;28/830|bnW/vB5dq7?0T,Fn/M7v0b5SS6S=p?Vb
