英文版公司理财chapter-8课件

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1、英文版公司理财chapter-8,1,Chapter 8,Using discounted cash-flow analysis to make investment decisions,英文版公司理财chapter-8,2,Objectives,Identify the cash flows properly attributable to a proposed new project Calculate the cash flows of a project from standard financial statements Understand how the companys tax

2、 bill is affected by depreciation and how this affects project value Understand how changes in working capital affect project cash flows,英文版公司理财chapter-8,3,Content,Identifying cash flows Calculating cash flow An example: Blooper industries,英文版公司理财chapter-8,4,Incremental cash flows: 增量现金流量 Sunk cost:

3、 沉没成本 Working capital: 营运资本,英文版公司理财chapter-8,5,we have been concerned mainly with the mechanics of discounting and with the various methods of project appraisal. We have glossed over the problem of deciding what to discount. When you are faced with this problem, you should always stick to three gene

4、ral rules: 1. Only cash flow is relevant. 2. Always estimate cash flows on an incremental basis. 3. Be consistent in your treatment of inflation.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,6,When calculating NPV, recognize investment expenditures when they occur, not later when they show up as depreciation. Projects are fina

5、ncially attractive because of the cash they generate, either for distribution to shareholders or for reinvestment in the firm. Therefore, the focus of capital budgeting must be on cash flow, not profits,Discount cash flows, not profits,英文版公司理财chapter-8,7,to obtain accounting income accountants adjus

6、t inputs in two important ways. First, they try to show profit as it is earned rather than when the company and the customer get around to paying their bills. Second, they sort cash outflows into two categories: current expenses and capital expenses. They deduct current expenses when calculating pro

7、fit but do not deduct capital expenses.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,8,Instead they depreciate capital expenses over a number of years and deduct the annual depreciation charge from profits. As a result of these procedures, profits include some cash flows and exclude others, and they are reduced by depreciation

8、 charges, which are not cash flows at all.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,9,Include all indirect effects Forget sunk costs: sunk costs remain the same whether or not you accept the project Include opportunity cost: benefit or cash flow forgone as a result of an action Recognize the investment in working capital:

9、investments in working capital, just like investments in plant and equipment, result in cash outflows Beware of allocated overhead costs,Discount incremental cash flows,incremental cash flow,=,cash flow with project,cash flow without project,英文版公司理财chapter-8,10,Forget Sunk Costs,Sunk costs are like

10、spilled milk: They are past and irreversible outflows. Because sunk costs are bygones, they cannot be affected by the decision to accept or reject the project, and so they should be ignored.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,11,Include Opportunity Costs,The cost of a resource may be relevant to the investment decisi

11、on even when no cash changes hands.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,12,Include All Incidental Effects,It is important to include all incidental effects on the remainder of the business. For example, a branch line for a railroad may have a negative NPV when considered in isolation, but still be a worthwhile investm

12、ent when one allows for the additional traffic that it brings to the main line.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,13,Do Not Forget Working Capital Requirements,Net working capital (often referred to simply as working capital) is the difference between a companys short term assets and liabilities. Most projects entai

13、l an additional investment in working capital. This investment should, therefore, be recognized in your cash-flow forecasts. By the same token, when the project comes to an end, you can usually recover some of the investment. This is treated as a cash inflow.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,14,Beware of Allocated

14、Overhead Costs,A project may generate extra overhead expenses; then again, it may not. We should be cautious about assuming that the accountants allocation of overheads represent the true extra expenses that would be incurred.,英文版公司理财chapter-8,15,You cannot mix and match real and nominal quantities

15、Real cash flows must be discounted at a real discount rate, nominal cash flows at a nominal rate,Discount nominal cash flows by the nominal cost of capital,英文版公司理财chapter-8,16,Separate investment and financing decisions,First, we determine whether the project has a positive NPV, assuming all-equity

16、financing Then, if the project is viable, we can undertake a separate analysis of the best financing strategy,英文版公司理财chapter-8,17,Content,Identifying cash flows Calculating cash flow An example: Blooper industries,英文版公司理财chapter-8,18,Capital investment: 资本投资 Investment in working capital: 营运资本投资 Cash flow from operations: 营业现金流量、经营活动所产生的现金流量 Cash expenses: 付现成本 After-tax profit: 税后净利润 Tax shield: 税盾效应,英文版公司理财chapter-8,19,A project is progressing through three distinct stages,Start-up stage: inve

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