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1、Risk Management,Risk Management Planning Risk Identification Qualitative Risk Analysis Quantification Risk Analysis Risk Response Planning Risk Monitoring used to calculate expected values Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic,Tools used to calculate expected value,Quantitative Risk Analysis,Tools it i
2、s used to document the procedures that will be used to manage risk throughout the project Should contain: Results of the risk identification and risk quantification processes Who is responsible for managing various areas of risk How the initial identification and quantification outputs will be maint
3、ained How contingency plans will be implemented How reserves will be allocated,Risk Response Development,Outputs (cont.),Contingency Plans Pre-defined action steps to be taken if an identified risk event should occur Reserves (Mitigation) Provision in the project plan to mitigate cost and schedule r
4、isk Contractual agreements May be entered into for insurance, services, and other items, as appropriate, in order to avoid or mitigate threats,Risk Response Development,Classes of Contractual Documents,Spectrum of risk,Risk Response Development,Insurable Risk,Direct property damage Insurance of prin
5、cipal assets, e.g., equipment, materials, property, auto Indirect consequential loss Indirect loss suffered by third party, resulting from actions by the contractor Legal liability Design errors, public bodily injury, project-performance failure Personnel Bodily injury Wrap-up insurance All the abov
6、e integrated into one agreement usually provided by the owner,Risk Response Control,Risk Response Control,Providing an approach for monitoring and controlling the risk-event occurrence, in accordance with the risk management plan,Risk Response Control,Inputs Risk management plan Actual risk events A
7、dditional risk identification,Tools Work-arounds Additional risk- response development,Outputs Corrective action Updates to RMP,Inputs,Risk Response Control,Risk management plan (RMP) Actual risk events Those events which occur and are recognized by the PM team Additional risk identification,Tools &
8、 Techniques,Work-arounds Unplanned responses to negative risk events Additional risk-response development If the risk event was not anticipated, the planned response may not be adequate, and it may be necessary to repeat the response development process, and perhaps the risk quantification process,
9、as well,Risk Response Control,Outputs,Corrective action Performing the planned risk response Updates to the RMP As anticipated risk events occur, or fail to occur, and as actual risk-event effects are evaluated, estimates of probabilities and values, as well as other aspects of the risk management p
10、lan, should be updated,Risk Response Control,Risk Monitoring & Control,The process of keeping track of the identified risks, monitoring residual risks and identifying new risks, ensuring the execution of risk plans and evaluating their effectiveness in reducing risk,Risk Monitoring & Control,Inputs
11、Risk management plan Risk response plan Project communication Additional risk identification &analysis Scope changes,Tools Project risk response audits Periodic project risk reviews Earned value analysis Technical performance measurement Additional risk response planning,Outputs Work-around plans Co
12、rrective action Project change requests Updates to risk response plan Risk database Updates to risk identification checklist,Inputs,Risk management plan Risk response plan Project communication work results and other project records provide information about project performance and risks Additional
13、risk identification and analysis as project performance is measured and reported, potential risks not previously identified may surface. Scope changes often require new risk analysis and response plans,Risk Monitoring & Control,Tools & techniques,Project Risk Response Audits risk auditors examine an
14、d document throughout the life cycle of the project the effectiveness of the risk response in avoiding, transferring, or mitigating risk occurrence as well as the effectiveness of the risk owner Periodic Project Risk Reviews should be regularly scheduled to monitor the progress and any changes to th
15、e project Earned Value Analysis used for monitoring overall project performance against a baseline plan. If a project deviates significantly from the baseline, updated risk identification and analysis should be performed,Tools & Techniques (cont.),Technical Performance Measurement compares technical
16、 accomplishments during project execution to the project plan schedule of technical achievement Additional Risk Response Planning If a risk emerges that was not anticipated in the risk response plan, or it impact on objectives is greater than expected, the planned response may not be adequate and required additional response planning to control risk,Outputs,Work-Around Plans unplanned responses to emerging risks that were not previously identified or accepted Corrective Action performing the
