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1、ON THE PULSE OF THE NETWORKED SOCIETY Ericsson Mobility Report 2014NOVEMBER 2 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NOVEMBER 2014 Mobile subscription essentials20132014 2020 forecast CAGR 20142020Unit Worldwide mobile subscriptions*6,7007,1009,5005%million Smartphone subscriptions 1,9002,7006,10015%million Mobil
2、e PC, tablet and mobile router subscriptions 25030065015%million Mobile broadband subscriptions 2,2002,9008,40020%million Mobile subscriptions, GSM/EDGE-only 4,2004,0001,100-20%million Mobile subscriptions, WCDMA/HSPA 1,6002,0004,40015%million Mobile subscriptions, LTE 2004003,50045%million Traffic
3、essentials*20132014 2020 forecast CAGR 20142020Unit Monthly data traffic per smartphone* 7009003,50025%MB/month Monthly data traffic per mobile PC* 3,3004,30015,00025%MB/month Monthly data traffic per tablet* 1,4001,9007,60025%MB/month Total monthly mobile data traffic23.22540%EB/month Total monthly
4、 fixed data traffic 304014025%EB/month Mobile traffic growth forecast Multiplier 20142020 CAGR 20142020 All mobile data840% Smartphones 840% Mobile PC 320% Tablets 1560% Key figures *Using active VLR subscriptions for India *Monthly data traffic volumes by year end *Active devices The content of thi
5、s document is based on a number of theoretical dependencies and assumptions and Ericsson shall not be bound by or liable for any statement, representation, undertaking or omission made in this document. Furthermore Ericsson may at any time change the contents of this document at its sole discretion
6、and shall not be liable for the consequences of such changes. Key contributors Project Manager: Peter Jonsson Forecasts: Susanna Bvertoft Richard Mller Articles: Hkan Andersson Michael Bjrn Stephen Carson Simon Frost Istvan Godor Mikael Halen Pter Kersch Per Lindberg Vishnu Singh Lasse Wieweg Traffi
7、c exploration tool and regional appendices Create your own graphs, tables and data using the Ericsson Traffic Exploration Tool. The information available here can be filtered by region, subscription, technology, traffic and device type. You may use generated charts in your publication as long as Eri
8、csson is stated as the source. To find out more, scan the QR code, or visit There, you will be able to access regional appendices for North America, Latin America, Europe, North East Asia and South East Asia and Oceania. NOVEMBER 2014 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT 3 Ericsson Mobility Report CONTENTS Mobi
9、le subscriptions Q3 2014 4 Mobile subscriptions outlook 6 Cellular M2M outlook 8 Regional subscriptions outlook 9 Mobile traffic Q3 2014 11 Mobile traffic outlook 12 Regional mobile traffic 13 Mobile application traffic outlook 14 State of the networks 16 5G embracing a Networked Society 20 Video su
10、bscriptions drive traffic 22 Improving video streaming quality 24 Indoor connectivity experience 26 The signatures of city life 28 Mobile broadband spectrum 30 Methodology and glossary 31 The number of mobile subscriptions worldwide grew approximately 6 percent year-on-year during Q3 2014. The numbe
11、r of mobile broadband subscriptions grew even faster at a rate of 30 percent year-on-year, reaching 2.5 billion and data usage per subscription also continued to grow steadily. 6570 percent of all mobile phones sold in Q3 2014 were smartphones. Together, these factors have contributed to a 60 percen
12、t growth in mobile data traffic during the 12 months following Q3 2013. Our forecasts on subscriptions, subscribers and traffic up to 2020 show continued strong growth. By 2020, 90 percent of the worlds population over 6 years old will have a mobile phone. Furthermore, 5G is expected to be commercia
13、lly deployed in 2020. 5G will combine evolved versions of existing radio access, cloud and core with new complementary technologies, enhancing performance and supporting thousands of new use cases. Video continues to dominate mobile networks. In 4G-dominated networks it typically constitutes 4555 pe
14、rcent of mobile traffic. This is driven by increased usage of video streaming and mobile video experience improvements. Ericsson ConsumerLab research shows that consumers expect instant internet access whether they are indoors or outdoors. There is a willingness among users to pay for improved conne
15、ctivity in both cases. Our article on the signatures of city life examines similarities and differences in device usage in mobile traffic patterns in different areas of three cities. It shows that census-based analysis of a citys structure can be complemented with traffic-based land use detection. W
16、e hope you find this report engaging and valuable. Publisher: Rima Qureshi Senior Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer 4 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT NOVEMBER 2014 Af ric a 6.9 billion mobile subscriptions globally in Q3 2014 535 Western Europe 595 Central and Eastern Europe 375 Middle East 880 Africa 1,380 APAC (excluding China and India) 815 India 720 Latin America 1,275 China
