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1、中小城市房地产市场发展潜力研究北京交通大学硕士学位论文姓名：王东申请学位级别：硕士专业：工商管理指导教师：陈学东20081201中文摘要摘要：改革开放以来，随着城镇化进程的加快，中国城市数量大幅增长，新增城市中有90以上的属于中小城市的范畴。为了城市化进程的健康持续发展，做好中小城市房地产业的开发工作，不仅是是扩大内需，提高人民生活水平的必然要求，也是协调区域经济发展和关系国计民生的一项大事。本论文以区域经济协调发展为出发点，分析了中小城市房地产发展的现状以及存在的问题，并提出了相应的解决方案。同时，对其发展潜力作出了客观评价，以期在未来的城市房地产开发中能充分利用其有利的因素，扬长避短，促进
2、中小城市房地产业的健康发展，进而达到提高人民生活质量以及区域经济协调发展的目的。在充分考虑了城市的区域位置、经济发展水平及行政划分等因素的基础上，本论文选取了张家口市为案例研究对象，对城市的经济发展趋势及房地产市场的供需现状、发展潜力做了深入分析，为整个论题提供了充分的论据。本论文所涉及的理论知识和政策法规主要有：市场调研方法及调研结果分析；区域经济学区位理论；中小城市规划理论；最近几年国家的土地政策和财政金融政策等。本论文的研究将有助于填补中小城市房地产市场研究的空白。具体来说，本论文在以下方面做了积极探索：1首先以中小城市房地产市场为研究对象，利用土地、房地产开发、交易、市场调查等数据，全
3、面分析中国中小城市房地产市场发展现状和特征。2建立了中小城市房地产投资决策的基本范式，即“土地供应分析市场供需水平测定投资风险分析经营战略”。研究结果说明：中小城市房地产市场不稳定，易受外界影响；市场容量有限，但产品质量有较大的提升空间；由于城市化进程加快，普遍而言，中小城市房地产市场发展潜力较大，有较大的发展空间。若加以适当引导，通过自我发展和借助外力发展相结合的途径，宏观上把握城市的发展定位，微观上规范企业行为，注重产品细节，中小城市的房地产市场便可向更健康、更稳定的方向发展。作为国民支柱产业之一的房地产市场的发展，必将促进整个区域的经济发展。关键词：中小城市；房地产；市场现状；发展潜力A
4、BSTRACTABSTRACT：Since the adoption of refornl and opening policies,the quantity ofChinese cities have increased dramatically with the rapid progress of urbanizationAmong the boom cities,over 90are small and medium sizeIn order to make theprogress develop healthily and sustainably,it is not only of v
5、ital necessity forpromoting domestieneed and improving peopleS lives,to make a good estatedevelopment，but alSO considered as an important event conceming the coordinationdevelopment of the regional economy and peopleS lives of the countryThis thesis based on the coordination development of the re#on
6、al economy,analyzed the present situation and problems of the small and mediumsized citiesestate market development and also puts forward the corresponding solutionsIn themeantime，an objective assession for the development potention is given，SO as tomake good use of the favorable factors in the futu
7、re exploration and facilitate itshealthy development，in order to achieve the goal of increasing the quality of peopleSlives and the coordination development of the regional economy Based on su伍cientconsiderations concerning the cities，such as the sectional position，economicdevelopment 1ever,administ
8、rative division of the cities and SO on，this thesis takesZhang Jia Kou as the research object to make a thorough analysis of the developmenttendency of the civic economy and the present situation of“needsupplyin the estatemarket as well as the development potentionThis provides with SH伍cient and pot
9、entfacts for the thesisThe main theory and relevant regulations concerned in this thesis are as follows：methods and consequency analysis of the market research；Location theory ofregional economy；planning theory of small medium-sized cities；land policy andfinancial policy in recent years and SO onThe
10、 research of this thesis will be helpful in filling the blank of the smalI andmedium-sized cities estate marketSpeak in concrete termsthis thesis made positiveexploration in the following aspectsFirst，take the small and mediumsized cities estate market as the obj ects of study,make use of data on la
11、nd，estate development，bargaining，market survey and SO on，analyzed the current developmental situation and the characteristics of our countryssmall and mediumsized cities eatate comprehensivelySecondhas established the basic model of the small and mediumsized citiesestate investment policy-making，nam
12、ely“land supply analysismarket supply anddemand level determinationinvestment risk analysismanagement strategy111e research indicated that：The small and mediumsized cities estate market isunstable，easily influenced by outside factors；the market capcity is limited，but thequality of the products has w
13、ide promotion space；with the urbanization speeds up，universally speaking，the development potentiality of the small and medium-sizedcities estate market is big，has a bigger development spaceIf performs the suitableguidance，combine self-development with the way in which deppend on external aidsj匕塞銮通叁堂
14、壹些亟堂焦论室旦墨至壁!On macroscopic，to hold the urban，development localization；on microscopic，tostandardize enterprise behavior and to draw attention to the details of the products，thesinail and mediumsized cities estate market then may develop to a healthier andstabler directionAs one of the national pillar
15、 industries,its development willcertainty to promote the economical development of the wholere西011KEYWORDS：sinail and mcdiumsized cities,estate，current situation of market，developmental potentiality学位论文版权使用授权书本学位论文作者完全了解北京交通大学有关保留、使用学位论文的规定。特授权北京交通大学可以将学位论文的全部或部分内容编入有关数据库进行检索，并采用影印、缩印或扫描等复制手段保存、汇编以供
16、查阅和借阅。同意学校向国家有关部门或机构送交论文的复印件和磁盘。学位论文作者签名： 新躲胁签字日期：刖J年，明么日独创性声明本人声明所呈交的学位论文是本人在导师指导下进行的研究工作和取得的研究成果，除了文中特别加以标注和致谢之处外，论文中不包含其他人已经发表或撰写过的研究成果，也不包含为获得北京交通大学或其他教育机构的学位或证书而使用过的材料。与我一同工作的同志对本研究所做的任何贡献均已在论文中作了明确的说明并表示了谢意。学位论文作者签名： 签字日期： 年月日53致谢本论文的工作是在我的导师陈学东副教授的悉心指导下完成的，陈学东副教授严谨的治学态度和科学的工作方法给了我极大的帮助和影响。在此衷
