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1、第二章2.1（1）（2）2.2（1）(2)XYMean6000.441902.5148Median2689.280209.3900Maximum27722.314895.410Minimum123.720025.87000Std. Dev.7608.0211351.009Skewness1.4325191.663108Kurtosis4.0105154.590432Jarque-Bera12.6906818.69063Probability0.0017550.000087Sum198014.529782.99Sum Sq. Dev.1.85E+0958407195Observations333
2、3(3)2.4（1）（3）第三章3.1 (1)(3)3.2(1)Dependent Variable: YMethod: Least SquaresDate: 12/28/15 Time: 14:42Sample: 1994 2011Included observations: 18VariableCoefficientStd. Errort-StatisticProb.X20.1354740.01279910.584540.0000X318.853489.7761811.9285120.0729C-18231.588638.216-2.1105730.0520R-squared0.98583
3、8Mean dependent var6619.191Adjusted R-squared0.983950S.D. dependent var5767.152S.E. of regression730.6306Akaike info criterion16.17670Sum squared resid8007316.Schwarz criterion16.32510Log likelihood-142.5903Hannan-Quinn criter.16.19717F-statistic522.0976Durbin-Watson stat1.173432Prob(F-statistic)0.0
4、00000(3)Dependent Variable: LNYMethod: Least SquaresDate: 12/28/15 Time: 14:46Sample: 1994 2011Included observations: 18VariableCoefficientStd. Errort-StatisticProb.LNX21.5642210.08898817.577890.0000LNX31.7606950.6821152.5812290.0209C-20.520485.432487-3.7773630.0018R-squared0.986295Mean dependent va
5、r8.400112Adjusted R-squared0.984467S.D. dependent var0.941530S.E. of regression0.117343Akaike info criterion-1.296424Sum squared resid0.206540Schwarz criterion-1.148029Log likelihood14.66782Hannan-Quinn criter.-1.275962F-statistic539.7364Durbin-Watson stat0.686656Prob(F-statistic)0.0000003.3 (1)(2)D
6、ependent Variable: XMethod: Least SquaresDate: 12/28/15 Time: 15:01Sample: 1 18Included observations: 18VariableCoefficientStd. Errort-StatisticProb.C444.5888406.17861.0945650.2899T123.151631.841503.8676440.0014R-squared0.483182Mean dependent var1942.933Adjusted R-squared0.450881S.D. dependent var69
7、8.8325S.E. of regression517.8529Akaike info criterion15.44170Sum squared resid4290746.Schwarz criterion15.54063Log likelihood-136.9753Hannan-Quinn criter.15.45534F-statistic14.95867Durbin-Watson stat1.052251Prob(F-statistic)0.001364(3)Dependent Variable: E1Method: Least SquaresDate: 12/28/15 Time: 1
8、5:07Sample: 1 18Included observations: 18VariableCoefficientStd. Errort-StatisticProb.E20.0864500.0284313.0407420.0078C3.96E-1413.880832.85E-151.0000R-squared0.366239Mean dependent var2.30E-14Adjusted R-squared0.326629S.D. dependent var71.76693S.E. of regression58.89136Akaike info criterion11.09370S
9、um squared resid55491.07Schwarz criterion11.19264Log likelihood-97.84334Hannan-Quinn criter.11.10735F-statistic9.246111Durbin-Watson stat2.605783Prob(F-statistic)0.0077883.6 (1)Dependent Variable: YMethod: Least SquaresDate: 12/28/15 Time: 15:14Sample: 1994 2011Included observations: 18VariableCoeff
10、icientStd. Errort-StatisticProb.X20.0013820.0011021.2543300.2336X30.0019420.0039600.4905010.6326X4-3.5790903.559949-1.0053770.3346X50.0047910.0050340.9516710.3600X60.0455420.0955520.4766210.6422C-13.7773215.73366-0.8756590.3984R-squared0.994869Mean dependent var12.76667Adjusted R-squared0.992731S.D.
11、 dependent var9.746631S.E. of regression0.830963Akaike info criterion2.728738Sum squared resid8.285993Schwarz criterion3.025529Log likelihood-18.55865Hannan-Quinn criter.2.769662F-statistic465.3617Durbin-Watson stat1.553294Prob(F-statistic)0.000000(3)Dependent Variable: YMethod: Least SquaresDate: 12/28/15 Time: 15:18Sample: 1994 2011Included observations: 18VariableCoefficientStd. Errort-StatisticProb.X50.0010322.20
