全球汽车行业报告与市场展望英文版

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1、 CIMITServicesMarketOutlook GlobalAutomotiveIndustry BusinessIntelligenceGroupAugust2003 Contents ExecutiveSummaryAutomotiveIndustryBusinessChallengesGlobalRegional US Europe Asia Pacific RestofWorldAutomotiveITSpendingTrendsGlobal RegionalITSpendForecastsAutomotiveIndustryITTrendsAutomotiveITServic

2、esIndustry CompetitiveProfilesAutomotiveITServicesMarket BearingPointAlliancesSourcesandContact ExecutiveSummary Automakersarecurrentlyfacedwithslowersales overcapacityanddeclinesinprofitability Big3arelosingmarketsharetoJapaneseautomakers Toyota HondaandNissanincreasedtheirU S salesandmarketsharein

3、thefirsthalfof2003 whiletheBigThreemanufacturers GM Ford DaimlerChrysler sawtheirsalesdeclinedespitespendingheavilyonincentives Currentlytheglobalautomotiveindustryhastoomuchcapacity roughly30 andassalesfall theproblemcontinues Carpriceshavebeenfallingmakingalreadythinmarginsevenmorepressured Theglo

4、balautomotiveindustryisfacedwithmorecompetition greaterpricetransparency risingcustomerexpectationsandqualityimprovements makingthepressureevengreateronpriceandprofitability Chinapresentsthebestopportunityforautomakersduetoincreasedgovernmentincentivesandcooperation cheaperlabor andproximitytoalarge

5、populationofpotentialconsumers Chinacontinuestomakeprogresstowardsamarketeconomywhichhasledtoglobalbusinesses likeautomotivecompanies tryingtorampupinordertotapintothecountry slargemarketplaceof1 3Bconsumers AyearafterentryintotheWTO in2003 China sautomotiveindustryproduced3 25Mmotorvehicleunits 38

6、growthcomparedtotheyearbefore ITIssues Industryinsurvivalmode pressuringspending OpportunitiesforCRMMostmanufacturingverticals includingAutomotive havebeenoperatingin survivalmode spendingverylittleoncapitalandoperationalexpenses ITspendinghassufferedasaresult TheNorthAmericanmanufacturingmarketcons

7、titutesapproximately45 ofthetotalworldmanufacturingITspend ExecutiveSummary CurrentlyintheautomotiveindustrythereislesssignificanceplacedontheroleofITinsupportingbusinessstrategies especiallyincomparisontoindustrieslikeFinancialServicesorHealthcarepayerindustries ThisisalargedeterminantofITbudget In

8、ordertounderstandtheirnear termsalesvolume optionmixandpricesensitivity automakershavetostartunderstandingtheircustomersbetterthroughthemanysignalstheyseefromtheirconsumers interactions MuchofthiscanbeaccomplishedthroughCRMinitiatives Whiledealerincentiveshavebeenusedbymostofthemajorautomakers espec

9、iallyintheUS companiesleveragingtheirexistingCRMmightbeabletogetmoreforless Thedatagatheredfromincentiveprogramsflowingbacktomanufacturersanddealerscanallowfollow upcampaignsthatbridgethegapbetweensalesandmarketing ERPvendorsareturningtheirfocustodeliveringextendedapplicationsinareasofSCM CRMandPLMt

10、ocompensateforthelossofrevenuefromlarge scaleprojects CompetitorsandAlliancesDeloitteConsultinghasajointinitiativewithSAPtosupporttheautomotiveindustryinthedeploymentofthemySAPAutomotivesolutiononaworldwidebasis Aspartofthisinitiative DCandSAParedevelopingmethodsforcustomer specificanalysisonfeasibi

11、lity cost benefit andROI IBMencouragestheirengineerstorotateinandoutofthefield spendingtimesolvingreal lifeproblemswhilenotabandoningtheirinsideresearch IBMhascreatedan innovationservices groupwithinitsresearchunitdedicatedtoworkingonautomotivecustomerproblems makingthemcapableoftakingtheirresearcha

12、ndapplyittobusinessissues IntheEuropeanautomotiveindustry SAPiscurrentlyfocusingoncrossfunctionalprocesses packagingtheirSCM PLMandCRMallinone usingdifferentmodules approachingitfromtheperspectiveofthebusinessprocessesthatcrosstheseareas GlobalAutomotiveIndustry BusinessChallenges GlobalAutomotiveIn

13、dustryisonaGradualSlide Theworld sautomotiveindustryhasbeenonagradualdownwardslideoverthepastyear acceleratedtosomedegreebythelikelihoodofamajorbankruptcyandfurtherrestructuringoftheindustry Inhibitorsincludeweak regional consumerconfidence highunemploymentanduncertainglobalequitymarkets allofwhichh

14、aveledtolowersales InEurope thefirstfivemonthsof2003sawsalesdropby4 whilenewregistrationsforMayfellthelowestinfiveyears TheUSmarketisforecasttoshrink4 thisyear Currentlytheglobalautomotiveindustryhastoomuchcapacity roughly30 andassalesfall theproblemcontinues Muchoftheover capacityisduetoeachindivid

15、ualcompanyexpectingtogrowfasterthanitsrivals Andwhilethe90sshowedstrongreturns manyautomakersinvestedinadditionalcapacity createdriskymodels builtmorefactoriesandenteredintoemergingmarketsthathadmorelongtermpromisethanshortterm Formanyyearsthelargesttruckandcarmakershavecontinuallysustainedlossesout

16、oftheirprimarybusinessesofcarsales oftenmakingprofitsthroughmoneymadefromsellingsparepartsatinflatedprices throughfinancingbusinessesorthroughexchangerates Thisstructureisincreasinglyexposedinadownturn especiallywhenincentiveslike0 financinghavehamperedthefinancingbusiness Carpriceshavebeenfallingmakingalreadythinmarginsevenmorepressured Theglobalautomotiveindustryisfacedwithmorecompetition greaterpricetransparency risingcustomerexpectationsandqualityimprovements makingthepressureevengreateronpr

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